Язык:Русский
Ñublense v Union La Calera
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Ñublense (Хозяева)
Прогноз 50.41%1.98справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.21%
Преимущество -1.67%
Kelly -3.49%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.92
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
48.52%50.55%50.32%53.25%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.671.821.831.9259.88%54.98%54.64%52.08%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Union La Calera (Гости)
Прогноз 21.75%4.60справедливый коэффициент
EV +2.21%
Преимущество +0.470%
Kelly +0.598%
Рост +0.013%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.70
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
20.09%21.72%21.72%23.89%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.754.194.204.7026.67%23.86%23.81%21.28%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 27.84%3.59справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.56%
Преимущество -0.732%
Kelly -1.02%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.50
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
26.51%27.73%27.97%28.84%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.203.323.303.5031.25%30.14%30.30%28.57%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Ñublense (Хозяева): 50.41%; Union La Calera (Гости): 21.75%; Ничья: 27.84%. Для исхода «Union La Calera (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 4.60. 7 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 4.70, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +2.21%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (50 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.16%EV -7.24%E -3.93%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.42%EV +2.21%E +0.470%K +0.598%G +0.013% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.42%EV -2.56%E -0.732%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-16 16:23 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.99%EV -5.22%E -2.78%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.40%EV +2.21%E +0.470%K +0.598%G +0.013% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.61%EV -6.74%E -2.01%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-16 16:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.12%EV -12.28%E -7.06%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.09%EV +0.037%E +0.008%K +0.010%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -3.95%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-16 15:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.12%EV -12.28%E -7.06%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.09%EV +0.037%E +0.008%K +0.010%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -3.95%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-16 15:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.12%EV -12.28%E -7.06%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.09%EV +0.037%E +0.008%K +0.010%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -3.95%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-16 16:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.12%EV -12.28%E -7.06%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.09%EV +0.037%E +0.008%K +0.010%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -3.95%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-16 16:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.12%EV -12.28%E -7.06%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.09%EV +0.037%E +0.008%K +0.010%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -3.95%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-16 15:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -7.74%E -4.23%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -2.14%E -0.475%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -8.13%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 16:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.07%EV -3.21%E -1.67%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.49I 22.27%NM 21.41%EV -2.36%E -0.525%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.52%EV -6.18%E -1.83%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-16 16:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.42%EV -5.73%E -3.06%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.31%E -0.980%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -6.74%E -2.01%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 16:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.86%EV -5.22%E -2.78%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -4.31%E -0.980%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -9.52%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 16:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.86%EV -5.22%E -2.78%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -4.31%E -0.980%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -9.52%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 16:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.86%EV -5.22%E -2.78%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -4.31%E -0.980%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -9.52%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 16:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.01%EV -14.30%E -8.41%K -20.42%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.48%EV -4.31%E -0.980%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -5.35%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-16 16:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.10%EV -15.31%E -9.11%K -22.51%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.27%EV -4.31%E -0.980%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.63%EV -6.74%E -2.01%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-16 15:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.25%EV -15.81%E -9.47%K -23.60%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.21%EV -4.31%E -0.980%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.54%EV -6.74%E -2.01%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-16 15:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.25%EV -15.81%E -9.47%K -23.60%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.21%EV -4.31%E -0.980%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.54%EV -6.74%E -2.01%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-16 15:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.42%EV -5.22%E -2.78%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.79%EV -5.40%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.80%EV -5.07%E -1.49%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 16:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.35%EV -7.24%E -3.93%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -5.84%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.25%EV -8.69%E -2.65%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-16 16:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -7.74%E -4.23%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -6.49%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -8.13%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-16 16:03 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.24%EV -7.24%E -3.93%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.75%EV -7.57%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -8.13%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-16 16:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.12%EV -5.73%E -3.06%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -8.66%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.35%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 16:14 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -6.74%E -3.64%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -8.66%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.35%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-16 16:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -6.74%E -3.64%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -8.66%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.35%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-16 16:18 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -7.74%E -4.23%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -8.66%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -9.52%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-16 16:18 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -7.74%E -4.23%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -8.66%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -9.52%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-16 16:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -7.74%E -4.23%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -8.66%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -9.52%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-16 16:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.36%EV -11.78%E -6.73%K -15.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -8.66%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -8.13%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-16 16:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.30%EV -5.22%E -2.78%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -10.84%E -2.64%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -8.13%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-16 16:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.30%EV -5.22%E -2.78%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -10.84%E -2.64%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -8.13%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-16 16:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -5.73%E -3.06%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -13.01%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -2.56%E -0.732%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 16:23 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -5.73%E -3.06%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -13.01%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -5.35%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-16 16:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -5.73%E -3.06%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -13.01%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -5.35%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-16 16:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.32%EV -9.26%E -5.14%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -13.01%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -6.74%E -2.01%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-16 16:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.39%EV -10.26%E -5.77%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.42%EV -13.01%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -8.13%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-16 16:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -9.26%E -5.14%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -13.01%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -10.91%E -3.41%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-16 16:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.39%EV -11.78%E -6.73%K -15.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.05%EV -13.01%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.56%EV -10.91%E -3.41%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-16 16:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.55%EV -8.25%E -4.53%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.12%EV -15.19%E -3.89%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -8.13%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-16 16:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.72%EV -6.74%E -3.64%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.11%EV -15.19%E -3.89%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -10.91%E -3.41%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-16 16:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.72%EV -6.74%E -3.64%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.11%EV -15.19%E -3.89%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -10.91%E -3.41%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-16 16:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.72%EV -6.74%E -3.64%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.11%EV -15.19%E -3.89%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -10.91%E -3.41%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-16 16:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -7.74%E -4.23%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV -15.19%E -3.89%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -10.91%E -3.41%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-16 16:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -7.74%E -4.23%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV -15.19%E -3.89%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -10.91%E -3.41%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-16 16:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -7.74%E -4.23%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV -15.19%E -3.89%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -10.91%E -3.41%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-16 16:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -7.74%E -4.23%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV -15.19%E -3.89%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -10.91%E -3.41%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-16 16:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.52%EV -5.73%E -3.06%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -16.27%E -4.23%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -9.52%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-16 16:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.11%EV -7.74%E -4.23%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -17.36%E -4.57%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -8.13%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-16 16:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -9.26%E -5.14%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -17.36%E -4.57%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -8.13%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-16 16:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -7.74%E -4.23%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -18.45%E -4.92%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -8.13%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-16 16:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.75%EV -7.74%E -4.23%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -18.45%E -4.92%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -9.52%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-16 16:25 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (6)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 53.51% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 20.23% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 26.27% | -1.1% | 2026-08-16 16:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.85% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.63% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.51% | 1.0% | 2026-08-16 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.65% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.79% | 1.4% | 2026-08-16 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.65% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.79% | 1.4% | 2026-08-16 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.65% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.79% | 1.4% | 2026-08-16 16:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.56% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.84% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.60% | 2.1% | 2026-08-16 16:25 |