مدرسة الاحتمالات

Beijing FC v Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC

البداية: 2026-04-25 11:35 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

46 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Beijing FC (المضيف)

التنبؤ 64.96%1.54السعر العادل
EV -4.52%
الأفضلية -3.07%
Kelly -9.61%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.47

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
62.27%64.84%65.01%66.84%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.341.421.411.4774.63%70.64%70.92%68.03%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (الضيف)

التنبؤ 14.66%6.82السعر العادل
EV -4.11%
الأفضلية -0.628%
Kelly -0.742%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.54

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
13.84%14.80%14.58%16.42%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
5.506.216.266.5418.18%16.09%15.97%15.29%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 20.38%4.91السعر العادل
EV -2.16%
الأفضلية -0.451%
Kelly -0.569%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.80

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
19.08%20.36%20.41%22.82%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.754.474.504.8026.67%22.36%22.22%20.83%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (46 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.84%EV -4.52%E -3.07%K -9.61%G +0.000%6.54I 15.29%NM 14.57%EV -4.11%E -0.628%K -0.742%G +0.000%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.59%EV -5.63%E -1.22%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 18:40
GTbets1.46I 68.49%NM 64.62%EV -5.17%E -3.54%K -11.23%G +0.000%6.38I 15.67%NM 14.79%EV -6.46%E -1.01%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.58I 21.83%NM 20.60%EV -6.65%E -1.45%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 13:35
LowVig.ag1.46I 68.49%NM 63.49%EV -5.17%E -3.54%K -11.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -12.03%E -2.00%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -10.32%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 11:09
BetOnline.ag1.46I 68.49%NM 63.49%EV -5.17%E -3.54%K -11.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -12.03%E -2.00%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -10.32%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 11:10
Pinnacle1.45I 68.97%NM 64.72%EV -5.82%E -4.01%K -12.92%G +0.000%6.27I 15.95%NM 14.97%EV -8.07%E -1.29%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.62I 21.65%NM 20.31%EV -5.83%E -1.26%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 05:55
Bovada1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.82%E -4.01%K -12.92%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.99%EV -8.36%E -1.34%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -6.24%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 05:46
BetUS1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.82%E -4.01%K -12.92%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.99%EV -8.36%E -1.34%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -6.24%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 05:49
DraftKings1.45I 68.97%NM 64.23%EV -5.82%E -4.01%K -12.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -12.03%E -2.00%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -6.24%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 11:00
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 62.27%EV -5.82%E -4.01%K -12.92%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.70%EV -15.69%E -2.73%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -16.43%E -4.01%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-23 05:49
Coolbet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.59%EV -6.46%E -4.49%K -14.69%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -4.70%E -0.722%K -0.854%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -3.18%E -0.670%K -0.849%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 07:15
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -6.46%E -4.49%K -14.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -12.03%E -2.00%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 07:15
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -6.46%E -4.49%K -14.69%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -15.69%E -2.73%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-21 12:34
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -6.46%E -4.49%K -14.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -12.03%E -2.00%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -14.39%E -3.43%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-21 15:39
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -6.46%E -4.49%K -14.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -12.03%E -2.00%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -14.39%E -3.43%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-21 15:40
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -6.46%E -4.49%K -14.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -12.03%E -2.00%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -14.39%E -3.43%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-21 15:39
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -6.46%E -4.49%K -14.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -12.03%E -2.00%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -14.39%E -3.43%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-21 15:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -6.46%E -4.49%K -14.69%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -19.36%E -3.52%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -11.74%E -2.71%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-23 11:40
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -6.46%E -4.49%K -14.69%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -19.36%E -3.52%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -11.74%E -2.71%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-23 11:39
Marathon Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 64.81%EV -7.11%E -4.97%K -16.54%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 14.59%EV -6.89%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 18:34
Unibet (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.90%EV -7.76%E -5.47%K -18.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -4.70%E -0.722%K -0.854%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -3.18%E -0.670%K -0.849%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 11:04
PointsBet (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -7.76%E -5.47%K -18.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -4.70%E -0.722%K -0.854%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-21 16:54
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.74%EV -7.76%E -5.47%K -18.49%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.83%EV -9.09%E -1.47%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 19:04
