La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Chengdu Rongcheng FC v Chongqing Tonglianglong FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Local)
Predicción 75.61%1.32momio equitativo
EV -2.47%
Ventaja -1.91%
Kelly -8.51%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.29
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
71.11%75.20%75.69%76.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.181.231.231.2984.75%81.09%81.30%77.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Visitante)
Predicción 8.71%11.48momio equitativo
EV +4.53%
Ventaja +0.378%
Kelly +0.412%
Crecimiento +0.019%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 12.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
7.74%8.93%8.62%11.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
8.0010.1510.0012.0012.50%9.86%10.00%8.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 15.68%6.38momio equitativo
EV -1.19%
Ventaja -0.189%
Kelly -0.225%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.09%15.87%15.69%17.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.005.735.756.3020.00%17.46%17.39%15.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.91%EV -6.25%E -5.04%K -26.04%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.95%EV +4.53%E +0.378%K +0.412%G +0.019% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.14%EV -1.19%E -0.189%K -0.225%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-11 11:44 |
| SportsBet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -8.52%E -7.04%K -40.56%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV +4.53%E +0.378%K +0.412%G +0.019% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -5.90%E -0.983%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-11 11:44 |
| Pinnacle | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.40%EV -5.49%E -4.39%K -21.97%G +0.000% | 11.95I 8.37%NM 7.99%EV +4.10%E +0.343%K +0.374%G +0.015% | 6.12I 16.34%NM 15.61%EV -4.02%E -0.656%K -0.784%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 11:54 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.03%EV -7.76%E -6.36%K -35.28%G +0.000% | 11.25I 8.89%NM 8.25%EV -2.00%E -0.178%K -0.195%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.72%EV -7.47%E -1.27%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-11 11:44 |
| Coolbet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.98%EV -4.74%E -3.76%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.59%EV -4.18%E -0.380%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV -9.82%E -1.71%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-11 11:38 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.94%EV -7.01%E -5.70%K -30.46%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -4.18%E -0.380%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -5.90%E -0.983%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-11 11:54 |
| NordicBet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.28%EV -7.76%E -6.36%K -35.28%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.46%EV -4.18%E -0.380%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.26%EV -4.33%E -0.710%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-11 11:54 |
| Betway | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -7.76%E -6.36%K -35.28%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -4.18%E -0.380%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -5.90%E -0.983%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-11 11:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -7.76%E -6.36%K -35.28%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -4.18%E -0.380%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -5.90%E -0.983%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-11 11:54 |
| FanDuel | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.39%EV -9.27%E -7.73%K -46.37%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -4.18%E -0.380%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -5.90%E -0.983%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-11 11:45 |
| Bet Victor | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.39%EV -9.27%E -7.73%K -46.37%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -4.18%E -0.380%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -5.90%E -0.983%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-11 11:39 |
| 888sport | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.03%EV -7.76%E -6.36%K -35.28%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -4.18%E -0.380%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -13.74%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-11 11:54 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.03%EV -7.76%E -6.36%K -35.28%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -4.18%E -0.380%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -13.74%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-11 11:54 |
| Paddy Power | 1.18I 84.75%NM 75.65%EV -10.79%E -9.14%K -59.92%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.12%EV -4.18%E -0.380%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -13.74%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-11 11:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 75.65%EV -10.79%E -9.14%K -59.92%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.12%EV -4.18%E -0.380%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -13.74%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-11 11:49 |
| GTbets | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.54%EV -2.47%E -1.91%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 10.93I 9.15%NM 8.80%EV -4.79%E -0.438%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 5.77I 17.33%NM 16.66%EV -9.50%E -1.65%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-11 11:40 |
| DraftKings | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.34%EV -5.49%E -4.39%K -21.97%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -8.54%E -0.813%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -5.90%E -0.983%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-11 11:39 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.49%EV -6.25%E -5.04%K -26.04%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -8.54%E -0.813%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -5.90%E -0.983%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-11 11:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.49%EV -6.25%E -5.04%K -26.04%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -8.54%E -0.813%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -5.90%E -0.983%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-11 11:54 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.38%EV -7.76%E -6.36%K -35.28%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.76%EV -8.54%E -0.813%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.86%EV -9.03%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-11 11:49 |
| Bovada | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.25%E -5.04%K -26.04%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -12.89%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -5.90%E -0.983%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-11 11:43 |
| BetUS | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.25%E -5.04%K -26.04%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -12.89%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -5.90%E -0.983%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-11 11:44 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -5.49%E -4.39%K -21.97%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -12.89%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -13.74%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-11 11:24 |
