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Palestino v La Serena
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Palestino (Хозяева)
Прогноз 47.34%2.11справедливый коэффициент
EV -5.31%
Преимущество -2.66%
Kelly -5.31%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.00
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
44.93%47.47%47.28%50.30%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.801.941.952.0055.56%51.53%51.28%50.00%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
La Serena (Гости)
Прогноз 25.75%3.88справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.70%
Преимущество +0.431%
Kelly +0.578%
Рост +0.010%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.95
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
23.83%25.63%25.81%27.04%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.103.543.553.9532.26%28.24%28.17%25.32%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 26.91%3.72справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.06%
Преимущество -0.565%
Kelly -0.779%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.64
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
25.87%26.91%26.92%28.55%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.883.373.373.6434.72%29.71%29.67%27.47%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Palestino (Хозяева): 47.34%; La Serena (Гости): 25.75%; Ничья: 26.91%. Для исхода «La Serena (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.88. 2 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 3.95, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +1.70%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (49 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.37%EV -5.78%E -2.91%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.37%EV +1.70%E +0.431%K +0.578%G +0.010% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.27%EV -5.02%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-15 23:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.32%EV -6.73%E -3.42%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.10%EV +1.70%E +0.431%K +0.578%G +0.010% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.59%EV -7.17%E -2.08%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-15 22:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.52%EV -6.26%E -3.16%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.08%EV -1.39%E -0.362%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.39%EV -2.06%E -0.565%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-15 23:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.80%EV -7.21%E -3.68%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.65%EV -2.16%E -0.568%K -0.771%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-15 23:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.80%EV -7.21%E -3.68%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.65%EV -2.16%E -0.568%K -0.771%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-15 23:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -14.78%E -8.21%K -18.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -2.16%E -0.568%K -0.771%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -5.82%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-15 23:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.74%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.63%EV -2.67%E -0.707%K -0.962%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 27.63%EV -9.32%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-15 12:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.16%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -4.73%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.46%EV -4.48%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-15 23:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -9.10%E -4.74%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -4.73%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -7.17%E -2.08%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-15 23:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -9.10%E -4.74%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -4.73%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -7.17%E -2.08%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-15 23:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.76%EV -8.15%E -4.20%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 25.31%EV -5.76%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 26.93%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-15 23:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.76%EV -12.41%E -6.71%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -6.02%E -1.65%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.53%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-15 22:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.31%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -3.13%E -0.870%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-15 21:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.31%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.82%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-15 23:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.71%EV -6.26%E -3.16%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -7.31%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -9.86%E -2.94%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-15 23:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.83%EV -6.73%E -3.42%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.31%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -9.86%E -2.94%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-15 23:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.83%EV -6.73%E -3.42%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.31%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -9.86%E -2.94%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-15 23:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.83%EV -6.73%E -3.42%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.31%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -9.86%E -2.94%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-15 23:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.83%EV -6.73%E -3.42%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.31%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -9.86%E -2.94%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-15 23:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.31%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-12 18:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.76%EV -7.21%E -3.68%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -7.31%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.20%E -3.40%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-15 23:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -8.60%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-15 23:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -8.60%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-15 23:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -8.60%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-15 23:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -8.60%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.61%EV -11.20%E -3.40%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-15 23:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.31%E -2.66%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.88%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.82%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-15 23:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -5.31%E -2.66%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.88%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-15 23:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.74%EV -6.26%E -3.16%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -9.88%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.82%EV -7.17%E -2.08%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-15 23:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -6.73%E -3.42%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -9.88%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-15 23:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.88%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-15 23:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.88%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-15 23:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.88%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.20%E -3.40%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-15 23:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81%EV -8.63%E -4.47%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.88%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -11.20%E -3.40%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-15 23:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.61%EV -8.63%E -4.47%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -9.88%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -12.55%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-15 23:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.06%EV -8.15%E -4.20%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -12.46%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -5.82%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-15 23:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -12.46%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -11.20%E -3.40%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-15 23:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -12.46%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -12.55%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-15 23:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -12.46%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -12.55%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-15 23:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -12.46%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -12.55%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-15 23:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -9.57%E -5.01%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -12.46%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -11.20%E -3.40%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-15 23:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.52%EV -9.57%E -5.01%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -12.46%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -12.55%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-15 23:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.24%EV -11.47%E -6.13%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -12.46%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -11.20%E -3.40%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-15 23:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.41%EV -13.36%E -7.30%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.90%EV -13.74%E -4.10%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.69%EV -12.55%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-05-15 23:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -15.03%E -4.56%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -12.55%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-15 23:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -15.03%E -4.56%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -12.55%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-15 23:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -15.03%E -4.56%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -12.55%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-15 23:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -15.03%E -4.56%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -12.55%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-15 23:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.74%EV -10.99%E -5.85%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.04%EV -16.32%E -5.02%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.23%EV -9.86%E -2.94%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-15 23:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 44.93%EV -13.36%E -7.30%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 26.52%EV -20.18%E -6.51%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.55%EV -22.51%E -7.81%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 21.6% | 2026-05-15 23:25 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (5)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.76% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.91% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.33% | 1.6% | 2026-05-15 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.76% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.91% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.33% | 1.6% | 2026-05-15 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.76% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.91% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.33% | 1.6% | 2026-05-15 23:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.05% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.46% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49% | 2.0% | 2026-05-15 23:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.00% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.79% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.20% | 2.1% | 2026-05-15 23:55 |