Школа коэффициентов

Beijing FC v Shanghai SIPG FC

Начало: 2026-05-10 11:35 UTC

Итог: Beijing FC 2–2 Shanghai SIPG FC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

47 букмекерских контор (17 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Beijing FC (Хозяева)

Прогноз 55.89%1.79справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.19%
Преимущество -1.25%
Kelly -2.92%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.75

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
53.10%55.88%55.90%57.17%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.571.671.661.7563.69%59.94%60.24%57.14%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Shanghai SIPG FC (Гости)

Прогноз 20.73%4.82справедливый коэффициент
EV +4.08%
Преимущество +0.814%
Kelly +1.02%
Рост +0.042%

при максимальном коэффициенте 5.02

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
19.06%20.76%20.75%23.28%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.904.334.255.0225.64%23.12%23.53%19.92%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 23.37%4.28справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.83%
Преимущество -0.436%
Kelly -0.573%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.20

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
21.91%23.36%23.35%24.90%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.403.923.954.2029.41%25.53%25.32%23.81%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (47 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 56.96%EV -6.10%E -3.63%K -8.97%G +0.000%5.02I 19.92%NM 19.06%EV +4.08%E +0.814%K +1.02%G +0.042%3.99I 25.06%NM 23.98%EV -6.74%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-10 02:54
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 56.53%EV -6.66%E -3.99%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.27%EV +1.60%E +0.326%K +0.409%G +0.007%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -8.85%E -2.27%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 01:14
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 56.53%EV -6.66%E -3.99%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.27%EV +1.60%E +0.326%K +0.409%G +0.007%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -8.85%E -2.27%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 01:14
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 56.53%EV -6.66%E -3.99%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.27%EV +1.60%E +0.326%K +0.409%G +0.007%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -8.85%E -2.27%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 01:14
Bovada1.66I 60.24%NM 56.68%EV -7.22%E -4.35%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV +1.60%E +0.326%K +0.409%G +0.007%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -8.85%E -2.27%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 03:01
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.16%EV -4.98%E -2.93%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.84I 20.66%NM 19.73%EV +0.353%E +0.073%K +0.092%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.11%EV -7.44%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 23:54
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 56.41%EV -6.66%E -3.99%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.04%EV -2.55%E -0.543%K -0.689%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -6.51%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 22:24
Marathon Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.19%EV -7.78%E -4.71%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.73%EV -2.55%E -0.543%K -0.689%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.08%EV -10.01%E -2.60%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-10 02:55
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 56.05%EV -9.45%E -5.84%K -15.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -4.62%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -12.35%E -3.29%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 23:49
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.39%EV -6.10%E -3.63%K -8.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.70%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -1.83%E -0.436%K -0.573%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 00:19
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -6.66%E -3.99%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.70%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.51%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 16:09
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -6.66%E -3.99%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.70%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.51%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 00:19
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -7.78%E -4.71%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -6.70%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -11.18%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-10 02:55
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 55.91%EV -7.78%E -4.71%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.73%EV -7.73%E -1.74%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -7.68%E -1.94%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 16:10
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 55.91%EV -7.78%E -4.71%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.73%EV -7.73%E -1.74%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -7.68%E -1.94%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 16:09
Codere (IT)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.47%EV -7.22%E -4.35%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -8.77%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -8.85%E -2.27%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 23:40
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 57.17%EV -10.01%E -6.22%K -16.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -8.77%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -1.83%E -0.436%K -0.573%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 16:12
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -7.78%E -4.71%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -8.77%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.85%E -2.27%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-09 22:25
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 56.55%EV -10.01%E -6.22%K -16.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -8.77%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -6.51%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-10 02:59
GTbets1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -4.98%E -2.93%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 21.46%EV -9.60%E -2.20%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.51%EV -6.98%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 19:09
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%EV -7.78%E -4.71%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.78%EV -9.81%E -2.25%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -13.52%E -3.65%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-10 02:54
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 55.92%EV -7.22%E -4.35%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.44%EV -10.22%E -2.36%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -4.17%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 16:14
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 55.46%EV -6.66%E -3.99%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.39%EV -10.22%E -2.36%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -6.51%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-10 00:19
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 55.22%EV -7.22%E -4.35%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.57%EV -11.88%E -2.80%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.21%EV -7.68%E -1.94%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-10 00:19
Unibet (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 55.79%EV -11.13%E -7.00%K -18.86%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.87%EV -11.88%E -2.80%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.34%EV -11.18%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-09 23:40
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 55.39%EV -7.78%E -4.71%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -12.92%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -6.51%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 22:34
William Hill1.65I 60.61%NM 55.39%EV -7.78%E -4.71%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -12.92%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -6.51%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 22:34
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.39%EV -7.78%E -4.71%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -12.92%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -6.51%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 22:30
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.39%EV -7.78%E -4.71%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -12.92%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -6.51%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 22:29
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.54%EV -8.34%E -5.08%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.69%EV -12.92%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -6.51%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 16:09
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 55.84%EV -9.45%E -5.84%K -15.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -12.92%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -6.51%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-09 16:13
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.56%EV -7.78%E -4.71%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -12.92%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -12.35%E -3.29%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-09 22:29
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 54.56%EV -7.78%E -4.71%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -12.92%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -12.35%E -3.29%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-09 22:30
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 55.96%EV -12.25%E -7.80%K -21.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.92%EV -12.92%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.12%EV -11.18%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-09 22:24
Grosvenor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -2.19%E -1.25%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -17.06%E -4.27%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -7.68%E -1.94%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 16:44
Unibet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -2.19%E -1.25%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -17.06%E -4.27%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -7.68%E -1.94%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 16:44
Unibet (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -2.19%E -1.25%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -17.06%E -4.27%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -7.68%E -1.94%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 16:44
Unibet (NL)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -2.19%E -1.25%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -17.06%E -4.27%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -7.68%E -1.94%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 16:45
TABtouch1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -2.19%E -1.25%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -17.06%E -4.27%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -7.68%E -1.94%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 16:44
betPARX1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -2.19%E -1.25%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -17.06%E -4.27%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -7.68%E -1.94%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 16:45
BetRivers1.74I 57.47%NM 53.16%EV -2.75%E -1.58%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -17.06%E -4.27%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -8.85%E -2.27%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 16:44
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 54.91%EV -10.57%E -6.61%K -17.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.97%EV -17.06%E -4.27%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.12%EV -11.18%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-09 16:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 53.93%EV -12.25%E -7.80%K -21.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.17%EV -17.06%E -4.27%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.90%EV -20.53%E -6.04%K -8.55%G +0.000%18.1%2026-05-09 14:59
LeoVegas1.73I 57.80%NM 53.15%EV -3.31%E -1.91%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28%EV -18.10%E -4.58%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -8.85%E -2.27%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 16:44
LeoVegas (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.29%EV -3.86%E -2.25%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.21%EV -18.10%E -4.58%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.85%E -2.27%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 16:45
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.10%EV -4.98%E -2.93%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.15%EV -19.14%E -4.91%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -11.18%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-09 16:44
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.10%EV -4.98%E -2.93%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.15%EV -19.14%E -4.91%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -11.18%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-09 16:44
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 58.49%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.79%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.72%1.2%2026-05-10 01:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.42%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.63%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.94%1.9%2026-05-10 02:44
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.42%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.63%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.94%1.9%2026-05-10 02:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 56.56%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.57%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.87%2.2%2026-05-10 03:05
Matchbook1.73I 57.80%NM 56.56%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.57%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.87%2.2%2026-05-10 03:09