La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Beijing FC v Shanghai SIPG FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Beijing FC (Local)
Predicción 55.89%1.79momio equitativo
EV -2.19%
Ventaja -1.25%
Kelly -2.92%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.10%55.88%55.90%57.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.571.671.661.7563.69%59.94%60.24%57.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Shanghai SIPG FC (Visitante)
Predicción 20.73%4.82momio equitativo
EV +4.08%
Ventaja +0.814%
Kelly +1.02%
Crecimiento +0.042%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.02
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.06%20.76%20.75%23.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.904.334.255.0225.64%23.12%23.53%19.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 23.37%4.28momio equitativo
EV -1.83%
Ventaja -0.436%
Kelly -0.573%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.91%23.36%23.35%24.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.923.954.2029.41%25.53%25.32%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.96%EV -6.10%E -3.63%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 5.02I 19.92%NM 19.06%EV +4.08%E +0.814%K +1.02%G +0.042% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 23.98%EV -6.74%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-10 02:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.53%EV -6.66%E -3.99%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.27%EV +1.60%E +0.326%K +0.409%G +0.007% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -8.85%E -2.27%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-10 01:14 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.53%EV -6.66%E -3.99%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.27%EV +1.60%E +0.326%K +0.409%G +0.007% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -8.85%E -2.27%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-10 01:14 |
| BetUS | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.53%EV -6.66%E -3.99%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.27%EV +1.60%E +0.326%K +0.409%G +0.007% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -8.85%E -2.27%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-10 01:14 |
| Bovada | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.68%EV -7.22%E -4.35%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV +1.60%E +0.326%K +0.409%G +0.007% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -8.85%E -2.27%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-10 03:01 |
| 1xBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.16%EV -4.98%E -2.93%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 4.84I 20.66%NM 19.73%EV +0.353%E +0.073%K +0.092%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 24.11%EV -7.44%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-09 23:54 |
| DraftKings | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.41%EV -6.66%E -3.99%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.04%EV -2.55%E -0.543%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -6.51%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 22:24 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.19%EV -7.78%E -4.71%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.73%EV -2.55%E -0.543%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.08%EV -10.01%E -2.60%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-10 02:55 |
| Everygame | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.05%EV -9.45%E -5.84%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -4.62%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -12.35%E -3.29%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-09 23:49 |
| Coolbet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.39%EV -6.10%E -3.63%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.70%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -1.83%E -0.436%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 00:19 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -6.66%E -3.99%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.70%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.51%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-09 16:09 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -6.66%E -3.99%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.70%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.51%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 00:19 |
| Betway | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -7.78%E -4.71%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -6.70%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -11.18%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-10 02:55 |
| NordicBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.91%EV -7.78%E -4.71%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.73%EV -7.73%E -1.74%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -7.68%E -1.94%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-09 16:10 |
| Betsson | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.91%EV -7.78%E -4.71%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.73%EV -7.73%E -1.74%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -7.68%E -1.94%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-09 16:09 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.47%EV -7.22%E -4.35%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -8.77%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -8.85%E -2.27%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-09 23:40 |
| FanDuel | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.17%EV -10.01%E -6.22%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -8.77%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -1.83%E -0.436%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-09 16:12 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -7.78%E -4.71%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -8.77%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.85%E -2.27%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-09 22:25 |
| Bet Victor | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.55%EV -10.01%E -6.22%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -8.77%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -6.51%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-10 02:59 |
| GTbets | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -4.98%E -2.93%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 4.36I 22.94%NM 21.46%EV -9.60%E -2.20%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.51%EV -6.98%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-08 19:09 |
| PlayUp | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%EV -7.78%E -4.71%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.78%EV -9.81%E -2.25%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -13.52%E -3.65%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-10 02:54 |
| SportsBet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.92%EV -7.22%E -4.35%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.44%EV -10.22%E -2.36%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -4.17%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-09 16:14 |
| betfred_uk | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.46%EV -6.66%E -3.99%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.39%EV -10.22%E -2.36%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -6.51%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-10 00:19 |
| Bet Right | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.22%EV -7.22%E -4.35%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.57%EV -11.88%E -2.80%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.21%EV -7.68%E -1.94%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-10 00:19 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 55.79%EV -11.13%E -7.00%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.87%EV -11.88%E -2.80%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.34%EV -11.18%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-09 23:40 |
| 888sport | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.39%EV -7.78%E -4.71%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -12.92%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -6.51%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-09 22:34 |
| William Hill | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.39%EV -7.78%E -4.71%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -12.92%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -6.51%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-09 22:34 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.39%EV -7.78%E -4.71%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -12.92%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -6.51%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-09 22:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.39%EV -7.78%E -4.71%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -12.92%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -6.51%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-09 22:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.54%EV -8.34%E -5.08%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.69%EV -12.92%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -6.51%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-09 16:09 |
| Paddy Power | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.84%EV -9.45%E -5.84%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -12.92%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -6.51%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-09 16:13 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.56%EV -7.78%E -4.71%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -12.92%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -12.35%E -3.29%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-09 22:29 |
| Neds | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.56%EV -7.78%E -4.71%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -12.92%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -12.35%E -3.29%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-09 22:30 |
| BoyleSports | 1.57I 63.69%NM 55.96%EV -12.25%E -7.80%K -21.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.92%EV -12.92%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.12%EV -11.18%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-09 22:24 |
| Grosvenor | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -2.19%E -1.25%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -17.06%E -4.27%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -7.68%E -1.94%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-09 16:44 |
| Unibet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -2.19%E -1.25%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -17.06%E -4.27%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -7.68%E -1.94%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-09 16:44 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -2.19%E -1.25%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -17.06%E -4.27%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -7.68%E -1.94%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-09 16:44 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -2.19%E -1.25%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -17.06%E -4.27%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -7.68%E -1.94%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-09 16:45 |
| TABtouch | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -2.19%E -1.25%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -17.06%E -4.27%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -7.68%E -1.94%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-09 16:44 |
| betPARX | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -2.19%E -1.25%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -17.06%E -4.27%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -7.68%E -1.94%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-09 16:45 |
| BetRivers | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.16%EV -2.75%E -1.58%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -17.06%E -4.27%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -8.85%E -2.27%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-09 16:44 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 54.91%EV -10.57%E -6.61%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.97%EV -17.06%E -4.27%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.12%EV -11.18%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-09 16:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 53.93%EV -12.25%E -7.80%K -21.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.17%EV -17.06%E -4.27%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.90%EV -20.53%E -6.04%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| LeoVegas | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.15%EV -3.31%E -1.91%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28%EV -18.10%E -4.58%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -8.85%E -2.27%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-09 16:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.29%EV -3.86%E -2.25%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.21%EV -18.10%E -4.58%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.85%E -2.27%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-09 16:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.10%EV -4.98%E -2.93%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.15%EV -19.14%E -4.91%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -11.18%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-09 16:44 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.10%EV -4.98%E -2.93%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.15%EV -19.14%E -4.91%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -11.18%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-09 16:44 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.49% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.79% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.72% | 1.2% | 2026-05-10 01:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.42% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.63% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.94% | 1.9% | 2026-05-10 02:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.42% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.63% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.94% | 1.9% | 2026-05-10 02:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.56% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.57% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.87% | 2.2% | 2026-05-10 03:05 |
| Matchbook | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.56% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.57% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.87% | 2.2% | 2026-05-10 03:09 |