StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Ñublense v Union La Calera

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-16 16:30 UTC

Endstand: Ñublense 2–1 Union La Calera

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

50 Wettanbieter (19 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Ñublense (Heim)

Prognose 50.41%1.98faire Quote
EV -3.21%
Vorteil -1.67%
Kelly -3.49%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.92

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
48.52%50.55%50.32%53.25%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.671.821.831.9259.88%54.98%54.64%52.08%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Union La Calera (Auswärts)

Prognose 21.75%4.60faire Quote
EV +2.21%
Vorteil +0.470%
Kelly +0.598%
Wachstum +0.013%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.70

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
20.09%21.72%21.72%23.89%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.754.194.204.7026.67%23.86%23.81%21.28%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 27.84%3.59faire Quote
EV -2.56%
Vorteil -0.732%
Kelly -1.02%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.50

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
26.51%27.73%27.97%28.84%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.203.323.303.5031.25%30.14%30.30%28.57%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Ñublense (Heim): 50.41%; Union La Calera (Auswärts): 21.75%; Unentschieden: 27.84%. Für Union La Calera (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 4.60. 7 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 4.70 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +2.21%.

Wettanbieterquoten (50 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Coolbet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.16%EV -7.24%E -3.93%K -8.62%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.42%EV +2.21%E +0.470%K +0.598%G +0.013%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.42%EV -2.56%E -0.732%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-16 16:23
Pinnacle🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.99%EV -5.22%E -2.78%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.40%EV +2.21%E +0.470%K +0.598%G +0.013%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.61%EV -6.74%E -2.01%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-16 16:15
TABtouch🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.12%EV -12.28%E -7.06%K -16.60%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.09%EV +0.037%E +0.008%K +0.010%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -3.95%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-16 15:59
Grosvenor🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.12%EV -12.28%E -7.06%K -16.60%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.09%EV +0.037%E +0.008%K +0.010%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -3.95%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-16 15:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.12%EV -12.28%E -7.06%K -16.60%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.09%EV +0.037%E +0.008%K +0.010%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -3.95%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-16 16:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.12%EV -12.28%E -7.06%K -16.60%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.09%EV +0.037%E +0.008%K +0.010%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -3.95%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-16 16:00
Unibet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.12%EV -12.28%E -7.06%K -16.60%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.09%EV +0.037%E +0.008%K +0.010%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -3.95%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-16 15:59
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -7.74%E -4.23%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -2.14%E -0.475%K -0.611%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -8.13%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 16:14
1xBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.07%EV -3.21%E -1.67%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.49I 22.27%NM 21.41%EV -2.36%E -0.525%K -0.675%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.52%EV -6.18%E -1.83%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-16 16:19
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.42%EV -5.73%E -3.06%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.31%E -0.980%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -6.74%E -2.01%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 16:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.86%EV -5.22%E -2.78%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -4.31%E -0.980%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -9.52%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 16:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.86%EV -5.22%E -2.78%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -4.31%E -0.980%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -9.52%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 16:19
BetAnything🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.86%EV -5.22%E -2.78%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -4.31%E -0.980%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -9.52%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 16:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.01%EV -14.30%E -8.41%K -20.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.48%EV -4.31%E -0.980%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -5.35%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-16 16:14
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.10%EV -15.31%E -9.11%K -22.51%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.27%EV -4.31%E -0.980%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.63%EV -6.74%E -2.01%K -2.87%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-16 15:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.25%EV -15.81%E -9.47%K -23.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.21%EV -4.31%E -0.980%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.54%EV -6.74%E -2.01%K -2.87%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-16 15:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.25%EV -15.81%E -9.47%K -23.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.21%EV -4.31%E -0.980%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.54%EV -6.74%E -2.01%K -2.87%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-16 15:59
GTbets🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.42%EV -5.22%E -2.78%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.79%EV -5.40%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.80%EV -5.07%E -1.49%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 16:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.35%EV -7.24%E -3.93%K -8.62%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -5.84%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.25%EV -8.69%E -2.65%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-16 16:25
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -7.74%E -4.23%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -6.49%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -8.13%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-16 16:03
Unibet (UK)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.24%EV -7.24%E -3.93%K -8.62%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.75%EV -7.57%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -8.13%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-16 16:20
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.12%EV -5.73%E -3.06%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -8.66%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.35%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 16:14
betano_uk🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -6.74%E -3.64%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -8.66%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.35%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 16:20
