La scuola delle quote

Palestino v La Serena

Inizio: 2026-05-16 00:00 UTC

Finale: Palestino 5–1 La Serena

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

49 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Palestino (Casa)

Previsione 47.34%2.11quota equa
EV -5.31%
Vantaggio -2.66%
Kelly -5.31%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
44.93%47.47%47.28%50.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.801.941.952.0055.56%51.53%51.28%50.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

La Serena (Trasferta)

Previsione 25.75%3.88quota equa
EV +1.70%
Vantaggio +0.431%
Kelly +0.578%
Crescita +0.010%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.95

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.83%25.63%25.81%27.04%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.543.553.9532.26%28.24%28.17%25.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 26.91%3.72quota equa
EV -2.06%
Vantaggio -0.565%
Kelly -0.779%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.64

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.87%26.91%26.92%28.55%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.373.373.6434.72%29.71%29.67%27.47%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (49 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.99I 50.25%NM 48.37%EV -5.78%E -2.91%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.37%EV +1.70%E +0.431%K +0.578%G +0.010%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.27%EV -5.02%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-15 23:50
Coolbet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.32%EV -6.73%E -3.42%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.10%EV +1.70%E +0.431%K +0.578%G +0.010%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.59%EV -7.17%E -2.08%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-15 22:09
1xBet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.52%EV -6.26%E -3.16%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.08%EV -1.39%E -0.362%K -0.490%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.39%EV -2.06%E -0.565%K -0.779%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-15 23:55
BetOnline.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 47.80%EV -7.21%E -3.68%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.65%EV -2.16%E -0.568%K -0.771%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-15 23:34
LowVig.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 47.80%EV -7.21%E -3.68%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.65%EV -2.16%E -0.568%K -0.771%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-15 23:35
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -14.78%E -8.21%K -18.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -2.16%E -0.568%K -0.771%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -5.82%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-15 23:30
GTbets1.95I 51.28%NM 47.74%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.63%EV -2.67%E -0.707%K -0.962%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.63%EV -9.32%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-15 12:49
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.16%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -4.73%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.46%EV -4.48%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-15 23:30
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -9.10%E -4.74%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -4.73%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -7.17%E -2.08%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-15 23:50
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -9.10%E -4.74%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -4.73%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -7.17%E -2.08%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-15 23:50
Marathon Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 47.76%EV -8.15%E -4.20%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.31%EV -5.76%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.93%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-15 23:55
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 48.76%EV -12.41%E -6.71%K -14.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -6.02%E -1.65%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.53%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-15 22:55
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.31%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -3.13%E -0.870%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-15 21:59
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.31%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.82%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-15 23:25
Unibet1.98I 50.51%NM 46.71%EV -6.26%E -3.16%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -7.31%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -9.86%E -2.94%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-15 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.83%EV -6.73%E -3.42%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.31%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -9.86%E -2.94%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-15 23:05
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.83%EV -6.73%E -3.42%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.31%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -9.86%E -2.94%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-15 23:05
Grosvenor1.97I 50.76%NM 46.83%EV -6.73%E -3.42%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.31%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -9.86%E -2.94%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-15 23:05
TABtouch1.97I 50.76%NM 46.83%EV -6.73%E -3.42%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.31%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -9.86%E -2.94%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-15 23:05
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.31%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-12 18:19
BetRivers1.96I 51.02%NM 46.76%EV -7.21%E -3.68%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -7.31%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.20%E -3.40%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-15 23:00
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -8.60%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-15 23:54
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -8.60%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-15 23:55
BetAnything1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -8.60%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-15 23:55
LiveScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -8.60%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.61%EV -11.20%E -3.40%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-15 23:05
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.31%E -2.66%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.88%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.82%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-15 23:55
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -5.31%E -2.66%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.88%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-15 23:55
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.74%EV -6.26%E -3.16%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -9.88%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.82%EV -7.17%E -2.08%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-15 23:50
Codere (IT)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -6.73%E -3.42%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -9.88%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-15 23:55
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.88%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-15 23:25
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.88%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-15 23:55
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.88%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.20%E -3.40%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-15 23:25
PlayUp1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81%EV -8.63%E -4.47%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.88%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -11.20%E -3.40%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-15 23:55
Virgin Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 46.61%EV -8.63%E -4.47%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -9.88%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -12.55%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-15 23:05
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.06%EV -8.15%E -4.20%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -12.46%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -5.82%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-15 23:50
betfred_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -12.46%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -11.20%E -3.40%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-15 23:25
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -12.46%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -12.55%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-15 23:54
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -12.46%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -12.55%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-15 23:54
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -12.46%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -12.55%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-15 23:54
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -9.57%E -5.01%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -12.46%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -11.20%E -3.40%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-15 23:25
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.52%EV -9.57%E -5.01%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -12.46%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -12.55%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-15 23:25
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 47.24%EV -11.47%E -6.13%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -12.46%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -11.20%E -3.40%K -4.87%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-15 23:55
Unibet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 47.41%EV -13.36%E -7.30%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.90%EV -13.74%E -4.10%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.69%EV -12.55%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%15.3%2026-05-15 23:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -15.03%E -4.56%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -12.55%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-15 23:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -15.03%E -4.56%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -12.55%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-15 23:55
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -15.03%E -4.56%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -12.55%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-15 23:55
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -15.03%E -4.56%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -12.55%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-15 23:55
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 46.74%EV -10.99%E -5.85%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.04%EV -16.32%E -5.02%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.23%EV -9.86%E -2.94%K -4.20%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-15 23:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 44.93%EV -13.36%E -7.30%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.52%EV -20.18%E -6.51%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.55%EV -22.51%E -7.81%K -11.97%G +0.000%21.6%2026-05-15 23:25
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.76%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.91%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.33%1.6%2026-05-15 23:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.76%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.91%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.33%1.6%2026-05-15 23:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.76%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.91%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.33%1.6%2026-05-15 23:25
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.05%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.46%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%2.0%2026-05-15 23:55
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 48.00%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.79%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.20%2.1%2026-05-15 23:55