مدرسة الاحتمالاتPalestino v La Serena
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Palestino (المضيف)
التنبؤ 47.34%2.11السعر العادل
EV -5.31%
الأفضلية -2.66%
Kelly -5.31%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.00
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
44.93%47.47%47.28%50.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.801.941.952.0055.56%51.53%51.28%50.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
La Serena (الضيف)
التنبؤ 25.75%3.88السعر العادل
EV +1.70%
الأفضلية +0.431%
Kelly +0.578%
النمو +0.010%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.95
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.83%25.63%25.81%27.04%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.543.553.9532.26%28.24%28.17%25.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
تعادل
التنبؤ 26.91%3.72السعر العادل
EV -2.06%
الأفضلية -0.565%
Kelly -0.779%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.64
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.87%26.91%26.92%28.55%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.373.373.6434.72%29.71%29.67%27.47%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (49 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف ▼ | تعادل | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.37%EV -5.78%E -2.91%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.37%EV +1.70%E +0.431%K +0.578%G +0.010% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.27%EV -5.02%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-15 23:50 |
| Coolbet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.32%EV -6.73%E -3.42%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.10%EV +1.70%E +0.431%K +0.578%G +0.010% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.59%EV -7.17%E -2.08%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-15 22:09 |
| 1xBet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.52%EV -6.26%E -3.16%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.08%EV -1.39%E -0.362%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.39%EV -2.06%E -0.565%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-15 23:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.80%EV -7.21%E -3.68%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.65%EV -2.16%E -0.568%K -0.771%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-15 23:34 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.80%EV -7.21%E -3.68%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.65%EV -2.16%E -0.568%K -0.771%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-15 23:35 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -14.78%E -8.21%K -18.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -2.16%E -0.568%K -0.771%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -5.82%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-15 23:30 |
| GTbets | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.74%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.63%EV -2.67%E -0.707%K -0.962%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 27.63%EV -9.32%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-15 12:49 |
| DraftKings | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.16%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -4.73%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.46%EV -4.48%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-15 23:30 |
| Betsson | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -9.10%E -4.74%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -4.73%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -7.17%E -2.08%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-15 23:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -9.10%E -4.74%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -4.73%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -7.17%E -2.08%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-15 23:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.76%EV -8.15%E -4.20%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 25.31%EV -5.76%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 26.93%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-15 23:55 |
| Everygame | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.76%EV -12.41%E -6.71%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -6.02%E -1.65%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.53%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-15 22:55 |
| Betway | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.31%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -3.13%E -0.870%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-15 21:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.31%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.82%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-15 23:25 |
| Unibet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.71%EV -6.26%E -3.16%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -7.31%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -9.86%E -2.94%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-15 23:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.83%EV -6.73%E -3.42%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.31%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -9.86%E -2.94%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-15 23:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.83%EV -6.73%E -3.42%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.31%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -9.86%E -2.94%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-15 23:05 |
| Grosvenor | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.83%EV -6.73%E -3.42%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.31%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -9.86%E -2.94%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-15 23:05 |
| TABtouch | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.83%EV -6.73%E -3.42%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.31%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -9.86%E -2.94%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-15 23:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.31%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-12 18:19 |
| BetRivers | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.76%EV -7.21%E -3.68%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -7.31%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.20%E -3.40%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-15 23:00 |
| Bovada | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -8.60%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-15 23:54 |
| BetUS | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -8.60%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-15 23:55 |
| BetAnything | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -8.60%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-15 23:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -8.60%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.61%EV -11.20%E -3.40%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-15 23:05 |
| Bet Victor | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.31%E -2.66%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.88%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.82%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-15 23:55 |
| BetMGM | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -5.31%E -2.66%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.88%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-15 23:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.74%EV -6.26%E -3.16%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -9.88%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.82%EV -7.17%E -2.08%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-15 23:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -6.73%E -3.42%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -9.88%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-15 23:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.88%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-15 23:25 |
| Fanatics | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.88%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-15 23:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.88%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.20%E -3.40%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-15 23:25 |
| PlayUp | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81%EV -8.63%E -4.47%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.88%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -11.20%E -3.40%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-15 23:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.61%EV -8.63%E -4.47%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -9.88%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -12.55%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-15 23:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.06%EV -8.15%E -4.20%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -12.46%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -5.82%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-15 23:50 |
| betfred_uk | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -12.46%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -11.20%E -3.40%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-15 23:25 |
| 888sport | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -12.46%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -12.55%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-15 23:54 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -12.46%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -12.55%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-15 23:54 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -12.46%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -12.55%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-15 23:54 |
| Paddy Power | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -9.57%E -5.01%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -12.46%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -11.20%E -3.40%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-15 23:25 |
| Sky Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.52%EV -9.57%E -5.01%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -12.46%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -12.55%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-15 23:25 |
| BoyleSports | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.24%EV -11.47%E -6.13%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -12.46%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -11.20%E -3.40%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-15 23:55 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.41%EV -13.36%E -7.30%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.90%EV -13.74%E -4.10%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.69%EV -12.55%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-05-15 23:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -15.03%E -4.56%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -12.55%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-15 23:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -15.03%E -4.56%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -12.55%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-15 23:55 |
| Neds | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -15.03%E -4.56%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -12.55%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-15 23:55 |
| Coral | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -15.03%E -4.56%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -12.55%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-15 23:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.74%EV -10.99%E -5.85%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.04%EV -16.32%E -5.02%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.23%EV -9.86%E -2.94%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-15 23:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 44.93%EV -13.36%E -7.30%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 26.52%EV -20.18%E -6.51%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.55%EV -22.51%E -7.81%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 21.6% | 2026-05-15 23:25 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (5)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.76% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.91% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.33% | 1.6% | 2026-05-15 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.76% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.91% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.33% | 1.6% | 2026-05-15 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.76% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.91% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.33% | 1.6% | 2026-05-15 23:25 |
| Kalshi | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.05% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.46% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49% | 2.0% | 2026-05-15 23:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.00% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.79% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.20% | 2.1% | 2026-05-15 23:55 |