Bet Right1.41I 70.92%NM 65.35%EV -8.41%E -5.97%K -20.52%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -4.70%E -0.722%K -0.854%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-21 16:55
TABtouch1.41I 70.92%NM 65.35%EV -8.41%E -5.97%K -20.52%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -4.70%E -0.722%K -0.854%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 19:30
BetRivers1.41I 70.92%NM 65.35%EV -8.41%E -5.97%K -20.52%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -4.70%E -0.722%K -0.854%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 19:30
Unibet (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 65.35%EV -8.41%E -5.97%K -20.52%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -4.70%E -0.722%K -0.854%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 19:30
Grosvenor1.41I 70.92%NM 65.35%EV -8.41%E -5.97%K -20.52%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -4.70%E -0.722%K -0.854%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 19:30
LeoVegas1.41I 70.92%NM 65.35%EV -8.41%E -5.97%K -20.52%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -4.70%E -0.722%K -0.854%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 19:30
betPARX1.41I 70.92%NM 65.35%EV -8.41%E -5.97%K -20.52%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -4.70%E -0.722%K -0.854%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 19:30
Unibet (NL)1.41I 70.92%NM 65.35%EV -8.41%E -5.97%K -20.52%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -4.70%E -0.722%K -0.854%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 19:34
Unibet1.41I 70.92%NM 65.35%EV -8.41%E -5.97%K -20.52%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -4.70%E -0.722%K -0.854%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 19:34
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -9.06%E -6.47%K -22.66%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -4.70%E -0.722%K -0.854%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -3.18%E -0.670%K -0.849%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-21 16:55
NordicBet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -9.06%E -6.47%K -22.66%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -4.70%E -0.722%K -0.854%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -3.18%E -0.670%K -0.849%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 13:34
Betsson1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -9.06%E -6.47%K -22.66%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -4.70%E -0.722%K -0.854%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -3.18%E -0.670%K -0.849%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 13:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.37%EV -9.06%E -6.47%K -22.66%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.30%EV -6.16%E -0.963%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.34%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-22 19:35
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -9.06%E -6.47%K -22.66%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -4.70%E -0.722%K -0.854%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -10.32%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 11:54
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 62.98%EV -9.06%E -6.47%K -22.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -19.36%E -3.52%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -14.39%E -3.43%K -4.50%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-23 23:40
Codere (IT)1.38I 72.46%NM 65.39%EV -10.36%E -7.51%K -27.27%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.55%EV -9.09%E -1.47%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.05%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-23 13:34
LiveScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 65.17%EV -10.36%E -7.51%K -27.27%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.39%EV -8.36%E -1.34%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -10.32%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-22 19:30
Virgin Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 65.17%EV -10.36%E -7.51%K -27.27%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.39%EV -8.36%E -1.34%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -10.32%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-22 19:34
FanDuel1.37I 72.99%NM 66.84%EV -11.01%E -8.04%K -29.76%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -4.70%E -0.722%K -0.854%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -2.16%E -0.451%K -0.569%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 11:38
Winamax (DE)1.37I 72.99%NM 65.19%EV -11.01%E -8.04%K -29.76%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.40%EV -14.96%E -2.58%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -6.24%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-23 13:35
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -11.66%E -8.57%K -32.39%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -4.70%E -0.722%K -0.854%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-21 17:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 62.92%EV -11.66%E -8.57%K -32.39%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.26%EV -12.03%E -2.00%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.82%EV -23.57%E -6.28%K -8.57%G +0.000%16.9%2026-04-21 16:55
Unibet (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 66.05%EV -12.96%E -9.67%K -38.12%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.28%EV -9.09%E -1.47%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.67%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-23 13:34
Winamax (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 64.59%EV -12.96%E -9.67%K -38.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.74%EV -19.36%E -3.52%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.67%EV -10.32%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%15.5%2026-04-23 13:34
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Kalshi1.49I 67.11%NM 65.73%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.68%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.59%2.1%2026-04-24 00:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.49I 67.11%NM 65.65%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.97%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.38%2.2%2026-04-23 15:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.49I 67.11%NM 65.65%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.97%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.38%2.2%2026-04-23 15:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.49I 67.11%NM 65.65%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.97%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.38%2.2%2026-04-23 15:40
Matchbook1.48I 67.57%NM 66.07%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.97%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.96%2.3%2026-04-24 00:30