Lingua:Italiano
Ñublense v Union La Calera
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Ñublense (Casa)
Previsione 50.41%1.98quota equa
EV -3.21%
Vantaggio -1.67%
Kelly -3.49%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.92
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
48.52%50.55%50.32%53.25%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.671.821.831.9259.88%54.98%54.64%52.08%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Union La Calera (Trasferta)
Previsione 21.75%4.60quota equa
EV +2.21%
Vantaggio +0.470%
Kelly +0.598%
Crescita +0.013%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.70
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.09%21.72%21.72%23.89%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.754.194.204.7026.67%23.86%23.81%21.28%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Pareggio
Previsione 27.84%3.59quota equa
EV -2.56%
Vantaggio -0.732%
Kelly -1.02%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.50
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.51%27.73%27.97%28.84%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.323.303.5031.25%30.14%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Ñublense (Casa): 50.41%; Union La Calera (Trasferta): 21.75%; Pareggio: 27.84%. Per Union La Calera (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 4.60. 7 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 4.70, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +2.21%.
Quote dei bookmaker (50 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.16%EV -7.24%E -3.93%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.42%EV +2.21%E +0.470%K +0.598%G +0.013% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.42%EV -2.56%E -0.732%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-16 16:23 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.99%EV -5.22%E -2.78%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.40%EV +2.21%E +0.470%K +0.598%G +0.013% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.61%EV -6.74%E -2.01%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-16 16:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.12%EV -12.28%E -7.06%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.09%EV +0.037%E +0.008%K +0.010%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -3.95%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-16 15:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.12%EV -12.28%E -7.06%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.09%EV +0.037%E +0.008%K +0.010%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -3.95%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-16 15:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.12%EV -12.28%E -7.06%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.09%EV +0.037%E +0.008%K +0.010%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -3.95%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-16 16:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.12%EV -12.28%E -7.06%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.09%EV +0.037%E +0.008%K +0.010%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -3.95%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-16 16:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.12%EV -12.28%E -7.06%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.09%EV +0.037%E +0.008%K +0.010%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -3.95%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-16 15:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -7.74%E -4.23%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -2.14%E -0.475%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -8.13%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 16:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.07%EV -3.21%E -1.67%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.49I 22.27%NM 21.41%EV -2.36%E -0.525%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.52%EV -6.18%E -1.83%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-16 16:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.42%EV -5.73%E -3.06%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.31%E -0.980%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -6.74%E -2.01%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 16:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.86%EV -5.22%E -2.78%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -4.31%E -0.980%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -9.52%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 16:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.86%EV -5.22%E -2.78%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -4.31%E -0.980%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -9.52%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 16:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.86%EV -5.22%E -2.78%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -4.31%E -0.980%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -9.52%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 16:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.01%EV -14.30%E -8.41%K -20.42%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.48%EV -4.31%E -0.980%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -5.35%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-16 16:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.10%EV -15.31%E -9.11%K -22.51%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.27%EV -4.31%E -0.980%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.63%EV -6.74%E -2.01%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-16 15:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.25%EV -15.81%E -9.47%K -23.60%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.21%EV -4.31%E -0.980%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.54%EV -6.74%E -2.01%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-16 15:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.25%EV -15.81%E -9.47%K -23.60%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.21%EV -4.31%E -0.980%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.54%EV -6.74%E -2.01%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-16 15:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.42%EV -5.22%E -2.78%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.79%EV -5.40%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.80%EV -5.07%E -1.49%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 16:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.35%EV -7.24%E -3.93%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -5.84%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.25%EV -8.69%E -2.65%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-16 16:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -7.74%E -4.23%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -6.49%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -8.13%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-16 16:03 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.24%EV -7.24%E -3.93%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.75%EV -7.57%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -8.13%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-16 16:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.12%EV -5.73%E -3.06%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -8.66%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.35%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 16:14 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -6.74%E -3.64%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -8.66%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.35%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-16 16:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -6.74%E -3.64%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -8.66%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.35%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-16 16:18 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -7.74%E -4.23%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -8.66%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -9.52%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-16 16:18 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -7.74%E -4.23%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -8.66%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -9.52%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-16 16:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -7.74%E -4.23%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -8.66%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -9.52%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-16 16:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.36%EV -11.78%E -6.73%K -15.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -8.66%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -8.13%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-16 16:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.30%EV -5.22%E -2.78%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -10.84%E -2.64%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -8.13%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-16 16:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.30%EV -5.22%E -2.78%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -10.84%E -2.64%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -8.13%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-16 16:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -5.73%E -3.06%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -13.01%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -2.56%E -0.732%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 16:23 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -5.73%E -3.06%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -13.01%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -5.35%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-16 16:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -5.73%E -3.06%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -13.01%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -5.35%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-16 16:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.32%EV -9.26%E -5.14%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -13.01%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -6.74%E -2.01%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-16 16:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.39%EV -10.26%E -5.77%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.42%EV -13.01%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -8.13%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-16 16:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -9.26%E -5.14%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -13.01%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -10.91%E -3.41%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-16 16:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.39%EV -11.78%E -6.73%K -15.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.05%EV -13.01%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.56%EV -10.91%E -3.41%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-16 16:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.55%EV -8.25%E -4.53%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.12%EV -15.19%E -3.89%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -8.13%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-16 16:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.72%EV -6.74%E -3.64%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.11%EV -15.19%E -3.89%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -10.91%E -3.41%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-16 16:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.72%EV -6.74%E -3.64%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.11%EV -15.19%E -3.89%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -10.91%E -3.41%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-16 16:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.72%EV -6.74%E -3.64%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.11%EV -15.19%E -3.89%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -10.91%E -3.41%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-16 16:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -7.74%E -4.23%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV -15.19%E -3.89%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -10.91%E -3.41%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-16 16:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -7.74%E -4.23%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV -15.19%E -3.89%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -10.91%E -3.41%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-16 16:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -7.74%E -4.23%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV -15.19%E -3.89%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -10.91%E -3.41%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-16 16:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -7.74%E -4.23%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV -15.19%E -3.89%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -10.91%E -3.41%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-16 16:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.52%EV -5.73%E -3.06%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -16.27%E -4.23%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -9.52%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-16 16:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.11%EV -7.74%E -4.23%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -17.36%E -4.57%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -8.13%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-16 16:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -9.26%E -5.14%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -17.36%E -4.57%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -8.13%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-16 16:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -7.74%E -4.23%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -18.45%E -4.92%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -8.13%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-16 16:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.75%EV -7.74%E -4.23%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -18.45%E -4.92%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -9.52%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-16 16:25 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 53.51% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 20.23% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 26.27% | -1.1% | 2026-08-16 16:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.85% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.63% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.51% | 1.0% | 2026-08-16 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.65% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.79% | 1.4% | 2026-08-16 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.65% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.79% | 1.4% | 2026-08-16 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.65% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.79% | 1.4% | 2026-08-16 16:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.56% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.84% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.60% | 2.1% | 2026-08-16 16:25 |