La scuola delle quote

Beijing FC v Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC

Inizio: 2026-04-25 11:35 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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46 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Beijing FC (Casa)

Previsione 64.96%1.54quota equa
EV -4.52%
Vantaggio -3.07%
Kelly -9.61%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.47

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
62.27%64.84%65.01%66.84%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.341.421.411.4774.63%70.64%70.92%68.03%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Trasferta)

Previsione 14.66%6.82quota equa
EV -4.11%
Vantaggio -0.628%
Kelly -0.742%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.54

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
13.84%14.80%14.58%16.42%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.506.216.266.5418.18%16.09%15.97%15.29%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 20.38%4.91quota equa
EV -2.16%
Vantaggio -0.451%
Kelly -0.569%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.08%20.36%20.41%22.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.754.474.504.8026.67%22.36%22.22%20.83%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (46 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.84%EV -4.52%E -3.07%K -9.61%G +0.000%6.54I 15.29%NM 14.57%EV -4.11%E -0.628%K -0.742%G +0.000%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.59%EV -5.63%E -1.22%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 18:40
GTbets1.46I 68.49%NM 64.62%EV -5.17%E -3.54%K -11.23%G +0.000%6.38I 15.67%NM 14.79%EV -6.46%E -1.01%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.58I 21.83%NM 20.60%EV -6.65%E -1.45%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 13:35
LowVig.ag1.46I 68.49%NM 63.49%EV -5.17%E -3.54%K -11.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -12.03%E -2.00%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -10.32%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 11:09
BetOnline.ag1.46I 68.49%NM 63.49%EV -5.17%E -3.54%K -11.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -12.03%E -2.00%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -10.32%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 11:10
Pinnacle1.45I 68.97%NM 64.72%EV -5.82%E -4.01%K -12.92%G +0.000%6.27I 15.95%NM 14.97%EV -8.07%E -1.29%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.62I 21.65%NM 20.31%EV -5.83%E -1.26%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 05:55
Bovada1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.82%E -4.01%K -12.92%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.99%EV -8.36%E -1.34%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -6.24%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 05:46
BetUS1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.82%E -4.01%K -12.92%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.99%EV -8.36%E -1.34%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -6.24%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 05:49
DraftKings1.45I 68.97%NM 64.23%EV -5.82%E -4.01%K -12.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -12.03%E -2.00%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -6.24%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 11:00
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 62.27%EV -5.82%E -4.01%K -12.92%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.70%EV -15.69%E -2.73%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -16.43%E -4.01%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-23 05:49
Coolbet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.59%EV -6.46%E -4.49%K -14.69%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -4.70%E -0.722%K -0.854%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -3.18%E -0.670%K -0.849%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 07:15
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -6.46%E -4.49%K -14.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -12.03%E -2.00%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 07:15
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -6.46%E -4.49%K -14.69%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -15.69%E -2.73%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-21 12:34
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -6.46%E -4.49%K -14.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -12.03%E -2.00%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -14.39%E -3.43%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-21 15:39
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -6.46%E -4.49%K -14.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -12.03%E -2.00%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -14.39%E -3.43%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-21 15:40
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -6.46%E -4.49%K -14.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -12.03%E -2.00%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -14.39%E -3.43%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-21 15:39
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -6.46%E -4.49%K -14.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -12.03%E -2.00%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -14.39%E -3.43%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-21 15:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -6.46%E -4.49%K -14.69%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -19.36%E -3.52%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -11.74%E -2.71%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-23 11:40
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -6.46%E -4.49%K -14.69%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -19.36%E -3.52%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -11.74%E -2.71%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-23 11:39
Marathon Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 64.81%EV -7.11%E -4.97%K -16.54%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 14.59%EV -6.89%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 18:34
Unibet (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.90%EV -7.76%E -5.47%K -18.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -4.70%E -0.722%K -0.854%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -3.18%E -0.670%K -0.849%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 11:04
PointsBet (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -7.76%E -5.47%K -18.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -4.70%E -0.722%K -0.854%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-21 16:54
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.74%EV -7.76%E -5.47%K -18.49%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.83%EV -9.09%E -1.47%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 19:04
