L’École des cotes

Beijing FC v Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-25 11:35 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Beijing FC (Local)

Prévision 64.96%1.54cote équitable
EV -4.52%
Avantage -3.07%
Kelly -9.61%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.47

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.27%64.84%65.01%66.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.341.421.411.4774.63%70.64%70.92%68.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 14.66%6.82cote équitable
EV -4.11%
Avantage -0.628%
Kelly -0.742%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 6.54

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.84%14.80%14.58%16.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.506.216.266.5418.18%16.09%15.97%15.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 20.38%4.91cote équitable
EV -2.16%
Avantage -0.451%
Kelly -0.569%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.08%20.36%20.41%22.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.474.504.8026.67%22.36%22.22%20.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.84%EV -4.52%E -3.07%K -9.61%G +0.000%6.54I 15.29%NM 14.57%EV -4.11%E -0.628%K -0.742%G +0.000%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.59%EV -5.63%E -1.22%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 18:40
GTbets1.46I 68.49%NM 64.62%EV -5.17%E -3.54%K -11.23%G +0.000%6.38I 15.67%NM 14.79%EV -6.46%E -1.01%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.58I 21.83%NM 20.60%EV -6.65%E -1.45%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 13:35
LowVig.ag1.46I 68.49%NM 63.49%EV -5.17%E -3.54%K -11.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -12.03%E -2.00%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -10.32%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 11:09
BetOnline.ag1.46I 68.49%NM 63.49%EV -5.17%E -3.54%K -11.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -12.03%E -2.00%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -10.32%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 11:10
Pinnacle1.45I 68.97%NM 64.72%EV -5.82%E -4.01%K -12.92%G +0.000%6.27I 15.95%NM 14.97%EV -8.07%E -1.29%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.62I 21.65%NM 20.31%EV -5.83%E -1.26%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 05:55
Bovada1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.82%E -4.01%K -12.92%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.99%EV -8.36%E -1.34%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -6.24%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 05:46
BetUS1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.82%E -4.01%K -12.92%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.99%EV -8.36%E -1.34%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -6.24%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 05:49
DraftKings1.45I 68.97%NM 64.23%EV -5.82%E -4.01%K -12.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -12.03%E -2.00%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -6.24%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 11:00
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 62.27%EV -5.82%E -4.01%K -12.92%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.70%EV -15.69%E -2.73%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -16.43%E -4.01%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-23 05:49
Coolbet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.59%EV -6.46%E -4.49%K -14.69%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -4.70%E -0.722%K -0.854%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -3.18%E -0.670%K -0.849%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 07:15
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -6.46%E -4.49%K -14.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -12.03%E -2.00%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 07:15
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -6.46%E -4.49%K -14.69%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -15.69%E -2.73%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-21 12:34
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -6.46%E -4.49%K -14.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -12.03%E -2.00%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -14.39%E -3.43%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-21 15:39
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -6.46%E -4.49%K -14.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -12.03%E -2.00%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -14.39%E -3.43%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-21 15:40
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -6.46%E -4.49%K -14.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -12.03%E -2.00%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -14.39%E -3.43%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-21 15:39
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -6.46%E -4.49%K -14.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -12.03%E -2.00%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -14.39%E -3.43%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-21 15:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -6.46%E -4.49%K -14.69%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -19.36%E -3.52%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -11.74%E -2.71%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-23 11:40
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -6.46%E -4.49%K -14.69%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -19.36%E -3.52%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -11.74%E -2.71%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-23 11:39
Marathon Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 64.81%EV -7.11%E -4.97%K -16.54%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 14.59%EV -6.89%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 18:34
Unibet (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.90%EV -7.76%E -5.47%K -18.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -4.70%E -0.722%K -0.854%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -3.18%E -0.670%K -0.849%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 11:04
PointsBet (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -7.76%E -5.47%K -18.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -4.70%E -0.722%K -0.854%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-21 16:54
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.74%EV -7.76%E -5.47%K -18.49%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.83%EV -9.09%E -1.47%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 19:04
Bet Right1.41I 70.92%NM 65.35%EV -8.41%E -5.97%K -20.52%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -4.70%E -0.722%K -0.854%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-21 16:55
