Language:English
Beijing FC v Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Beijing FC (Local)
Prediction 64.96%1.54fair odd
EV -4.52%
Edge -3.07%
Kelly -9.61%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.47
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.27%64.84%65.01%66.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.341.421.411.4774.63%70.64%70.92%68.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Visit)
Prediction 14.66%6.82fair odd
EV -4.11%
Edge -0.628%
Kelly -0.742%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 6.54
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.84%14.80%14.58%16.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.216.266.5418.18%16.09%15.97%15.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 20.38%4.91fair odd
EV -2.16%
Edge -0.451%
Kelly -0.569%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.08%20.36%20.41%22.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.474.504.8026.67%22.36%22.22%20.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Beijing FC (Local): 64.96%; Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Visit): 14.66%; Draw: 20.38%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.91. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.80, with an expected value of -2.16%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.84%EV -4.52%E -3.07%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 6.54I 15.29%NM 14.57%EV -4.11%E -0.628%K -0.742%G +0.000% | 4.63I 21.60%NM 20.59%EV -5.63%E -1.22%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 18:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.62%EV -5.17%E -3.54%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 6.38I 15.67%NM 14.79%EV -6.46%E -1.01%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.58I 21.83%NM 20.60%EV -6.65%E -1.45%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 13:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.49%EV -5.17%E -3.54%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -12.03%E -2.00%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -10.32%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 11:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.49%EV -5.17%E -3.54%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -12.03%E -2.00%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -10.32%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 11:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.72%EV -5.82%E -4.01%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 6.27I 15.95%NM 14.97%EV -8.07%E -1.29%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.62I 21.65%NM 20.31%EV -5.83%E -1.26%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 05:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.82%E -4.01%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.99%EV -8.36%E -1.34%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -6.24%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 05:46 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.82%E -4.01%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.99%EV -8.36%E -1.34%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -6.24%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 05:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.23%EV -5.82%E -4.01%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -12.03%E -2.00%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -6.24%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 11:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.27%EV -5.82%E -4.01%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.70%EV -15.69%E -2.73%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -16.43%E -4.01%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-23 05:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.59%EV -6.46%E -4.49%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -4.70%E -0.722%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -3.18%E -0.670%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 07:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -6.46%E -4.49%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -12.03%E -2.00%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 07:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -6.46%E -4.49%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -15.69%E -2.73%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-21 12:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -6.46%E -4.49%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -12.03%E -2.00%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -14.39%E -3.43%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-21 15:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -6.46%E -4.49%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -12.03%E -2.00%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -14.39%E -3.43%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-21 15:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -6.46%E -4.49%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -12.03%E -2.00%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -14.39%E -3.43%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-21 15:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -6.46%E -4.49%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -12.03%E -2.00%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -14.39%E -3.43%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-21 15:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -6.46%E -4.49%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -19.36%E -3.52%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -11.74%E -2.71%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-23 11:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -6.46%E -4.49%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -19.36%E -3.52%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -11.74%E -2.71%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-23 11:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.81%EV -7.11%E -4.97%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 6.35I 15.75%NM 14.59%EV -6.89%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 18:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.90%EV -7.76%E -5.47%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -4.70%E -0.722%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -3.18%E -0.670%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 11:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -7.76%E -5.47%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -4.70%E -0.722%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-21 16:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.74%EV -7.76%E -5.47%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.83%EV -9.09%E -1.47%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-23 19:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.35%EV -8.41%E -5.97%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -4.70%E -0.722%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-21 16:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.35%EV -8.41%E -5.97%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -4.70%E -0.722%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-22 19:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.35%EV -8.41%E -5.97%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -4.70%E -0.722%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-22 19:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.35%EV -8.41%E -5.97%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -4.70%E -0.722%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-22 19:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.35%EV -8.41%E -5.97%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -4.70%E -0.722%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-22 19:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.35%EV -8.41%E -5.97%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -4.70%E -0.722%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-22 19:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.35%EV -8.41%E -5.97%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -4.70%E -0.722%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-22 19:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.35%EV -8.41%E -5.97%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -4.70%E -0.722%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-22 19:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.35%EV -8.41%E -5.97%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -4.70%E -0.722%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-22 19:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -9.06%E -6.47%K -22.66%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -4.70%E -0.722%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -3.18%E -0.670%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-21 16:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -9.06%E -6.47%K -22.66%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -4.70%E -0.722%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -3.18%E -0.670%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 13:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -9.06%E -6.47%K -22.66%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -4.70%E -0.722%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -3.18%E -0.670%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 13:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.37%EV -9.06%E -6.47%K -22.66%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.30%EV -6.16%E -0.963%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.34%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-22 19:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -9.06%E -6.47%K -22.66%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -4.70%E -0.722%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -10.32%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-23 11:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.98%EV -9.06%E -6.47%K -22.66%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -19.36%E -3.52%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -14.39%E -3.43%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-23 23:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.39%EV -10.36%E -7.51%K -27.27%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.55%EV -9.09%E -1.47%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.05%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-23 13:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.17%EV -10.36%E -7.51%K -27.27%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.39%EV -8.36%E -1.34%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -10.32%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-22 19:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.17%EV -10.36%E -7.51%K -27.27%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.39%EV -8.36%E -1.34%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -10.32%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-22 19:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.84%EV -11.01%E -8.04%K -29.76%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -4.70%E -0.722%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -2.16%E -0.451%K -0.569%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-23 11:38 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 65.19%EV -11.01%E -8.04%K -29.76%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.40%EV -14.96%E -2.58%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -6.24%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-23 13:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -11.66%E -8.57%K -32.39%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -4.70%E -0.722%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-21 17:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 62.92%EV -11.66%E -8.57%K -32.39%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.26%EV -12.03%E -2.00%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.82%EV -23.57%E -6.28%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-04-21 16:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 66.05%EV -12.96%E -9.67%K -38.12%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.28%EV -9.09%E -1.47%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.67%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-23 13:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 64.59%EV -12.96%E -9.67%K -38.12%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.74%EV -19.36%E -3.52%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.67%EV -10.32%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-04-23 13:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.73% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.68% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.59% | 2.1% | 2026-04-24 00:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.65% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.97% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.38% | 2.2% | 2026-04-23 15:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.65% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.97% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.38% | 2.2% | 2026-04-23 15:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.65% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.97% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.38% | 2.2% | 2026-04-23 15:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.07% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.97% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.96% | 2.3% | 2026-04-24 00:30 |