L’École des cotes

Chengdu Rongcheng FC v Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-11 12:00 UTC

Score final : Chengdu Rongcheng FC 1–1 Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Local)

Prévision 75.61%1.32cote équitable
EV -2.47%
Avantage -1.91%
Kelly -8.51%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.29

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
71.11%75.20%75.69%76.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.181.231.231.2984.75%81.09%81.30%77.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 8.71%11.48cote équitable
EV +4.53%
Avantage +0.378%
Kelly +0.412%
Croissance +0.019%

avec la cote maximale 12.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
7.74%8.93%8.62%11.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
8.0010.1510.0012.0012.50%9.86%10.00%8.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 15.68%6.38cote équitable
EV -1.19%
Avantage -0.189%
Kelly -0.225%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 6.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.09%15.87%15.69%17.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.005.735.756.3020.00%17.46%17.39%15.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.91%EV -6.25%E -5.04%K -26.04%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.95%EV +4.53%E +0.378%K +0.412%G +0.019%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.14%EV -1.19%E -0.189%K -0.225%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-11 11:44
SportsBet1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -8.52%E -7.04%K -40.56%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV +4.53%E +0.378%K +0.412%G +0.019%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -5.90%E -0.983%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-11 11:44
Pinnacle1.25I 80.00%NM 76.40%EV -5.49%E -4.39%K -21.97%G +0.000%11.95I 8.37%NM 7.99%EV +4.10%E +0.343%K +0.374%G +0.015%6.12I 16.34%NM 15.61%EV -4.02%E -0.656%K -0.784%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 11:54
Marathon Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.03%EV -7.76%E -6.36%K -35.28%G +0.000%11.25I 8.89%NM 8.25%EV -2.00%E -0.178%K -0.195%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.72%EV -7.47%E -1.27%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-11 11:44
Coolbet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.98%EV -4.74%E -3.76%K -18.22%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.59%EV -4.18%E -0.380%K -0.418%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV -9.82%E -1.71%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 11:38
Unibet (UK)1.23I 81.30%NM 75.94%EV -7.01%E -5.70%K -30.46%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -4.18%E -0.380%K -0.418%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -5.90%E -0.983%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-11 11:54
NordicBet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.28%EV -7.76%E -6.36%K -35.28%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.46%EV -4.18%E -0.380%K -0.418%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.26%EV -4.33%E -0.710%K -0.849%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-11 11:54
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -7.76%E -6.36%K -35.28%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -4.18%E -0.380%K -0.418%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -5.90%E -0.983%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-11 11:39
PointsBet (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -7.76%E -6.36%K -35.28%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -4.18%E -0.380%K -0.418%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -5.90%E -0.983%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-11 11:54
FanDuel1.20I 83.33%NM 76.39%EV -9.27%E -7.73%K -46.37%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -4.18%E -0.380%K -0.418%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -5.90%E -0.983%K -1.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-11 11:45
Bet Victor1.20I 83.33%NM 76.39%EV -9.27%E -7.73%K -46.37%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -4.18%E -0.380%K -0.418%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -5.90%E -0.983%K -1.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-11 11:39
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 75.03%EV -7.76%E -6.36%K -35.28%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -4.18%E -0.380%K -0.418%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -13.74%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-11 11:54
888sport (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.03%EV -7.76%E -6.36%K -35.28%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -4.18%E -0.380%K -0.418%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -13.74%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-11 11:54
Paddy Power1.18I 84.75%NM 75.65%EV -10.79%E -9.14%K -59.92%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.12%EV -4.18%E -0.380%K -0.418%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -13.74%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-11 11:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 75.65%EV -10.79%E -9.14%K -59.92%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.12%EV -4.18%E -0.380%K -0.418%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -13.74%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-11 11:49
GTbets1.29I 77.52%NM 74.54%EV -2.47%E -1.91%K -8.51%G +0.000%10.93I 9.15%NM 8.80%EV -4.79%E -0.438%K -0.482%G +0.000%5.77I 17.33%NM 16.66%EV -9.50%E -1.65%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-11 11:40
DraftKings1.25I 80.00%NM 75.34%EV -5.49%E -4.39%K -21.97%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -8.54%E -0.813%K -0.898%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -5.90%E -0.983%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-11 11:39
BetOnline.ag1.24I 80.65%NM 75.49%EV -6.25%E -5.04%K -26.04%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -8.54%E -0.813%K -0.898%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -5.90%E -0.983%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-11 11:54
LowVig.ag1.24I 80.65%NM 75.49%EV -6.25%E -5.04%K -26.04%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -8.54%E -0.813%K -0.898%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -5.90%E -0.983%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-11 11:54
Tipico (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.38%EV -7.76%E -6.36%K -35.28%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.76%EV -8.54%E -0.813%K -0.898%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.86%EV -9.03%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-11 11:49
Bovada1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.25%E -5.04%K -26.04%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -12.89%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -5.90%E -0.983%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-11 11:43
BetUS1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.25%E -5.04%K -26.04%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -12.89%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -5.90%E -0.983%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-11 11:44
