Language:English
Cobresal v Union La Calera
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cobresal (Local)
Prediction 41.54%2.41fair odd
EV -3.21%
Edge -1.38%
Kelly -2.41%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.60%41.58%41.48%44.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.222.202.3348.78%45.11%45.45%42.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Union La Calera (Visit)
Prediction 30.13%3.32fair odd
EV -2.39%
Edge -0.737%
Kelly -1.07%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.24
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.32%30.11%30.18%31.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.023.003.2435.09%33.16%33.33%30.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.33%3.53fair odd
EV -3.11%
Edge -0.909%
Kelly -1.28%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.46%28.31%28.35%29.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.213.203.4232.26%31.16%31.25%29.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cobresal (Local): 41.54%; Union La Calera (Visit): 30.13%; Draw: 28.33%. For Union La Calera (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.32. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.24, with an expected value of -2.39%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.71%EV -3.21%E -1.38%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -11.12%E -3.77%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-01 14:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.71%EV -3.21%E -1.38%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -11.12%E -3.77%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-01 14:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.71%EV -3.21%E -1.38%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -11.12%E -3.77%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-01 14:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.71%EV -3.21%E -1.38%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -11.12%E -3.77%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-01 14:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.71%EV -3.21%E -1.38%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -11.12%E -3.77%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-01 14:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.36%EV -3.62%E -1.56%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.99%EV -3.59%E -1.12%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.65%EV -5.09%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-01 16:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.60%EV -3.62%E -1.56%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.68%EV -12.63%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-01 14:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.67%EV -4.04%E -1.75%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.18%EV -3.89%E -1.22%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.15%EV -3.11%E -0.909%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-01 16:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.38%EV -4.45%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -5.10%E -1.62%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.41%EV -5.09%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-01 16:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.45%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.09%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-01 16:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -4.45%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -12.63%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -10.76%E -3.42%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-01 14:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -5.28%E -2.32%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -8.11%E -2.66%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-01 16:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -5.28%E -2.32%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -8.11%E -2.66%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-01 16:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.53%E -2.90%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-01 16:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.43%EV -6.53%E -2.90%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.88%EV -6.00%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-01 16:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.43%EV -6.53%E -2.90%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.88%EV -6.00%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-01 16:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.53%E -2.90%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -9.62%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-01 12:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -6.53%E -2.90%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.11%E -2.66%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -10.76%E -3.42%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-01 16:18 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -6.53%E -2.90%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.39%EV -14.14%E -4.96%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.86%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-01 14:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.35%EV -6.95%E -3.10%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.77%EV -8.78%E -2.73%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-01 16:13 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -8.61%E -3.91%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -3.59%E -1.12%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-01 16:03 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -8.61%E -3.91%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-01 15:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -8.61%E -3.91%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-01 08:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -8.61%E -3.91%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-01 16:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -8.61%E -3.91%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -8.11%E -2.66%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-01 16:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.21%EV -8.61%E -3.91%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.73%EV -11.12%E -3.77%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.07%EV -8.49%E -2.63%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-30 16:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.21%EV -8.61%E -3.91%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.73%EV -11.12%E -3.77%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.07%EV -8.49%E -2.63%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-30 16:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.21%EV -8.61%E -3.91%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.73%EV -11.12%E -3.77%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.07%EV -8.49%E -2.63%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-30 16:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.21%EV -8.61%E -3.91%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.73%EV -11.12%E -3.77%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.07%EV -8.49%E -2.63%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-31 22:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -8.61%E -3.91%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -9.62%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -10.76%E -3.42%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-01 16:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -8.61%E -3.91%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -11.12%E -3.77%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-01 16:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -8.61%E -3.91%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -11.12%E -3.77%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-01 12:34 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -8.61%E -3.91%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -13.23%E -4.59%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-01 12:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -8.61%E -3.91%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -12.63%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-01 16:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -8.61%E -3.91%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -12.63%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-01 16:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -8.61%E -3.91%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -12.63%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-01 16:04 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -9.44%E -4.33%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-01 16:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -9.85%E -4.54%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.83%EV -2.39%E -0.737%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.13%EV -5.94%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-01 06:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.44%EV -10.68%E -4.97%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.91%EV -8.11%E -2.66%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-01 16:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -10.68%E -4.97%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.62%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-01 16:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -10.68%E -4.97%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.62%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-01 15:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -10.68%E -4.97%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.62%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-01 15:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -10.68%E -4.97%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.62%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-01 15:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -10.68%E -4.97%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.62%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-01 15:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -10.68%E -4.97%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.62%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-01 16:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -10.68%E -4.97%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -12.63%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-01 16:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -10.68%E -4.97%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -12.63%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-01 16:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -12.76%E -6.08%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -9.62%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-01 16:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.27%EV -12.76%E -6.08%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.10%EV -8.11%E -2.66%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.63%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-01 16:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.64%EV -12.76%E -6.08%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.15%EV -12.63%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.21%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-01 16:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -14.84%E -7.24%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -3.59%E -1.12%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-01 16:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.95% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 29.01% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 28.03% | -0.1% | 2026-08-01 13:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.02% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.93% | 0.8% | 2026-08-01 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.82% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.37% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.80% | 1.3% | 2026-08-01 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.82% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.37% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.80% | 1.3% | 2026-08-01 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.66% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.25% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.09% | 1.7% | 2026-08-01 16:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.49% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.13% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.38% | 2.1% | 2026-08-01 16:20 |
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