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Beijing FC v Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Beijing FC (Хозяева)
Прогноз 64.96%1.54справедливый коэффициент
EV -4.52%
Преимущество -3.07%
Kelly -9.61%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.47
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
62.27%64.84%65.01%66.84%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.341.421.411.4774.63%70.64%70.92%68.03%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Гости)
Прогноз 14.66%6.82справедливый коэффициент
EV -4.11%
Преимущество -0.628%
Kelly -0.742%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 6.54
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
13.84%14.80%14.58%16.42%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
5.506.216.266.5418.18%16.09%15.97%15.29%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 20.38%4.91справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.16%
Преимущество -0.451%
Kelly -0.569%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.80
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
19.08%20.36%20.41%22.82%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.754.474.504.8026.67%22.36%22.22%20.83%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Beijing FC (Хозяева): 64.96%; Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Гости): 14.66%; Ничья: 20.38%. Для исхода «Ничья» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 4.91. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 4.80, математическое ожидание — -2.16%; положительного ожидания не было.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (46 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.84%EV -4.52%E -3.07%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 6.54I 15.29%NM 14.57%EV -4.11%E -0.628%K -0.742%G +0.000% | 4.63I 21.60%NM 20.59%EV -5.63%E -1.22%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 18:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.62%EV -5.17%E -3.54%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 6.38I 15.67%NM 14.79%EV -6.46%E -1.01%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.58I 21.83%NM 20.60%EV -6.65%E -1.45%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 13:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.49%EV -5.17%E -3.54%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -12.03%E -2.00%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -10.32%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 11:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.49%EV -5.17%E -3.54%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -12.03%E -2.00%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -10.32%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 11:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.72%EV -5.82%E -4.01%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 6.27I 15.95%NM 14.97%EV -8.07%E -1.29%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.62I 21.65%NM 20.31%EV -5.83%E -1.26%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 05:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.82%E -4.01%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.99%EV -8.36%E -1.34%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -6.24%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 05:46 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.82%E -4.01%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.99%EV -8.36%E -1.34%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -6.24%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 05:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.23%EV -5.82%E -4.01%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -12.03%E -2.00%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -6.24%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 11:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.27%EV -5.82%E -4.01%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.70%EV -15.69%E -2.73%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -16.43%E -4.01%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-23 05:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.59%EV -6.46%E -4.49%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -4.70%E -0.722%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -3.18%E -0.670%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 07:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -6.46%E -4.49%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -12.03%E -2.00%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 07:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -6.46%E -4.49%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -15.69%E -2.73%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-21 12:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -6.46%E -4.49%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -12.03%E -2.00%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -14.39%E -3.43%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-21 15:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -6.46%E -4.49%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -12.03%E -2.00%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -14.39%E -3.43%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-21 15:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -6.46%E -4.49%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -12.03%E -2.00%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -14.39%E -3.43%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-21 15:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -6.46%E -4.49%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -12.03%E -2.00%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -14.39%E -3.43%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-21 15:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -6.46%E -4.49%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -19.36%E -3.52%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -11.74%E -2.71%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-23 11:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -6.46%E -4.49%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -19.36%E -3.52%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -11.74%E -2.71%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-23 11:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.81%EV -7.11%E -4.97%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 6.35I 15.75%NM 14.59%EV -6.89%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 18:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.90%EV -7.76%E -5.47%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -4.70%E -0.722%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -3.18%E -0.670%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 11:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -7.76%E -5.47%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -4.70%E -0.722%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-21 16:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.74%EV -7.76%E -5.47%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.83%EV -9.09%E -1.47%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-23 19:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.35%EV -8.41%E -5.97%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -4.70%E -0.722%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-21 16:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.35%EV -8.41%E -5.97%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -4.70%E -0.722%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-22 19:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.35%EV -8.41%E -5.97%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -4.70%E -0.722%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-22 19:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.35%EV -8.41%E -5.97%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -4.70%E -0.722%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-22 19:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.35%EV -8.41%E -5.97%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -4.70%E -0.722%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-22 19:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.35%EV -8.41%E -5.97%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -4.70%E -0.722%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-22 19:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.35%EV -8.41%E -5.97%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -4.70%E -0.722%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-22 19:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.35%EV -8.41%E -5.97%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -4.70%E -0.722%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-22 19:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.35%EV -8.41%E -5.97%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -4.70%E -0.722%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-22 19:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -9.06%E -6.47%K -22.66%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -4.70%E -0.722%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -3.18%E -0.670%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-21 16:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -9.06%E -6.47%K -22.66%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -4.70%E -0.722%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -3.18%E -0.670%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 13:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -9.06%E -6.47%K -22.66%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -4.70%E -0.722%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -3.18%E -0.670%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 13:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.37%EV -9.06%E -6.47%K -22.66%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.30%EV -6.16%E -0.963%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.34%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-22 19:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -9.06%E -6.47%K -22.66%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -4.70%E -0.722%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -10.32%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-23 11:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.98%EV -9.06%E -6.47%K -22.66%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -19.36%E -3.52%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -14.39%E -3.43%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-23 23:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.39%EV -10.36%E -7.51%K -27.27%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.55%EV -9.09%E -1.47%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.05%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-23 13:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.17%EV -10.36%E -7.51%K -27.27%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.39%EV -8.36%E -1.34%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -10.32%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-22 19:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.17%EV -10.36%E -7.51%K -27.27%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.39%EV -8.36%E -1.34%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -10.32%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-22 19:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.84%EV -11.01%E -8.04%K -29.76%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -4.70%E -0.722%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -2.16%E -0.451%K -0.569%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-23 11:38 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 65.19%EV -11.01%E -8.04%K -29.76%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.40%EV -14.96%E -2.58%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -6.24%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-23 13:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -11.66%E -8.57%K -32.39%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -4.70%E -0.722%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-21 17:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 62.92%EV -11.66%E -8.57%K -32.39%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.26%EV -12.03%E -2.00%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.82%EV -23.57%E -6.28%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-04-21 16:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 66.05%EV -12.96%E -9.67%K -38.12%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.28%EV -9.09%E -1.47%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.67%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-23 13:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 64.59%EV -12.96%E -9.67%K -38.12%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.74%EV -19.36%E -3.52%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.67%EV -10.32%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-04-23 13:34 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (5)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.73% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.68% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.59% | 2.1% | 2026-04-24 00:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.65% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.97% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.38% | 2.2% | 2026-04-23 15:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.65% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.97% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.38% | 2.2% | 2026-04-23 15:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.65% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.97% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.38% | 2.2% | 2026-04-23 15:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.07% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.97% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.96% | 2.3% | 2026-04-24 00:30 |