Langue:Français
Ñublense v Union La Calera
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Ñublense (Local)
Prévision 50.41%1.98cote équitable
EV -3.21%
Avantage -1.67%
Kelly -3.49%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.92
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.52%50.55%50.32%53.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.671.821.831.9259.88%54.98%54.64%52.08%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Union La Calera (Visiteur)
Prévision 21.75%4.60cote équitable
EV +2.21%
Avantage +0.470%
Kelly +0.598%
Croissance +0.013%
avec la cote maximale 4.70
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.09%21.72%21.72%23.89%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.754.194.204.7026.67%23.86%23.81%21.28%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 27.84%3.59cote équitable
EV -2.56%
Avantage -0.732%
Kelly -1.02%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.51%27.73%27.97%28.84%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.323.303.5031.25%30.14%30.30%28.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Ñublense (Local) : 50.41% ; Union La Calera (Visiteur) : 21.75% ; Match nul : 27.84%. Pour Union La Calera (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.60. 7 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.70, soit une espérance positive de +2.21%.
Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.16%EV -7.24%E -3.93%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.42%EV +2.21%E +0.470%K +0.598%G +0.013% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.42%EV -2.56%E -0.732%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-16 16:23 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.99%EV -5.22%E -2.78%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.40%EV +2.21%E +0.470%K +0.598%G +0.013% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.61%EV -6.74%E -2.01%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-16 16:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.12%EV -12.28%E -7.06%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.09%EV +0.037%E +0.008%K +0.010%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -3.95%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-16 15:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.12%EV -12.28%E -7.06%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.09%EV +0.037%E +0.008%K +0.010%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -3.95%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-16 15:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.12%EV -12.28%E -7.06%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.09%EV +0.037%E +0.008%K +0.010%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -3.95%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-16 16:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.12%EV -12.28%E -7.06%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.09%EV +0.037%E +0.008%K +0.010%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -3.95%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-16 16:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.12%EV -12.28%E -7.06%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.09%EV +0.037%E +0.008%K +0.010%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -3.95%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-16 15:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -7.74%E -4.23%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -2.14%E -0.475%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -8.13%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 16:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.07%EV -3.21%E -1.67%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.49I 22.27%NM 21.41%EV -2.36%E -0.525%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.52%EV -6.18%E -1.83%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-16 16:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.42%EV -5.73%E -3.06%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.31%E -0.980%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -6.74%E -2.01%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 16:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.86%EV -5.22%E -2.78%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -4.31%E -0.980%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -9.52%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 16:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.86%EV -5.22%E -2.78%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -4.31%E -0.980%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -9.52%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 16:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.86%EV -5.22%E -2.78%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -4.31%E -0.980%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -9.52%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 16:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.01%EV -14.30%E -8.41%K -20.42%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.48%EV -4.31%E -0.980%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -5.35%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-16 16:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.10%EV -15.31%E -9.11%K -22.51%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.27%EV -4.31%E -0.980%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.63%EV -6.74%E -2.01%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-16 15:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.25%EV -15.81%E -9.47%K -23.60%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.21%EV -4.31%E -0.980%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.54%EV -6.74%E -2.01%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-16 15:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.25%EV -15.81%E -9.47%K -23.60%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.21%EV -4.31%E -0.980%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.54%EV -6.74%E -2.01%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-16 15:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.42%EV -5.22%E -2.78%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.79%EV -5.40%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.80%EV -5.07%E -1.49%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 16:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.35%EV -7.24%E -3.93%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -5.84%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.25%EV -8.69%E -2.65%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-16 16:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -7.74%E -4.23%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -6.49%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -8.13%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-16 16:03 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.24%EV -7.24%E -3.93%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.75%EV -7.57%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -8.13%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-16 16:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.12%EV -5.73%E -3.06%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -8.66%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.35%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 16:14 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -6.74%E -3.64%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -8.66%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.35%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-16 16:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -6.74%E -3.64%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -8.66%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.35%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-16 16:18 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -7.74%E -4.23%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -8.66%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -9.52%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-16 16:18 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -7.74%E -4.23%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -8.66%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -9.52%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-16 16:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -7.74%E -4.23%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -8.66%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -9.52%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-16 16:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.36%EV -11.78%E -6.73%K -15.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -8.66%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -8.13%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-16 16:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.30%EV -5.22%E -2.78%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -10.84%E -2.64%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -8.13%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-16 16:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.30%EV -5.22%E -2.78%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -10.84%E -2.64%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -8.13%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-16 16:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -5.73%E -3.06%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -13.01%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -2.56%E -0.732%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 16:23 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -5.73%E -3.06%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -13.01%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -5.35%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-16 16:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -5.73%E -3.06%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -13.01%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -5.35%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-16 16:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.32%EV -9.26%E -5.14%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -13.01%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -6.74%E -2.01%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-16 16:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.39%EV -10.26%E -5.77%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.42%EV -13.01%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -8.13%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-16 16:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -9.26%E -5.14%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -13.01%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -10.91%E -3.41%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-16 16:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.39%EV -11.78%E -6.73%K -15.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.05%EV -13.01%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.56%EV -10.91%E -3.41%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-16 16:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.55%EV -8.25%E -4.53%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.12%EV -15.19%E -3.89%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -8.13%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-16 16:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.72%EV -6.74%E -3.64%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.11%EV -15.19%E -3.89%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -10.91%E -3.41%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-16 16:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.72%EV -6.74%E -3.64%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.11%EV -15.19%E -3.89%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -10.91%E -3.41%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-16 16:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.72%EV -6.74%E -3.64%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.11%EV -15.19%E -3.89%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -10.91%E -3.41%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-16 16:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -7.74%E -4.23%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV -15.19%E -3.89%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -10.91%E -3.41%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-16 16:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -7.74%E -4.23%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV -15.19%E -3.89%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -10.91%E -3.41%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-16 16:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -7.74%E -4.23%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV -15.19%E -3.89%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -10.91%E -3.41%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-16 16:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -7.74%E -4.23%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV -15.19%E -3.89%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -10.91%E -3.41%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-16 16:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.52%EV -5.73%E -3.06%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -16.27%E -4.23%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -9.52%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-16 16:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.11%EV -7.74%E -4.23%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -17.36%E -4.57%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -8.13%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-16 16:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -9.26%E -5.14%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -17.36%E -4.57%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -8.13%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-16 16:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -7.74%E -4.23%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -18.45%E -4.92%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -8.13%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-16 16:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.75%EV -7.74%E -4.23%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -18.45%E -4.92%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -9.52%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-16 16:25 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 53.51% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 20.23% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 26.27% | -1.1% | 2026-08-16 16:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.85% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.63% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.51% | 1.0% | 2026-08-16 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.65% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.79% | 1.4% | 2026-08-16 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.65% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.79% | 1.4% | 2026-08-16 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.65% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.79% | 1.4% | 2026-08-16 16:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.56% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.84% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.60% | 2.1% | 2026-08-16 16:25 |