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -5.49%E -4.39%K -21.97%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -12.89%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -13.74%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-11 11:24
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -5.49%E -4.39%K -21.97%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -12.89%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -13.74%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-11 11:24
betfred_uk1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.76%E -6.36%K -35.28%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -12.89%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -5.90%E -0.983%K -1.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-11 11:54
PlayUp1.25I 80.00%NM 73.36%EV -5.49%E -4.39%K -21.97%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -12.89%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.47%EV -17.66%E -3.36%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-11 11:49
Bet Right1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -7.76%E -6.36%K -35.28%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.14%EV -12.89%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -9.82%E -1.71%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-11 11:55
LeoVegas1.22I 81.97%NM 74.85%EV -7.76%E -6.36%K -35.28%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.13%EV -12.89%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.02%EV -10.60%E -1.86%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-11 11:54
Everygame1.20I 83.33%NM 74.73%EV -9.27%E -7.73%K -46.37%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.97%EV -12.89%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -13.74%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-11 11:39
Betsson1.23I 81.30%NM 74.96%EV -7.01%E -5.70%K -30.46%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.41%EV -14.63%E -1.49%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.63%EV -7.47%E -1.27%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-11 11:45
Codere (IT)1.22I 81.97%NM 74.92%EV -7.76%E -6.36%K -35.28%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.33%EV -14.63%E -1.49%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.76%EV -9.03%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-11 11:44
Grosvenor1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -3.98%E -3.13%K -14.75%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -17.25%E -1.82%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -13.74%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-11 11:04
Unibet (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -3.98%E -3.13%K -14.75%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -17.25%E -1.82%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -13.74%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-11 11:04
TABtouch1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -3.98%E -3.13%K -14.75%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -17.25%E -1.82%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -13.74%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-11 11:04
Unibet (NL)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -3.98%E -3.13%K -14.75%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -17.25%E -1.82%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -13.74%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-11 11:04
Unibet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -3.98%E -3.13%K -14.75%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -17.25%E -1.82%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -13.74%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-11 11:05
betPARX1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -3.98%E -3.13%K -14.75%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -17.25%E -1.82%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -13.74%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-11 11:04
BetRivers1.26I 79.37%NM 73.44%EV -4.74%E -3.76%K -18.22%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -17.25%E -1.82%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -13.74%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-11 11:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 72.97%EV -5.49%E -4.39%K -21.97%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.14%EV -21.60%E -2.40%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.89%EV -15.31%E -2.83%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-11 11:04
Winamax (DE)1.21I 82.64%NM 74.84%EV -8.52%E -7.04%K -40.56%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.06%EV -21.60%E -2.40%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.09%EV -5.90%E -0.983%K -1.18%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-11 11:44
Virgin Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 73.06%EV -7.01%E -5.70%K -30.46%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.98%EV -21.60%E -2.40%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.96%EV -16.88%E -3.18%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-11 11:04
LiveScore Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 73.06%EV -7.01%E -5.70%K -30.46%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.98%EV -21.60%E -2.40%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.96%EV -16.88%E -3.18%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-11 11:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 73.76%EV -7.76%E -6.36%K -35.28%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.59%EV -25.96%E -3.05%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.65%EV -9.82%E -1.71%K -2.07%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-11 11:50
Neds1.22I 81.97%NM 73.76%EV -7.76%E -6.36%K -35.28%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.59%EV -25.96%E -3.05%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.65%EV -9.82%E -1.71%K -2.07%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-11 11:49
Winamax (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 74.34%EV -10.03%E -8.43%K -52.79%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.41%EV -25.96%E -3.05%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.25%EV -9.03%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-11 11:55
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -5.49%E -4.39%K -21.97%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -30.31%E -3.79%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -21.58%E -4.32%K -5.40%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-11 11:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 78.12%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.84%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.03%0.8%2026-07-11 11:54
Matchbook1.27I 78.74%NM 78.12%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.84%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.03%0.8%2026-07-11 11:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.93%14.00I 7.14%NM 7.07%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00%1.0%2026-07-11 11:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.93%14.00I 7.14%NM 7.07%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00%1.0%2026-07-11 11:55
Kalshi1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.86%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.74%1.7%2026-07-11 11:40