Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Beijing FC v Shanghai SIPG FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-10 11:35 UTC

Score final : Beijing FC 2–2 Shanghai SIPG FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Beijing FC (Local)

Prévision 55.89%1.79cote équitable
EV -2.19%
Avantage -1.25%
Kelly -2.92%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.10%55.88%55.90%57.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.571.671.661.7563.69%59.94%60.24%57.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Shanghai SIPG FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 20.73%4.82cote équitable
EV +4.08%
Avantage +0.814%
Kelly +1.02%
Croissance +0.042%

avec la cote maximale 5.02

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.06%20.76%20.75%23.28%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.904.334.255.0225.64%23.12%23.53%19.92%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 23.37%4.28cote équitable
EV -1.83%
Avantage -0.436%
Kelly -0.573%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.91%23.36%23.35%24.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.403.923.954.2029.41%25.53%25.32%23.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Beijing FC (Local) : 55.89% ; Shanghai SIPG FC (Visiteur) : 20.73% ; Match nul : 23.37%. Pour Shanghai SIPG FC (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.82. 6 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.02, soit une espérance positive de +4.08%.

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.96%EV -6.10%E -3.63%K -8.97%G +0.000%5.02I 19.92%NM 19.06%EV +4.08%E +0.814%K +1.02%G +0.042%3.99I 25.06%NM 23.98%EV -6.74%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-10 02:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.53%EV -6.66%E -3.99%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.27%EV +1.60%E +0.326%K +0.409%G +0.007%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -8.85%E -2.27%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 01:14
BetOnline.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.53%EV -6.66%E -3.99%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.27%EV +1.60%E +0.326%K +0.409%G +0.007%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -8.85%E -2.27%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 01:14
BetUS🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.53%EV -6.66%E -3.99%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.27%EV +1.60%E +0.326%K +0.409%G +0.007%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -8.85%E -2.27%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 01:14
Bovada🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.68%EV -7.22%E -4.35%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV +1.60%E +0.326%K +0.409%G +0.007%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -8.85%E -2.27%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 03:01
1xBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.16%EV -4.98%E -2.93%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.84I 20.66%NM 19.73%EV +0.353%E +0.073%K +0.092%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.11%EV -7.44%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 23:54
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.41%EV -6.66%E -3.99%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.04%EV -2.55%E -0.543%K -0.689%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -6.51%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 22:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.19%EV -7.78%E -4.71%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.73%EV -2.55%E -0.543%K -0.689%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.08%EV -10.01%E -2.60%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-10 02:55
Everygame🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.05%EV -9.45%E -5.84%K -15.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -4.62%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -12.35%E -3.29%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 23:49
Coolbet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.39%EV -6.10%E -3.63%K -8.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.70%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -1.83%E -0.436%K -0.573%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 00:19
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -6.66%E -3.99%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.70%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.51%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 16:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -6.66%E -3.99%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.70%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.51%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 00:19
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -7.78%E -4.71%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -6.70%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -11.18%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-10 02:55
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.91%EV -7.78%E -4.71%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.73%EV -7.73%E -1.74%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -7.68%E -1.94%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 16:10
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.91%EV -7.78%E -4.71%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.73%EV -7.73%E -1.74%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -7.68%E -1.94%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 16:09
Codere (IT)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.47%EV -7.22%E -4.35%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -8.77%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -8.85%E -2.27%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 23:40
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.17%EV -10.01%E -6.22%K -16.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -8.77%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -1.83%E -0.436%K -0.573%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 16:12
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -7.78%E -4.71%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -8.77%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.85%E -2.27%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-09 22:25
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.55%EV -10.01%E -6.22%K -16.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -8.77%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -6.51%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-10 02:59
GTbets🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -4.98%E -2.93%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 21.46%EV -9.60%E -2.20%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.51%EV -6.98%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 19:09
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%EV -7.78%E -4.71%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.78%EV -9.81%E -2.25%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -13.52%E -3.65%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-10 02:54
SportsBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.92%EV -7.22%E -4.35%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.44%EV -10.22%E -2.36%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -4.17%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 16:14
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.46%EV -6.66%E -3.99%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.39%EV -10.22%E -2.36%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -6.51%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-10 00:19
Bet Right🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.22%EV -7.22%E -4.35%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.57%EV -11.88%E -2.80%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.21%EV -7.68%E -1.94%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-10 00:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 55.79%EV -11.13%E -7.00%K -18.86%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.87%EV -11.88%E -2.80%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.34%EV -11.18%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-09 23:40
888sport🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.39%EV -7.78%E -4.71%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -12.92%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -6.51%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 22:34
William Hill🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.39%EV -7.78%E -4.71%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -12.92%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -6.51%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 22:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.39%EV -7.78%E -4.71%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -12.92%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -6.51%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 22:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.39%EV -7.78%E -4.71%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -12.92%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -6.51%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 22:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.54%EV -8.34%E -5.08%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.69%EV -12.92%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -6.51%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 16:09
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.84%EV -9.45%E -5.84%K -15.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -12.92%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -6.51%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-09 16:13
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.56%EV -7.78%E -4.71%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -12.92%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -12.35%E -3.29%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-09 22:29
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.56%EV -7.78%E -4.71%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -12.92%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -12.35%E -3.29%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-09 22:30
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 55.96%EV -12.25%E -7.80%K -21.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.92%EV -12.92%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.12%EV -11.18%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-09 22:24
Grosvenor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -2.19%E -1.25%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -17.06%E -4.27%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -7.68%E -1.94%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 16:44
Unibet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -2.19%E -1.25%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -17.06%E -4.27%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -7.68%E -1.94%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 16:44
Unibet (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -2.19%E -1.25%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -17.06%E -4.27%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -7.68%E -1.94%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 16:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -2.19%E -1.25%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -17.06%E -4.27%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -7.68%E -1.94%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 16:45
TABtouch🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -2.19%E -1.25%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -17.06%E -4.27%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -7.68%E -1.94%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 16:44
betPARX🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -2.19%E -1.25%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -17.06%E -4.27%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -7.68%E -1.94%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 16:45
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.16%EV -2.75%E -1.58%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -17.06%E -4.27%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -8.85%E -2.27%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 16:44
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 54.91%EV -10.57%E -6.61%K -17.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.97%EV -17.06%E -4.27%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.12%EV -11.18%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-09 16:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 53.93%EV -12.25%E -7.80%K -21.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.17%EV -17.06%E -4.27%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.90%EV -20.53%E -6.04%K -8.55%G +0.000%18.1%2026-05-09 14:59
LeoVegas🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.15%EV -3.31%E -1.91%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28%EV -18.10%E -4.58%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -8.85%E -2.27%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 16:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.29%EV -3.86%E -2.25%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.21%EV -18.10%E -4.58%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.85%E -2.27%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 16:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.10%EV -4.98%E -2.93%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.15%EV -19.14%E -4.91%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -11.18%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-09 16:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.10%EV -4.98%E -2.93%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.15%EV -19.14%E -4.91%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -11.18%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-09 16:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 58.49%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.79%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.72%1.2%2026-05-10 01:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.42%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.63%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.94%1.9%2026-05-10 02:44
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.42%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.63%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.94%1.9%2026-05-10 02:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 56.56%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.57%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.87%2.2%2026-05-10 03:05
Matchbook1.73I 57.80%NM 56.56%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.57%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.87%2.2%2026-05-10 03:09