Bet Right1.41I 70.92%NM 65.35%EV -8.41%E -5.97%K -20.52%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -4.70%E -0.722%K -0.854%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-21 16:55
TABtouch1.41I 70.92%NM 65.35%EV -8.41%E -5.97%K -20.52%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -4.70%E -0.722%K -0.854%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 19:30
BetRivers1.41I 70.92%NM 65.35%EV -8.41%E -5.97%K -20.52%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -4.70%E -0.722%K -0.854%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 19:30
Unibet (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 65.35%EV -8.41%E -5.97%K -20.52%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -4.70%E -0.722%K -0.854%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 19:30
Grosvenor1.41I 70.92%NM 65.35%EV -8.41%E -5.97%K -20.52%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -4.70%E -0.722%K -0.854%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 19:30
LeoVegas1.41I 70.92%NM 65.35%EV -8.41%E -5.97%K -20.52%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -4.70%E -0.722%K -0.854%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 19:30
betPARX1.41I 70.92%NM 65.35%EV -8.41%E -5.97%K -20.52%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -4.70%E -0.722%K -0.854%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 19:30
Unibet (NL)1.41I 70.92%NM 65.35%EV -8.41%E -5.97%K -20.52%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -4.70%E -0.722%K -0.854%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 19:34
Unibet1.41I 70.92%NM 65.35%EV -8.41%E -5.97%K -20.52%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -4.70%E -0.722%K -0.854%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 19:34
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -9.06%E -6.47%K -22.66%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -4.70%E -0.722%K -0.854%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -3.18%E -0.670%K -0.849%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-21 16:55
NordicBet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -9.06%E -6.47%K -22.66%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -4.70%E -0.722%K -0.854%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -3.18%E -0.670%K -0.849%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 13:34
Betsson1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -9.06%E -6.47%K -22.66%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -4.70%E -0.722%K -0.854%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -3.18%E -0.670%K -0.849%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 13:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.37%EV -9.06%E -6.47%K -22.66%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.30%EV -6.16%E -0.963%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.34%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-22 19:35
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -9.06%E -6.47%K -22.66%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -4.70%E -0.722%K -0.854%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -10.32%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 11:54
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 62.98%EV -9.06%E -6.47%K -22.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -19.36%E -3.52%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -14.39%E -3.43%K -4.50%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-23 23:40
Codere (IT)1.38I 72.46%NM 65.39%EV -10.36%E -7.51%K -27.27%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.55%EV -9.09%E -1.47%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.05%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-23 13:34
LiveScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 65.17%EV -10.36%E -7.51%K -27.27%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.39%EV -8.36%E -1.34%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -10.32%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-22 19:30
Virgin Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 65.17%EV -10.36%E -7.51%K -27.27%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.39%EV -8.36%E -1.34%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -10.32%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-22 19:34
FanDuel1.37I 72.99%NM 66.84%EV -11.01%E -8.04%K -29.76%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -4.70%E -0.722%K -0.854%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -2.16%E -0.451%K -0.569%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 11:38
Winamax (DE)1.37I 72.99%NM 65.19%EV -11.01%E -8.04%K -29.76%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.40%EV -14.96%E -2.58%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -6.24%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-23 13:35
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -11.66%E -8.57%K -32.39%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -4.70%E -0.722%K -0.854%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-21 17:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 62.92%EV -11.66%E -8.57%K -32.39%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.26%EV -12.03%E -2.00%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.82%EV -23.57%E -6.28%K -8.57%G +0.000%16.9%2026-04-21 16:55
Unibet (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 66.05%EV -12.96%E -9.67%K -38.12%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.28%EV -9.09%E -1.47%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.67%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-23 13:34
Winamax (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 64.59%EV -12.96%E -9.67%K -38.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.74%EV -19.36%E -3.52%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.67%EV -10.32%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%15.5%2026-04-23 13:34
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi1.49I 67.11%NM 65.73%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.68%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.59%2.1%2026-04-24 00:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.49I 67.11%NM 65.65%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.97%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.38%2.2%2026-04-23 15:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.49I 67.11%NM 65.65%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.97%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.38%2.2%2026-04-23 15:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.49I 67.11%NM 65.65%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.97%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.38%2.2%2026-04-23 15:40
Matchbook1.48I 67.57%NM 66.07%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.97%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.96%2.3%2026-04-24 00:30