Szkoła Kursów

Palestino v La Serena

Początek: 2026-05-16 00:00 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Palestino 5–1 La Serena

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

49 bukmacherów (19 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Palestino (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 47.34%2.11kurs godziwy
EV -5.31%
Przewaga -2.66%
Kelly -5.31%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.00

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
44.93%47.47%47.28%50.30%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.801.941.952.0055.56%51.53%51.28%50.00%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

La Serena (Goście)

Prognoza 25.75%3.88kurs godziwy
EV +1.70%
Przewaga +0.431%
Kelly +0.578%
Wzrost +0.010%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.95

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
23.83%25.63%25.81%27.04%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.103.543.553.9532.26%28.24%28.17%25.32%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 26.91%3.72kurs godziwy
EV -2.06%
Przewaga -0.565%
Kelly -0.779%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.64

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
25.87%26.91%26.92%28.55%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.883.373.373.6434.72%29.71%29.67%27.47%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (49 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle1.99I 50.25%NM 48.37%EV -5.78%E -2.91%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.37%EV +1.70%E +0.431%K +0.578%G +0.010%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.27%EV -5.02%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-15 23:50
Coolbet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.32%EV -6.73%E -3.42%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.10%EV +1.70%E +0.431%K +0.578%G +0.010%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.59%EV -7.17%E -2.08%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-15 22:09
1xBet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.52%EV -6.26%E -3.16%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.08%EV -1.39%E -0.362%K -0.490%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.39%EV -2.06%E -0.565%K -0.779%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-15 23:55
BetOnline.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 47.80%EV -7.21%E -3.68%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.65%EV -2.16%E -0.568%K -0.771%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-15 23:34
LowVig.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 47.80%EV -7.21%E -3.68%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.65%EV -2.16%E -0.568%K -0.771%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-15 23:35
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -14.78%E -8.21%K -18.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -2.16%E -0.568%K -0.771%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -5.82%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-15 23:30
GTbets1.95I 51.28%NM 47.74%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.63%EV -2.67%E -0.707%K -0.962%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.63%EV -9.32%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-15 12:49
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.16%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -4.73%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.46%EV -4.48%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-15 23:30
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -9.10%E -4.74%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -4.73%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -7.17%E -2.08%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-15 23:50
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -9.10%E -4.74%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -4.73%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -7.17%E -2.08%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-15 23:50
Marathon Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 47.76%EV -8.15%E -4.20%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.31%EV -5.76%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.93%EV -7.44%E -2.16%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-15 23:55
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 48.76%EV -12.41%E -6.71%K -14.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -6.02%E -1.65%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.53%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-15 22:55
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.31%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -3.13%E -0.870%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-15 21:59
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.31%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.82%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-15 23:25
Unibet1.98I 50.51%NM 46.71%EV -6.26%E -3.16%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -7.31%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -9.86%E -2.94%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-15 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.83%EV -6.73%E -3.42%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.31%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -9.86%E -2.94%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-15 23:05
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.83%EV -6.73%E -3.42%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.31%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -9.86%E -2.94%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-15 23:05
Grosvenor1.97I 50.76%NM 46.83%EV -6.73%E -3.42%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.31%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -9.86%E -2.94%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-15 23:05
TABtouch1.97I 50.76%NM 46.83%EV -6.73%E -3.42%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.31%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -9.86%E -2.94%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-15 23:05
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.31%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-12 18:19
BetRivers1.96I 51.02%NM 46.76%EV -7.21%E -3.68%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -7.31%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.20%E -3.40%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-15 23:00
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -8.60%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-15 23:54
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -8.60%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-15 23:55
BetAnything1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -8.60%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-15 23:55
LiveScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -8.60%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.61%EV -11.20%E -3.40%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-15 23:05
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.31%E -2.66%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.88%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.82%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-15 23:55
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -5.31%E -2.66%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.88%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-15 23:55
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.74%EV -6.26%E -3.16%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -9.88%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.82%EV -7.17%E -2.08%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-15 23:50
Codere (IT)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -6.73%E -3.42%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -9.88%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-15 23:55
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.88%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-15 23:25
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.88%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.51%E -2.50%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-15 23:55
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.88%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.20%E -3.40%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-15 23:25
PlayUp1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81%EV -8.63%E -4.47%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.88%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -11.20%E -3.40%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-15 23:55
Virgin Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 46.61%EV -8.63%E -4.47%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -9.88%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -12.55%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-15 23:05
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.06%EV -8.15%E -4.20%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -12.46%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -5.82%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-15 23:50
betfred_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -12.46%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -11.20%E -3.40%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-15 23:25
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -12.46%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -12.55%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-15 23:54
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -12.46%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -12.55%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-15 23:54
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -12.46%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -12.55%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-15 23:54
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -9.57%E -5.01%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -12.46%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -11.20%E -3.40%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-15 23:25
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.52%EV -9.57%E -5.01%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -12.46%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -12.55%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-15 23:25
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 47.24%EV -11.47%E -6.13%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -12.46%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -11.20%E -3.40%K -4.87%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-15 23:55
Unibet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 47.41%EV -13.36%E -7.30%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.90%EV -13.74%E -4.10%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.69%EV -12.55%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%15.3%2026-05-15 23:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -15.03%E -4.56%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -12.55%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-15 23:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -15.03%E -4.56%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -12.55%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-15 23:55
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -15.03%E -4.56%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -12.55%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-15 23:55
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -7.68%E -3.94%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -15.03%E -4.56%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -12.55%E -3.86%K -5.58%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-15 23:55
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 46.74%EV -10.99%E -5.85%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.04%EV -16.32%E -5.02%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.23%EV -9.86%E -2.94%K -4.20%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-15 23:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 44.93%EV -13.36%E -7.30%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.52%EV -20.18%E -6.51%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.55%EV -22.51%E -7.81%K -11.97%G +0.000%21.6%2026-05-15 23:25
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (5)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.76%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.91%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.33%1.6%2026-05-15 23:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.76%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.91%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.33%1.6%2026-05-15 23:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.76%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.91%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.33%1.6%2026-05-15 23:25
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.05%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.46%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%2.0%2026-05-15 23:55
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 48.00%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.79%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.20%2.1%2026-05-15 23:55