语言:简体中文
Beijing FC v Shanghai SIPG FC
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Beijing FC (主队)
预测 55.89%1.79公平赔率
EV -2.19%
优势 -1.25%
Kelly -2.92%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.75
博彩公司预测分布
53.10%55.88%55.90%57.17%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.571.671.661.7563.69%59.94%60.24%57.14%最小值均值中位数最大值
Shanghai SIPG FC (客队)
预测 20.73%4.82公平赔率
EV +4.08%
优势 +0.814%
Kelly +1.02%
增长率 +0.042%
假设最高赔率为 5.02
博彩公司预测分布
19.06%20.76%20.75%23.28%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.904.334.255.0225.64%23.12%23.53%19.92%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 23.37%4.28公平赔率
EV -1.83%
优势 -0.436%
Kelly -0.573%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 4.20
博彩公司预测分布
21.91%23.36%23.35%24.90%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.403.923.954.2029.41%25.53%25.32%23.81%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Beijing FC (主队)：55.89%；Shanghai SIPG FC (客队)：20.73%；平局：23.37%。 对于“Shanghai SIPG FC (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.82。 当时有6家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为5.02，对应+4.08%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (47 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.96%EV -6.10%E -3.63%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 5.02I 19.92%NM 19.06%EV +4.08%E +0.814%K +1.02%G +0.042% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 23.98%EV -6.74%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-10 02:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.53%EV -6.66%E -3.99%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.27%EV +1.60%E +0.326%K +0.409%G +0.007% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -8.85%E -2.27%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-10 01:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.53%EV -6.66%E -3.99%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.27%EV +1.60%E +0.326%K +0.409%G +0.007% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -8.85%E -2.27%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-10 01:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.53%EV -6.66%E -3.99%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.27%EV +1.60%E +0.326%K +0.409%G +0.007% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -8.85%E -2.27%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-10 01:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.68%EV -7.22%E -4.35%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV +1.60%E +0.326%K +0.409%G +0.007% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -8.85%E -2.27%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-10 03:01 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.16%EV -4.98%E -2.93%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 4.84I 20.66%NM 19.73%EV +0.353%E +0.073%K +0.092%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 24.11%EV -7.44%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-09 23:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.41%EV -6.66%E -3.99%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.04%EV -2.55%E -0.543%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -6.51%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 22:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.19%EV -7.78%E -4.71%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.73%EV -2.55%E -0.543%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.08%EV -10.01%E -2.60%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-10 02:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.05%EV -9.45%E -5.84%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -4.62%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -12.35%E -3.29%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-09 23:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.39%EV -6.10%E -3.63%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.70%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -1.83%E -0.436%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 00:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -6.66%E -3.99%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.70%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.51%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-09 16:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -6.66%E -3.99%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.70%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.51%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 00:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -7.78%E -4.71%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -6.70%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -11.18%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-10 02:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.91%EV -7.78%E -4.71%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.73%EV -7.73%E -1.74%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -7.68%E -1.94%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-09 16:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.91%EV -7.78%E -4.71%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.73%EV -7.73%E -1.74%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -7.68%E -1.94%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-09 16:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.47%EV -7.22%E -4.35%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -8.77%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -8.85%E -2.27%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-09 23:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.17%EV -10.01%E -6.22%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -8.77%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -1.83%E -0.436%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-09 16:12 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -7.78%E -4.71%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -8.77%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.85%E -2.27%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-09 22:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.55%EV -10.01%E -6.22%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -8.77%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -6.51%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-10 02:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -4.98%E -2.93%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 4.36I 22.94%NM 21.46%EV -9.60%E -2.20%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.51%EV -6.98%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-08 19:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%EV -7.78%E -4.71%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.78%EV -9.81%E -2.25%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -13.52%E -3.65%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-10 02:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.92%EV -7.22%E -4.35%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.44%EV -10.22%E -2.36%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -4.17%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-09 16:14 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.46%EV -6.66%E -3.99%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.39%EV -10.22%E -2.36%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -6.51%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-10 00:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.22%EV -7.22%E -4.35%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.57%EV -11.88%E -2.80%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.21%EV -7.68%E -1.94%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-10 00:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 55.79%EV -11.13%E -7.00%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.87%EV -11.88%E -2.80%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.34%EV -11.18%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-09 23:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.39%EV -7.78%E -4.71%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -12.92%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -6.51%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-09 22:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.39%EV -7.78%E -4.71%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -12.92%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -6.51%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-09 22:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.39%EV -7.78%E -4.71%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -12.92%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -6.51%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-09 22:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.39%EV -7.78%E -4.71%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -12.92%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -6.51%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-09 22:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.54%EV -8.34%E -5.08%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.69%EV -12.92%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -6.51%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-09 16:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.84%EV -9.45%E -5.84%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -12.92%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -6.51%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-09 16:13 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.56%EV -7.78%E -4.71%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -12.92%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -12.35%E -3.29%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-09 22:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.56%EV -7.78%E -4.71%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -12.92%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -12.35%E -3.29%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-09 22:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 55.96%EV -12.25%E -7.80%K -21.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.92%EV -12.92%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.12%EV -11.18%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-09 22:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -2.19%E -1.25%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -17.06%E -4.27%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -7.68%E -1.94%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-09 16:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -2.19%E -1.25%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -17.06%E -4.27%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -7.68%E -1.94%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-09 16:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -2.19%E -1.25%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -17.06%E -4.27%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -7.68%E -1.94%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-09 16:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -2.19%E -1.25%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -17.06%E -4.27%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -7.68%E -1.94%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-09 16:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -2.19%E -1.25%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -17.06%E -4.27%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -7.68%E -1.94%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-09 16:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -2.19%E -1.25%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -17.06%E -4.27%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -7.68%E -1.94%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-09 16:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.16%EV -2.75%E -1.58%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -17.06%E -4.27%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -8.85%E -2.27%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-09 16:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 54.91%EV -10.57%E -6.61%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.97%EV -17.06%E -4.27%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.12%EV -11.18%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-09 16:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 53.93%EV -12.25%E -7.80%K -21.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.17%EV -17.06%E -4.27%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.90%EV -20.53%E -6.04%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-05-09 14:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.15%EV -3.31%E -1.91%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28%EV -18.10%E -4.58%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -8.85%E -2.27%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-09 16:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.29%EV -3.86%E -2.25%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.21%EV -18.10%E -4.58%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.85%E -2.27%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-09 16:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.10%EV -4.98%E -2.93%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.15%EV -19.14%E -4.91%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -11.18%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-09 16:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.10%EV -4.98%E -2.93%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.15%EV -19.14%E -4.91%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -11.18%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-09 16:44 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.49% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.79% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.72% | 1.2% | 2026-05-10 01:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.42% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.63% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.94% | 1.9% | 2026-05-10 02:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.42% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.63% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.94% | 1.9% | 2026-05-10 02:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.56% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.57% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.87% | 2.2% | 2026-05-10 03:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.56% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.57% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.87% | 2.2% | 2026-05-10 03:09 |