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -6.74%E -3.64%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -8.66%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.35%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 16:18
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -7.74%E -4.23%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -8.66%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -9.52%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-16 16:18
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -7.74%E -4.23%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -8.66%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -9.52%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-16 16:19
Codere (IT)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -7.74%E -4.23%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -8.66%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -9.52%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-16 16:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.36%EV -11.78%E -6.73%K -15.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -8.66%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -8.13%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-16 16:19
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.30%EV -5.22%E -2.78%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -10.84%E -2.64%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -8.13%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-16 16:19
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.30%EV -5.22%E -2.78%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -10.84%E -2.64%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -8.13%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-16 16:19
FanDuel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -5.73%E -3.06%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -13.01%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -2.56%E -0.732%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 16:23
SportsBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -5.73%E -3.06%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -13.01%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -5.35%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-16 16:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -5.73%E -3.06%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -13.01%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -5.35%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-16 16:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.32%EV -9.26%E -5.14%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -13.01%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -6.74%E -2.01%K -2.87%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-16 16:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.39%EV -10.26%E -5.77%K -13.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.42%EV -13.01%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -8.13%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-16 16:20
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -9.26%E -5.14%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -13.01%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -10.91%E -3.41%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-16 16:19
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.39%EV -11.78%E -6.73%K -15.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.05%EV -13.01%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.56%EV -10.91%E -3.41%K -4.96%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-16 16:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.55%EV -8.25%E -4.53%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.12%EV -15.19%E -3.89%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -8.13%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-16 16:24
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.72%EV -6.74%E -3.64%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.11%EV -15.19%E -3.89%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -10.91%E -3.41%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-16 16:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.72%EV -6.74%E -3.64%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.11%EV -15.19%E -3.89%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -10.91%E -3.41%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-16 16:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.72%EV -6.74%E -3.64%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.11%EV -15.19%E -3.89%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -10.91%E -3.41%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-16 16:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -7.74%E -4.23%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV -15.19%E -3.89%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -10.91%E -3.41%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-16 16:15
Neds🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -7.74%E -4.23%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV -15.19%E -3.89%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -10.91%E -3.41%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-16 16:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -7.74%E -4.23%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV -15.19%E -3.89%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -10.91%E -3.41%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-16 16:14
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -7.74%E -4.23%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV -15.19%E -3.89%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -10.91%E -3.41%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-16 16:15
PlayUp🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.52%EV -5.73%E -3.06%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -16.27%E -4.23%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -9.52%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-16 16:19
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.11%EV -7.74%E -4.23%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -17.36%E -4.57%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -8.13%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-16 16:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -9.26%E -5.14%K -11.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -17.36%E -4.57%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -8.13%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-16 16:24
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -7.74%E -4.23%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -18.45%E -4.92%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -8.13%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-16 16:24
Sky Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.75%EV -7.74%E -4.23%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -18.45%E -4.92%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -9.52%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-16 16:25
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Kalshi◎1.89I 52.91%NM 53.51%5.00I 20.00%NM 20.23%3.85I 25.97%NM 26.27%-1.1%2026-08-16 16:25
Matchbook◎1.91I 52.36%NM 51.85%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.63%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.51%1.0%2026-08-16 16:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.91I 52.36%NM 51.65%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.79%1.4%2026-08-16 16:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.91I 52.36%NM 51.65%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.79%1.4%2026-08-16 16:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.91I 52.36%NM 51.65%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.79%1.4%2026-08-16 16:25
Smarkets◎1.90I 52.63%NM 51.56%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.84%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.60%2.1%2026-08-16 16:25