Language:English
Beijing FC v Shanghai SIPG FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Beijing FC (Local)
Prediction 55.89%1.79fair odd
EV -2.19%
Edge -1.25%
Kelly -2.92%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.10%55.88%55.90%57.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.671.661.7563.69%59.94%60.24%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Shanghai SIPG FC (Visit)
Prediction 20.73%4.82fair odd
EV +4.08%
Edge +0.814%
Kelly +1.02%
Growth +0.042%
assuming max odds 5.02
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.06%20.76%20.75%23.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.334.255.0225.64%23.12%23.53%19.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.37%4.28fair odd
EV -1.83%
Edge -0.436%
Kelly -0.573%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.91%23.36%23.35%24.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.923.954.2029.41%25.53%25.32%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Beijing FC (Local): 55.89%; Shanghai SIPG FC (Visit): 20.73%; Draw: 23.37%. For Shanghai SIPG FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.82. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.02, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.08%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.96%EV -6.10%E -3.63%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 5.02I 19.92%NM 19.06%EV +4.08%E +0.814%K +1.02%G +0.042% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 23.98%EV -6.74%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-10 02:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.53%EV -6.66%E -3.99%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.27%EV +1.60%E +0.326%K +0.409%G +0.007% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -8.85%E -2.27%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-10 01:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.53%EV -6.66%E -3.99%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.27%EV +1.60%E +0.326%K +0.409%G +0.007% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -8.85%E -2.27%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-10 01:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.53%EV -6.66%E -3.99%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.27%EV +1.60%E +0.326%K +0.409%G +0.007% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -8.85%E -2.27%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-10 01:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.68%EV -7.22%E -4.35%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV +1.60%E +0.326%K +0.409%G +0.007% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -8.85%E -2.27%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-10 03:01 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.16%EV -4.98%E -2.93%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 4.84I 20.66%NM 19.73%EV +0.353%E +0.073%K +0.092%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 24.11%EV -7.44%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-09 23:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.41%EV -6.66%E -3.99%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.04%EV -2.55%E -0.543%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -6.51%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 22:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.19%EV -7.78%E -4.71%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.73%EV -2.55%E -0.543%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.08%EV -10.01%E -2.60%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-10 02:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.05%EV -9.45%E -5.84%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -4.62%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -12.35%E -3.29%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-09 23:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.39%EV -6.10%E -3.63%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.70%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -1.83%E -0.436%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 00:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -6.66%E -3.99%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.70%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.51%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-09 16:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -6.66%E -3.99%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.70%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.51%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 00:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -7.78%E -4.71%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -6.70%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -11.18%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-10 02:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.91%EV -7.78%E -4.71%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.73%EV -7.73%E -1.74%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -7.68%E -1.94%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-09 16:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.91%EV -7.78%E -4.71%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.73%EV -7.73%E -1.74%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -7.68%E -1.94%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-09 16:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.47%EV -7.22%E -4.35%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -8.77%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -8.85%E -2.27%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-09 23:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.17%EV -10.01%E -6.22%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -8.77%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -1.83%E -0.436%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-09 16:12 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -7.78%E -4.71%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -8.77%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.85%E -2.27%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-09 22:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.55%EV -10.01%E -6.22%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -8.77%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -6.51%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-10 02:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -4.98%E -2.93%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 4.36I 22.94%NM 21.46%EV -9.60%E -2.20%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.51%EV -6.98%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-08 19:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%EV -7.78%E -4.71%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.78%EV -9.81%E -2.25%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -13.52%E -3.65%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-10 02:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.92%EV -7.22%E -4.35%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.44%EV -10.22%E -2.36%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -4.17%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-09 16:14 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.46%EV -6.66%E -3.99%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.39%EV -10.22%E -2.36%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -6.51%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-10 00:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.22%EV -7.22%E -4.35%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.57%EV -11.88%E -2.80%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.21%EV -7.68%E -1.94%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-10 00:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 55.79%EV -11.13%E -7.00%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.87%EV -11.88%E -2.80%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.34%EV -11.18%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-09 23:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.39%EV -7.78%E -4.71%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -12.92%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -6.51%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-09 22:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.39%EV -7.78%E -4.71%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -12.92%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -6.51%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-09 22:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.39%EV -7.78%E -4.71%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -12.92%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -6.51%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-09 22:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.39%EV -7.78%E -4.71%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -12.92%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -6.51%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-09 22:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.54%EV -8.34%E -5.08%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.69%EV -12.92%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -6.51%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-09 16:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.84%EV -9.45%E -5.84%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -12.92%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -6.51%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-09 16:13 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.56%EV -7.78%E -4.71%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -12.92%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -12.35%E -3.29%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-09 22:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.56%EV -7.78%E -4.71%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -12.92%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -12.35%E -3.29%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-09 22:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 55.96%EV -12.25%E -7.80%K -21.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.92%EV -12.92%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.12%EV -11.18%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-09 22:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -2.19%E -1.25%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -17.06%E -4.27%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -7.68%E -1.94%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-09 16:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -2.19%E -1.25%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -17.06%E -4.27%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -7.68%E -1.94%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-09 16:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -2.19%E -1.25%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -17.06%E -4.27%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -7.68%E -1.94%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-09 16:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -2.19%E -1.25%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -17.06%E -4.27%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -7.68%E -1.94%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-09 16:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -2.19%E -1.25%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -17.06%E -4.27%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -7.68%E -1.94%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-09 16:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -2.19%E -1.25%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -17.06%E -4.27%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -7.68%E -1.94%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-09 16:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.16%EV -2.75%E -1.58%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -17.06%E -4.27%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -8.85%E -2.27%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-09 16:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 54.91%EV -10.57%E -6.61%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.97%EV -17.06%E -4.27%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.12%EV -11.18%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-09 16:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 53.93%EV -12.25%E -7.80%K -21.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.17%EV -17.06%E -4.27%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.90%EV -20.53%E -6.04%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.15%EV -3.31%E -1.91%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28%EV -18.10%E -4.58%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -8.85%E -2.27%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-09 16:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.29%EV -3.86%E -2.25%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.21%EV -18.10%E -4.58%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.85%E -2.27%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-09 16:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.10%EV -4.98%E -2.93%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.15%EV -19.14%E -4.91%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -11.18%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-09 16:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.10%EV -4.98%E -2.93%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.15%EV -19.14%E -4.91%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -11.18%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-09 16:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.49% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.79% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.72% | 1.2% | 2026-05-10 01:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.42% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.63% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.94% | 1.9% | 2026-05-10 02:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.42% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.63% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.94% | 1.9% | 2026-05-10 02:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.56% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.57% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.87% | 2.2% | 2026-05-10 03:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.56% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.57% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.87% | 2.2% | 2026-05-10 03:09 |