| William Hill | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -5.49%E -4.39%K -21.97%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -12.89%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -13.74%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-11 11:24 |
| betfred_uk | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.76%E -6.36%K -35.28%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -12.89%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -5.90%E -0.983%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-11 11:54 |
| PlayUp | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.36%EV -5.49%E -4.39%K -21.97%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -12.89%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.47%EV -17.66%E -3.36%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-11 11:49 |
| Bet Right | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -7.76%E -6.36%K -35.28%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.14%EV -12.89%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -9.82%E -1.71%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-11 11:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.85%EV -7.76%E -6.36%K -35.28%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.13%EV -12.89%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.02%EV -10.60%E -1.86%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-11 11:54 |
| Everygame | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.73%EV -9.27%E -7.73%K -46.37%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.97%EV -12.89%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -13.74%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-11 11:39 |
| Betsson | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.96%EV -7.01%E -5.70%K -30.46%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.41%EV -14.63%E -1.49%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.63%EV -7.47%E -1.27%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-11 11:45 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.92%EV -7.76%E -6.36%K -35.28%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.33%EV -14.63%E -1.49%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.76%EV -9.03%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-11 11:44 |
| Grosvenor | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -3.98%E -3.13%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -17.25%E -1.82%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -13.74%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-11 11:04 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -3.98%E -3.13%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -17.25%E -1.82%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -13.74%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-11 11:04 |
| TABtouch | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -3.98%E -3.13%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -17.25%E -1.82%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -13.74%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-11 11:04 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -3.98%E -3.13%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -17.25%E -1.82%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -13.74%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-11 11:04 |
| Unibet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -3.98%E -3.13%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -17.25%E -1.82%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -13.74%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-11 11:05 |
| betPARX | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -3.98%E -3.13%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -17.25%E -1.82%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -13.74%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-11 11:04 |
| BetRivers | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.44%EV -4.74%E -3.76%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -17.25%E -1.82%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -13.74%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-11 11:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.97%EV -5.49%E -4.39%K -21.97%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.14%EV -21.60%E -2.40%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.89%EV -15.31%E -2.83%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-11 11:04 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 74.84%EV -8.52%E -7.04%K -40.56%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.06%EV -21.60%E -2.40%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.09%EV -5.90%E -0.983%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-11 11:44 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 73.06%EV -7.01%E -5.70%K -30.46%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.98%EV -21.60%E -2.40%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.96%EV -16.88%E -3.18%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-11 11:04 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 73.06%EV -7.01%E -5.70%K -30.46%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.98%EV -21.60%E -2.40%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.96%EV -16.88%E -3.18%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-11 11:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.76%EV -7.76%E -6.36%K -35.28%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.59%EV -25.96%E -3.05%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.65%EV -9.82%E -1.71%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-11 11:50 |
| Neds | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.76%EV -7.76%E -6.36%K -35.28%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.59%EV -25.96%E -3.05%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.65%EV -9.82%E -1.71%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-11 11:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 74.34%EV -10.03%E -8.43%K -52.79%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.41%EV -25.96%E -3.05%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.25%EV -9.03%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-07-11 11:55 |
| BoyleSports | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -5.49%E -4.39%K -21.97%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -30.31%E -3.79%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -21.58%E -4.32%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-11 11:49 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.12% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.84% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.03% | 0.8% | 2026-07-11 11:54 |
| Matchbook | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.12% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.84% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.03% | 0.8% | 2026-07-11 11:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.93% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.07% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00% | 1.0% | 2026-07-11 11:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.93% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.07% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00% | 1.0% | 2026-07-11 11:55 |
| Kalshi | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.86% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.74% | 1.7% | 2026-07-11 11:40 |