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Cobresal v Union La Calera
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Cobresal (Хозяева)
Прогноз 41.54%2.41справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.21%
Преимущество -1.38%
Kelly -2.41%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.33
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
39.60%41.58%41.48%44.21%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.052.222.202.3348.78%45.11%45.45%42.92%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Union La Calera (Гости)
Прогноз 30.13%3.32справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.39%
Преимущество -0.737%
Kelly -1.07%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.24
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
28.32%30.11%30.18%31.68%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.853.023.003.2435.09%33.16%33.33%30.86%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 28.33%3.53справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.11%
Преимущество -0.909%
Kelly -1.28%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.42
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
27.46%28.31%28.35%29.13%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.103.213.203.4232.26%31.16%31.25%29.24%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Cobresal (Хозяева): 41.54%; Union La Calera (Гости): 30.13%; Ничья: 28.33%. Для исхода «Union La Calera (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.32. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 3.24, математическое ожидание — -2.39%; положительного ожидания не было.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (51 букмекерская контора)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.71%EV -3.21%E -1.38%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -11.12%E -3.77%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-01 14:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.71%EV -3.21%E -1.38%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -11.12%E -3.77%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-01 14:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.71%EV -3.21%E -1.38%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -11.12%E -3.77%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-01 14:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.71%EV -3.21%E -1.38%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -11.12%E -3.77%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-01 14:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.71%EV -3.21%E -1.38%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -11.12%E -3.77%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-01 14:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.36%EV -3.62%E -1.56%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.99%EV -3.59%E -1.12%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.65%EV -5.09%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-01 16:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.60%EV -3.62%E -1.56%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.68%EV -12.63%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-01 14:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.67%EV -4.04%E -1.75%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.18%EV -3.89%E -1.22%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.15%EV -3.11%E -0.909%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-01 16:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.38%EV -4.45%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -5.10%E -1.62%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.41%EV -5.09%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-01 16:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.45%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.09%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-01 16:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -4.45%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -12.63%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -10.76%E -3.42%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-01 14:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -5.28%E -2.32%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -8.11%E -2.66%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-01 16:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -5.28%E -2.32%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -8.11%E -2.66%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-01 16:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.53%E -2.90%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-01 16:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.43%EV -6.53%E -2.90%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.88%EV -6.00%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-01 16:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.43%EV -6.53%E -2.90%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.88%EV -6.00%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-01 16:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.53%E -2.90%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -9.62%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-01 12:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -6.53%E -2.90%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.11%E -2.66%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -10.76%E -3.42%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-01 16:18 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -6.53%E -2.90%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.39%EV -14.14%E -4.96%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.86%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-01 14:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.35%EV -6.95%E -3.10%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.77%EV -8.78%E -2.73%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-01 16:13 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -8.61%E -3.91%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -3.59%E -1.12%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-01 16:03 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -8.61%E -3.91%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-01 15:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -8.61%E -3.91%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-01 08:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -8.61%E -3.91%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-01 16:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -8.61%E -3.91%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -8.11%E -2.66%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-01 16:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.21%EV -8.61%E -3.91%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.73%EV -11.12%E -3.77%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.07%EV -8.49%E -2.63%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-30 16:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.21%EV -8.61%E -3.91%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.73%EV -11.12%E -3.77%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.07%EV -8.49%E -2.63%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-30 16:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.21%EV -8.61%E -3.91%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.73%EV -11.12%E -3.77%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.07%EV -8.49%E -2.63%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-30 16:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.21%EV -8.61%E -3.91%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.73%EV -11.12%E -3.77%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.07%EV -8.49%E -2.63%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-31 22:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -8.61%E -3.91%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -9.62%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -10.76%E -3.42%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-01 16:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -8.61%E -3.91%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -11.12%E -3.77%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-01 16:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -8.61%E -3.91%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -11.12%E -3.77%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-01 12:34 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -8.61%E -3.91%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -13.23%E -4.59%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-01 12:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -8.61%E -3.91%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -12.63%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-01 16:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -8.61%E -3.91%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -12.63%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-01 16:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -8.61%E -3.91%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -12.63%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-01 16:04 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -9.44%E -4.33%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-01 16:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -9.85%E -4.54%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.83%EV -2.39%E -0.737%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.13%EV -5.94%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-01 06:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.44%EV -10.68%E -4.97%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.91%EV -8.11%E -2.66%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-01 16:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -10.68%E -4.97%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.62%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-01 16:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -10.68%E -4.97%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.62%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-01 15:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -10.68%E -4.97%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.62%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-01 15:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -10.68%E -4.97%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.62%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-01 15:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -10.68%E -4.97%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.62%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-01 15:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -10.68%E -4.97%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.62%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-01 16:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -10.68%E -4.97%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -12.63%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-01 16:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -10.68%E -4.97%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -12.63%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-01 16:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -12.76%E -6.08%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -9.62%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-01 16:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.27%EV -12.76%E -6.08%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.10%EV -8.11%E -2.66%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.63%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-01 16:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.64%EV -12.76%E -6.08%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.15%EV -12.63%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.21%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-01 16:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -14.84%E -7.24%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -3.59%E -1.12%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-01 16:09 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (6)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.95% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 29.01% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 28.03% | -0.1% | 2026-08-01 13:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.02% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.93% | 0.8% | 2026-08-01 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.82% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.37% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.80% | 1.3% | 2026-08-01 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.82% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.37% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.80% | 1.3% | 2026-08-01 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.66% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.25% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.09% | 1.7% | 2026-08-01 16:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.49% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.13% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.38% | 2.1% | 2026-08-01 16:20 |