مدرسة الاحتمالات

Beijing FC v Shanghai SIPG FC

البداية: 2026-05-10 11:35 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Beijing FC 2–2 Shanghai SIPG FC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

47 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Beijing FC (المضيف)

التنبؤ 55.89%1.79السعر العادل
EV -2.19%
الأفضلية -1.25%
Kelly -2.92%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
53.10%55.88%55.90%57.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.571.671.661.7563.69%59.94%60.24%57.14%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Shanghai SIPG FC (الضيف)

التنبؤ 20.73%4.82السعر العادل
EV +4.08%
الأفضلية +0.814%
Kelly +1.02%
النمو +0.042%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.02

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
19.06%20.76%20.75%23.28%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.904.334.255.0225.64%23.12%23.53%19.92%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 23.37%4.28السعر العادل
EV -1.83%
الأفضلية -0.436%
Kelly -0.573%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.20

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.91%23.36%23.35%24.90%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.403.923.954.2029.41%25.53%25.32%23.81%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (47 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 56.96%EV -6.10%E -3.63%K -8.97%G +0.000%5.02I 19.92%NM 19.06%EV +4.08%E +0.814%K +1.02%G +0.042%3.99I 25.06%NM 23.98%EV -6.74%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-10 02:54
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 56.53%EV -6.66%E -3.99%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.27%EV +1.60%E +0.326%K +0.409%G +0.007%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -8.85%E -2.27%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 01:14
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 56.53%EV -6.66%E -3.99%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.27%EV +1.60%E +0.326%K +0.409%G +0.007%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -8.85%E -2.27%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 01:14
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 56.53%EV -6.66%E -3.99%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.27%EV +1.60%E +0.326%K +0.409%G +0.007%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -8.85%E -2.27%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 01:14
Bovada1.66I 60.24%NM 56.68%EV -7.22%E -4.35%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV +1.60%E +0.326%K +0.409%G +0.007%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -8.85%E -2.27%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 03:01
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.16%EV -4.98%E -2.93%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.84I 20.66%NM 19.73%EV +0.353%E +0.073%K +0.092%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.11%EV -7.44%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 23:54
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 56.41%EV -6.66%E -3.99%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.04%EV -2.55%E -0.543%K -0.689%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -6.51%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 22:24
Marathon Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.19%EV -7.78%E -4.71%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.73%EV -2.55%E -0.543%K -0.689%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.08%EV -10.01%E -2.60%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-10 02:55
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 56.05%EV -9.45%E -5.84%K -15.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -4.62%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -12.35%E -3.29%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 23:49
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.39%EV -6.10%E -3.63%K -8.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.70%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -1.83%E -0.436%K -0.573%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 00:19
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -6.66%E -3.99%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.70%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.51%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 16:09
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -6.66%E -3.99%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.70%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.51%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 00:19
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -7.78%E -4.71%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -6.70%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -11.18%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-10 02:55
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 55.91%EV -7.78%E -4.71%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.73%EV -7.73%E -1.74%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -7.68%E -1.94%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 16:10
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 55.91%EV -7.78%E -4.71%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.73%EV -7.73%E -1.74%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -7.68%E -1.94%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 16:09
Codere (IT)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.47%EV -7.22%E -4.35%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -8.77%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -8.85%E -2.27%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 23:40
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 57.17%EV -10.01%E -6.22%K -16.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -8.77%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -1.83%E -0.436%K -0.573%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 16:12
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -7.78%E -4.71%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -8.77%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.85%E -2.27%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-09 22:25
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 56.55%EV -10.01%E -6.22%K -16.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -8.77%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -6.51%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-10 02:59
GTbets1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -4.98%E -2.93%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 21.46%EV -9.60%E -2.20%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.51%EV -6.98%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 19:09
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%EV -7.78%E -4.71%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.78%EV -9.81%E -2.25%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -13.52%E -3.65%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-10 02:54
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 55.92%EV -7.22%E -4.35%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.44%EV -10.22%E -2.36%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -4.17%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 16:14
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 55.46%EV -6.66%E -3.99%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.39%EV -10.22%E -2.36%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -6.51%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-10 00:19
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 55.22%EV -7.22%E -4.35%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.57%EV -11.88%E -2.80%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.21%EV -7.68%E -1.94%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-10 00:19
Unibet (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 55.79%EV -11.13%E -7.00%K -18.86%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.87%EV -11.88%E -2.80%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.34%EV -11.18%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-09 23:40
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 55.39%EV -7.78%E -4.71%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -12.92%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -6.51%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 22:34
William Hill1.65I 60.61%NM 55.39%EV -7.78%E -4.71%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -12.92%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -6.51%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 22:34
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.39%EV -7.78%E -4.71%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -12.92%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -6.51%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 22:30
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.39%EV -7.78%E -4.71%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -12.92%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -6.51%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 22:29
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.54%EV -8.34%E -5.08%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.69%EV -12.92%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -6.51%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 16:09
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 55.84%EV -9.45%E -5.84%K -15.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -12.92%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -6.51%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-09 16:13
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.56%EV -7.78%E -4.71%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -12.92%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -12.35%E -3.29%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-09 22:29
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 54.56%EV -7.78%E -4.71%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -12.92%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -12.35%E -3.29%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-09 22:30
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 55.96%EV -12.25%E -7.80%K -21.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.92%EV -12.92%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.12%EV -11.18%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-09 22:24
Grosvenor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -2.19%E -1.25%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -17.06%E -4.27%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -7.68%E -1.94%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 16:44
Unibet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -2.19%E -1.25%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -17.06%E -4.27%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -7.68%E -1.94%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 16:44
Unibet (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -2.19%E -1.25%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -17.06%E -4.27%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -7.68%E -1.94%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 16:44
Unibet (NL)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -2.19%E -1.25%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -17.06%E -4.27%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -7.68%E -1.94%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 16:45
TABtouch1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -2.19%E -1.25%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -17.06%E -4.27%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -7.68%E -1.94%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 16:44
betPARX1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -2.19%E -1.25%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -17.06%E -4.27%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -7.68%E -1.94%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 16:45
BetRivers1.74I 57.47%NM 53.16%EV -2.75%E -1.58%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -17.06%E -4.27%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -8.85%E -2.27%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 16:44
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 54.91%EV -10.57%E -6.61%K -17.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.97%EV -17.06%E -4.27%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.12%EV -11.18%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-09 16:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 53.93%EV -12.25%E -7.80%K -21.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.17%EV -17.06%E -4.27%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.90%EV -20.53%E -6.04%K -8.55%G +0.000%18.1%2026-05-09 14:59
LeoVegas1.73I 57.80%NM 53.15%EV -3.31%E -1.91%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28%EV -18.10%E -4.58%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -8.85%E -2.27%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 16:44
LeoVegas (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.29%EV -3.86%E -2.25%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.21%EV -18.10%E -4.58%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.85%E -2.27%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 16:45
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.10%EV -4.98%E -2.93%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.15%EV -19.14%E -4.91%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -11.18%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-09 16:44
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.10%EV -4.98%E -2.93%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.15%EV -19.14%E -4.91%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -11.18%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-09 16:44
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 58.49%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.79%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.72%1.2%2026-05-10 01:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.42%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.63%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.94%1.9%2026-05-10 02:44
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.42%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.63%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.94%1.9%2026-05-10 02:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 56.56%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.57%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.87%2.2%2026-05-10 03:05
Matchbook1.73I 57.80%NM 56.56%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.57%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.87%2.2%2026-05-10 03:09