语言:简体中文
Palestino v La Serena
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Palestino (主队)
预测 47.34%2.11公平赔率
EV -5.31%
优势 -2.66%
Kelly -5.31%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.00
博彩公司预测分布
44.93%47.47%47.28%50.30%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.801.941.952.0055.56%51.53%51.28%50.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
La Serena (客队)
预测 25.75%3.88公平赔率
EV +1.70%
优势 +0.431%
Kelly +0.578%
增长率 +0.010%
假设最高赔率为 3.95
博彩公司预测分布
23.83%25.63%25.81%27.04%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.103.543.553.9532.26%28.24%28.17%25.32%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 26.91%3.72公平赔率
EV -2.06%
优势 -0.565%
Kelly -0.779%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.64
博彩公司预测分布
25.87%26.91%26.92%28.55%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.883.373.373.6434.72%29.71%29.67%27.47%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Palestino (主队)：47.34%；La Serena (客队)：25.75%；平局：26.91%。 对于“La Serena (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.88。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.95，对应+1.70%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (49 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.37%EV -5.78%E -2.91%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.37%EV +1.70%E +0.431%K +0.578%G +0.010% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.27%EV -5.02%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-15 23:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.32%EV -6.73%E -3.42%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.10%EV +1.70%E +0.431%K +0.578%G +0.010% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.59%EV -7.17%E -2.08%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-15 22:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.52%EV -6.26%E -3.16%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.08%EV -1.39%E -0.362%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.39%EV -2.06%E -0.565%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-15 23:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.80%EV -7.21%E -3.68%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.65%EV -2.16%E -0.568%K -0.771%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-15 23:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.80%EV -7.21%E -3.68%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.65%EV -2.16%E -0.568%K -0.771%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-15 23:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -14.78%E -8.21%K -18.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -2.16%E -0.568%K -0.771%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -5.82%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-15 23:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.74%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.63%EV -2.67%E -0.707%K -0.962%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 27.63%EV -9.32%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-15 12:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.16%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -4.73%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.46%EV -4.48%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-15 23:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -9.10%E -4.74%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -4.73%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -7.17%E -2.08%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-15 23:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -9.10%E -4.74%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -4.73%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -7.17%E -2.08%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-15 23:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.76%EV -8.15%E -4.20%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 25.31%EV -5.76%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 26.93%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-15 23:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.76%EV -12.41%E -6.71%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -6.02%E -1.65%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.53%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-15 22:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.31%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -3.13%E -0.870%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-15 21:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.31%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.82%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-15 23:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.71%EV -6.26%E -3.16%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -7.31%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -9.86%E -2.94%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-15 23:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.83%EV -6.73%E -3.42%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.31%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -9.86%E -2.94%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-15 23:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.83%EV -6.73%E -3.42%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.31%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -9.86%E -2.94%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-15 23:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.83%EV -6.73%E -3.42%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.31%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -9.86%E -2.94%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-15 23:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.83%EV -6.73%E -3.42%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.31%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -9.86%E -2.94%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-15 23:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.31%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-12 18:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.76%EV -7.21%E -3.68%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -7.31%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.20%E -3.40%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-15 23:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -8.60%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-15 23:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -8.60%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-15 23:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -8.60%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-15 23:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -8.60%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.61%EV -11.20%E -3.40%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-15 23:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.31%E -2.66%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.88%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.82%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-15 23:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -5.31%E -2.66%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.88%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-15 23:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.74%EV -6.26%E -3.16%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -9.88%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.82%EV -7.17%E -2.08%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-15 23:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -6.73%E -3.42%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -9.88%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-15 23:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.88%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-15 23:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.88%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-15 23:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.88%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.20%E -3.40%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-15 23:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81%EV -8.63%E -4.47%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.88%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -11.20%E -3.40%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-15 23:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.61%EV -8.63%E -4.47%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -9.88%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -12.55%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-15 23:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.06%EV -8.15%E -4.20%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -12.46%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -5.82%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-15 23:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -12.46%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -11.20%E -3.40%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-15 23:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -12.46%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -12.55%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-15 23:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -12.46%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -12.55%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-15 23:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -12.46%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -12.55%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-15 23:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -9.57%E -5.01%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -12.46%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -11.20%E -3.40%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-15 23:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.52%EV -9.57%E -5.01%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -12.46%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -12.55%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-15 23:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.24%EV -11.47%E -6.13%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -12.46%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -11.20%E -3.40%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-15 23:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.41%EV -13.36%E -7.30%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.90%EV -13.74%E -4.10%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.69%EV -12.55%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-05-15 23:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -15.03%E -4.56%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -12.55%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-15 23:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -15.03%E -4.56%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -12.55%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-15 23:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -15.03%E -4.56%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -12.55%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-15 23:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -15.03%E -4.56%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -12.55%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-15 23:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.74%EV -10.99%E -5.85%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.04%EV -16.32%E -5.02%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.23%EV -9.86%E -2.94%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-15 23:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 44.93%EV -13.36%E -7.30%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 26.52%EV -20.18%E -6.51%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.55%EV -22.51%E -7.81%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 21.6% | 2026-05-15 23:25 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.76% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.91% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.33% | 1.6% | 2026-05-15 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.76% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.91% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.33% | 1.6% | 2026-05-15 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.76% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.91% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.33% | 1.6% | 2026-05-15 23:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.05% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.46% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49% | 2.0% | 2026-05-15 23:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.00% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.79% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.20% | 2.1% | 2026-05-15 23:55 |