The School of Odds

Cobresal v Union La Calera

2026-08-01 16:30 UTC — Primera División - Chile

Head to Head

31 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Cobresal (Local)

Prediction 38.76%2.58fair odd
EV -5.42%
Edge -2.22%
Kelly -3.77%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.25%38.64%38.70%39.54%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.202.352.352.4445.45%42.51%42.55%40.98%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Union La Calera (Visit)

Prediction 32.19%3.11fair odd
EV -3.44%
Edge -1.15%
Kelly -1.72%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.58%32.31%32.17%33.51%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.602.812.803.0038.46%35.59%35.71%33.33%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 29.05%3.44fair odd
EV -2.67%
Edge -0.798%
Kelly -1.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.65%29.06%29.13%30.83%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.903.123.103.3534.48%32.01%32.26%29.85%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle2.44I 40.98%NM 38.85%EV -5.42%E -2.22%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.71%EV -3.76%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.44%EV -6.45%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-28 01:10
BetOnline.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 37.96%EV -5.42%E -2.22%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.16%EV -7.30%E -2.54%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.94%E -3.20%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-28 01:00
LowVig.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 37.96%EV -5.42%E -2.22%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.16%EV -7.30%E -2.54%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.94%E -3.20%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-28 01:00
Coolbet2.42I 41.32%NM 39.54%EV -6.20%E -2.56%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.90%EV -3.44%E -1.15%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.56%EV -2.67%E -0.798%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-27 22:15
NordicBet2.42I 41.32%NM 38.51%EV -6.20%E -2.56%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -7.30%E -2.54%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-28 01:05
Betsson2.42I 41.32%NM 38.51%EV -6.20%E -2.56%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -7.30%E -2.54%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-28 01:10
GTbets2.40I 41.67%NM 39.30%EV -6.98%E -2.91%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.30%EV -6.02%E -2.06%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.41%EV -3.54%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-27 21:55
1xBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.98%E -2.91%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.82%EV -5.69%E -1.94%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.32%EV -7.61%E -2.39%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-28 01:10
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 38.71%EV -6.98%E -2.91%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.26%EV -7.30%E -2.54%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-27 23:20
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -6.98%E -2.91%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -9.88%E -3.53%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-28 00:30
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -6.98%E -2.91%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -9.88%E -3.53%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -15.75%E -5.43%K -8.29%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-28 01:00
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -6.98%E -2.91%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -9.88%E -3.53%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -15.75%E -5.43%K -8.29%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-28 01:00
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -6.98%E -2.91%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -9.88%E -3.53%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -15.75%E -5.43%K -8.29%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-28 01:00
Marathon Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.97%EV -7.75%E -3.26%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 31.87%EV -6.34%E -2.18%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.16%EV -7.61%E -2.39%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-28 01:05
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -7.75%E -3.26%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -7.30%E -2.54%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.94%E -3.20%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-28 01:05
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -8.91%E -3.79%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -6.66%E -2.30%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-28 01:05
SportsBet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -8.91%E -3.79%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -11.49%E -4.18%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -4.12%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-27 23:20
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -8.91%E -3.79%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -11.49%E -4.18%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -4.12%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-27 23:19
Codere (IT)2.33I 42.92%NM 38.52%EV -9.69%E -4.16%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -9.88%E -3.53%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.43%EV -11.39%E -3.73%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-28 01:05
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -10.85%E -4.72%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -11.49%E -4.18%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -7.03%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-27 23:20
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -10.85%E -4.72%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -13.10%E -4.85%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -5.58%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-27 23:20
LeoVegas2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -10.85%E -4.72%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -9.88%E -3.53%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -9.94%E -3.20%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-28 01:05
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.96%EV -10.85%E -4.72%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -11.49%E -4.18%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -8.48%E -2.69%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-28 01:05
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -10.85%E -4.72%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -11.49%E -4.18%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -12.84%E -4.28%K -6.42%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-27 23:20
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -10.85%E -4.72%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -11.49%E -4.18%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -12.84%E -4.28%K -6.42%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-27 23:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -10.85%E -4.72%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -11.49%E -4.18%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -12.84%E -4.28%K -6.42%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-27 23:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -10.85%E -4.72%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -11.49%E -4.18%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -12.84%E -4.28%K -6.42%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-27 23:20
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 38.17%EV -10.85%E -4.72%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.51%EV -15.67%E -5.98%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -9.94%E -3.20%K -4.73%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-27 23:20
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.08%EV -12.79%E -5.68%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.56%EV -13.10%E -4.85%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -9.94%E -3.20%K -4.73%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-28 01:05
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 38.24%EV -12.79%E -5.68%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.09%EV -16.32%E -6.28%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.68%EV -12.84%E -4.28%K -6.42%G +0.000%16.2%2026-07-27 23:20
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.47%EV -14.73%E -6.69%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.58%EV -11.49%E -4.18%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.95%EV -12.84%E -4.28%K -6.42%G +0.000%15.2%2026-07-28 01:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 38.80%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.90%2.94I 34.01%NM 29.30%16.1%2026-07-28 01:05