Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Cobresal v Union La Calera

Początek: 2026-08-01 16:30 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Cobresal 4–0 Union La Calera

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

51 bukmacherów (19 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Cobresal (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 41.54%2.41kurs godziwy
EV -3.21%
Przewaga -1.38%
Kelly -2.41%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.33

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
39.60%41.58%41.48%44.21%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.052.222.202.3348.78%45.11%45.45%42.92%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Union La Calera (Goście)

Prognoza 30.13%3.32kurs godziwy
EV -2.39%
Przewaga -0.737%
Kelly -1.07%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.24

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
28.32%30.11%30.18%31.68%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.853.023.003.2435.09%33.16%33.33%30.86%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 28.33%3.53kurs godziwy
EV -3.11%
Przewaga -0.909%
Kelly -1.28%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.42

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
27.46%28.31%28.35%29.13%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.103.213.203.4232.26%31.16%31.25%29.24%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Cobresal (Gospodarze): 41.54%; Union La Calera (Goście): 30.13%; Remis: 28.33%. Dla wyniku Union La Calera (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 3.32. Żaden kwalifikujący się bukmacher nie oferował kursu zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu: najlepszy wynosił 3.24, przy wartości oczekiwanej -2.39%; nie dawał dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej.

Kursy bukmacherskie (51 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeRemisMarżaAktualizacja
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.71%EV -3.21%E -1.38%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -11.12%E -3.77%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-01 14:30
Unibet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.71%EV -3.21%E -1.38%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -11.12%E -3.77%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-01 14:30
Grosvenor🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.71%EV -3.21%E -1.38%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -11.12%E -3.77%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-01 14:30
TABtouch🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.71%EV -3.21%E -1.38%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -11.12%E -3.77%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-01 14:29
Unibet (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.71%EV -3.21%E -1.38%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -11.12%E -3.77%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-01 14:30
1xBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.36%EV -3.62%E -1.56%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.99%EV -3.59%E -1.12%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.65%EV -5.09%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-01 16:19
BetRivers🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.60%EV -3.62%E -1.56%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.68%EV -12.63%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-01 14:30
Pinnacle🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.67%EV -4.04%E -1.75%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.18%EV -3.89%E -1.22%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.15%EV -3.11%E -0.909%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-01 16:10
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.38%EV -4.45%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -5.10%E -1.62%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.41%EV -5.09%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 16:14
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.45%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.09%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 16:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -4.45%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -12.63%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -10.76%E -3.42%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-01 14:29
NordicBet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -5.28%E -2.32%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -8.11%E -2.66%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 16:04
Betsson🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -5.28%E -2.32%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -8.11%E -2.66%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 16:04
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.53%E -2.90%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 16:05
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.43%EV -6.53%E -2.90%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.88%EV -6.00%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-01 16:14
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.43%EV -6.53%E -2.90%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.88%EV -6.00%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-01 16:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.53%E -2.90%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -9.62%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-01 12:34
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -6.53%E -2.90%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.11%E -2.66%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -10.76%E -3.42%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-01 16:18
Virgin Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -6.53%E -2.90%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.39%EV -14.14%E -4.96%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.86%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-01 14:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.35%EV -6.95%E -3.10%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.77%EV -8.78%E -2.73%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-01 16:13
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -8.61%E -3.91%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -3.59%E -1.12%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-01 16:03
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -8.61%E -3.91%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-01 15:44
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -8.61%E -3.91%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-01 08:49
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -8.61%E -3.91%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-01 16:04
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -8.61%E -3.91%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -8.11%E -2.66%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-01 16:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.21%EV -8.61%E -3.91%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.73%EV -11.12%E -3.77%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.07%EV -8.49%E -2.63%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-30 16:44
LowVig.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.21%EV -8.61%E -3.91%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.73%EV -11.12%E -3.77%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.07%EV -8.49%E -2.63%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-30 16:39
BetUS🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.21%EV -8.61%E -3.91%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.73%EV -11.12%E -3.77%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.07%EV -8.49%E -2.63%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-30 16:39
BetAnything🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.21%EV -8.61%E -3.91%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.73%EV -11.12%E -3.77%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.07%EV -8.49%E -2.63%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-31 22:54
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -8.61%E -3.91%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -9.62%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -10.76%E -3.42%K -5.00%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-01 16:05
Everygame🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -8.61%E -3.91%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -11.12%E -3.77%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-01 16:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -8.61%E -3.91%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -11.12%E -3.77%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-01 12:34
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -8.61%E -3.91%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -13.23%E -4.59%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-01 12:34
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -8.61%E -3.91%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -12.63%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-01 16:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -8.61%E -3.91%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -12.63%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-01 16:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -8.61%E -3.91%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -12.63%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-01 16:04
Codere (IT)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -9.44%E -4.33%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-01 16:10
GTbets🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -9.85%E -4.54%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.83%EV -2.39%E -0.737%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.13%EV -5.94%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 06:34
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.44%EV -10.68%E -4.97%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.91%EV -8.11%E -2.66%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-01 16:05
LeoVegas🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -10.68%E -4.97%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.62%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-01 16:10
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -10.68%E -4.97%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.62%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-01 15:39
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -10.68%E -4.97%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.62%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-01 15:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -10.68%E -4.97%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.62%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-01 15:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -10.68%E -4.97%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.62%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-01 15:44
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -10.68%E -4.97%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.62%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-01 16:04
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -10.68%E -4.97%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -12.63%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-01 16:24
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -10.68%E -4.97%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -12.63%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-01 16:04
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -12.76%E -6.08%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -9.62%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-01 16:05
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.27%EV -12.76%E -6.08%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.10%EV -8.11%E -2.66%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.63%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-01 16:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.64%EV -12.76%E -6.08%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.15%EV -12.63%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.21%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-01 16:15
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -14.84%E -7.24%K -14.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -3.59%E -1.12%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-01 16:09
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Kalshi◎2.33I 42.92%NM 42.95%3.45I 28.99%NM 29.01%3.57I 28.01%NM 28.03%-0.1%2026-08-01 13:45
Matchbook◎2.36I 42.37%NM 42.02%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.93%0.8%2026-08-01 16:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.82%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.37%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.80%1.3%2026-08-01 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.82%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.37%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.80%1.3%2026-08-01 16:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.66%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.25%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.09%1.7%2026-08-01 16:25
Smarkets◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.49%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.13%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.38%2.1%2026-08-01 16:20