TABtouch1.41I 70.92%NM 65.35%EV -8.41%E -5.97%K -20.52%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -4.70%E -0.722%K -0.854%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 19:30
BetRivers1.41I 70.92%NM 65.35%EV -8.41%E -5.97%K -20.52%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -4.70%E -0.722%K -0.854%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 19:30
Unibet (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 65.35%EV -8.41%E -5.97%K -20.52%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -4.70%E -0.722%K -0.854%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 19:30
Grosvenor1.41I 70.92%NM 65.35%EV -8.41%E -5.97%K -20.52%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -4.70%E -0.722%K -0.854%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 19:30
LeoVegas1.41I 70.92%NM 65.35%EV -8.41%E -5.97%K -20.52%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -4.70%E -0.722%K -0.854%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 19:30
betPARX1.41I 70.92%NM 65.35%EV -8.41%E -5.97%K -20.52%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -4.70%E -0.722%K -0.854%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 19:30
Unibet (NL)1.41I 70.92%NM 65.35%EV -8.41%E -5.97%K -20.52%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -4.70%E -0.722%K -0.854%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 19:34
Unibet1.41I 70.92%NM 65.35%EV -8.41%E -5.97%K -20.52%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -4.70%E -0.722%K -0.854%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 19:34
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -9.06%E -6.47%K -22.66%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -4.70%E -0.722%K -0.854%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -3.18%E -0.670%K -0.849%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-21 16:55
NordicBet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -9.06%E -6.47%K -22.66%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -4.70%E -0.722%K -0.854%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -3.18%E -0.670%K -0.849%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 13:34
Betsson1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -9.06%E -6.47%K -22.66%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -4.70%E -0.722%K -0.854%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -3.18%E -0.670%K -0.849%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 13:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.37%EV -9.06%E -6.47%K -22.66%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.30%EV -6.16%E -0.963%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.34%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-22 19:35
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -9.06%E -6.47%K -22.66%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -4.70%E -0.722%K -0.854%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -10.32%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 11:54
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 62.98%EV -9.06%E -6.47%K -22.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -19.36%E -3.52%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -14.39%E -3.43%K -4.50%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-23 23:40
Codere (IT)1.38I 72.46%NM 65.39%EV -10.36%E -7.51%K -27.27%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.55%EV -9.09%E -1.47%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.05%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-23 13:34
LiveScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 65.17%EV -10.36%E -7.51%K -27.27%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.39%EV -8.36%E -1.34%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -10.32%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-22 19:30
Virgin Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 65.17%EV -10.36%E -7.51%K -27.27%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.39%EV -8.36%E -1.34%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -10.32%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-22 19:34
FanDuel1.37I 72.99%NM 66.84%EV -11.01%E -8.04%K -29.76%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -4.70%E -0.722%K -0.854%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -2.16%E -0.451%K -0.569%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 11:38
Winamax (DE)1.37I 72.99%NM 65.19%EV -11.01%E -8.04%K -29.76%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.40%EV -14.96%E -2.58%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -6.24%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-23 13:35
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -11.66%E -8.57%K -32.39%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -4.70%E -0.722%K -0.854%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-21 17:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 62.92%EV -11.66%E -8.57%K -32.39%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.26%EV -12.03%E -2.00%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.82%EV -23.57%E -6.28%K -8.57%G +0.000%16.9%2026-04-21 16:55
Unibet (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 66.05%EV -12.96%E -9.67%K -38.12%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.28%EV -9.09%E -1.47%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.67%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-23 13:34
Winamax (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 64.59%EV -12.96%E -9.67%K -38.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.74%EV -19.36%E -3.52%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.67%EV -10.32%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%15.5%2026-04-23 13:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi1.49I 67.11%NM 65.73%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.68%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.59%2.1%2026-04-24 00:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.49I 67.11%NM 65.65%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.97%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.38%2.2%2026-04-23 15:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.49I 67.11%NM 65.65%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.97%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.38%2.2%2026-04-23 15:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.49I 67.11%NM 65.65%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.97%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.38%2.2%2026-04-23 15:40
Matchbook1.48I 67.57%NM 66.07%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.97%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.96%2.3%2026-04-24 00:30