L’École des cotes

Cobresal v Union La Calera

2026-08-01 16:30 UTC — Primera División - Chile

Résultat du match

31 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Cobresal (Local)

Prévision 38.79%2.58cote équitable
EV -5.35%
Avantage -2.19%
Kelly -3.71%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.44

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.25%38.69%38.79%39.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.352.352.4445.45%42.56%42.55%40.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Union La Calera (Visiteur)

Prévision 32.16%3.11cote équitable
EV -3.53%
Avantage -1.18%
Kelly -1.76%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.58%32.28%32.06%33.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.812.803.0038.46%35.56%35.71%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.05%3.44cote équitable
EV -2.68%
Avantage -0.801%
Kelly -1.14%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.65%29.03%29.15%30.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.903.133.103.3534.48%31.99%32.26%29.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (31 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.44I 40.98%NM 38.85%EV -5.35%E -2.19%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.71%EV -3.85%E -1.29%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.44%EV -6.46%E -2.01%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-28 01:10
Coolbet2.42I 41.32%NM 39.54%EV -6.12%E -2.53%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.90%EV -3.53%E -1.18%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.56%EV -2.68%E -0.801%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-27 22:15
NordicBet2.42I 41.32%NM 38.51%EV -6.12%E -2.53%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -7.39%E -2.56%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-28 01:05
Betsson2.42I 41.32%NM 38.51%EV -6.12%E -2.53%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -7.39%E -2.56%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-28 01:10
GTbets2.40I 41.67%NM 39.30%EV -6.90%E -2.87%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.30%EV -6.10%E -2.09%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.41%EV -3.55%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-27 21:55
1xBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.90%E -2.87%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.82%EV -5.78%E -1.97%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.32%EV -7.62%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-28 01:10
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 38.71%EV -6.90%E -2.87%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.26%EV -7.39%E -2.56%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-27 23:20
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -6.90%E -2.87%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -9.96%E -3.56%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -4.13%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-28 02:00
BetOnline.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 38.52%EV -6.90%E -2.87%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.66%EV -6.10%E -2.09%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-28 01:30
LowVig.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 38.52%EV -6.90%E -2.87%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.66%EV -6.10%E -2.09%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-28 01:30
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -6.90%E -2.87%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -9.96%E -3.56%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -15.75%E -5.43%K -8.29%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-28 01:00
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -6.90%E -2.87%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -9.96%E -3.56%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -15.75%E -5.43%K -8.29%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-28 01:00
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -6.90%E -2.87%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -9.96%E -3.56%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -15.75%E -5.43%K -8.29%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-28 01:00
Marathon Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.97%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 31.87%EV -6.42%E -2.21%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.16%EV -7.62%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-28 01:05
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -7.39%E -2.56%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-28 01:05
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -8.84%E -3.76%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -6.74%E -2.33%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-28 01:05
SportsBet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -8.84%E -3.76%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -11.57%E -4.21%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -4.13%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-27 23:20
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -8.84%E -3.76%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -11.57%E -4.21%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -4.13%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-27 23:19
Codere (IT)2.33I 42.92%NM 38.52%EV -9.61%E -4.13%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -9.96%E -3.56%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.43%EV -11.40%E -3.74%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-28 01:05
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -10.78%E -4.69%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -11.57%E -4.21%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-27 23:20
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -10.78%E -4.69%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -13.18%E -4.88%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -5.59%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-27 23:20
LeoVegas2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -10.78%E -4.69%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -9.96%E -3.56%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-28 01:05
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.96%EV -10.78%E -4.69%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -11.57%E -4.21%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -8.49%E -2.70%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-28 01:05
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -10.78%E -4.69%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -11.57%E -4.21%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -12.85%E -4.28%K -6.42%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-27 23:20
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -10.78%E -4.69%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -11.57%E -4.21%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -12.85%E -4.28%K -6.42%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-27 23:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -10.78%E -4.69%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -11.57%E -4.21%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -12.85%E -4.28%K -6.42%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-27 23:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -10.78%E -4.69%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -11.57%E -4.21%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -12.85%E -4.28%K -6.42%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-27 23:20
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 38.17%EV -10.78%E -4.69%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.51%EV -15.75%E -6.01%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-27 23:20
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.08%EV -12.72%E -5.65%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.56%EV -13.18%E -4.88%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-28 01:05
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 38.24%EV -12.72%E -5.65%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.09%EV -16.39%E -6.30%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.68%EV -12.85%E -4.28%K -6.42%G +0.000%16.2%2026-07-27 23:20
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.47%EV -14.66%E -6.66%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.58%EV -11.57%E -4.21%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.95%EV -12.85%E -4.28%K -6.42%G +0.000%15.2%2026-07-28 01:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (1)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 38.80%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.90%2.94I 34.01%NM 29.30%16.1%2026-07-28 01:05