默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Cobresal v Union La Calera

开赛时间: 2026-08-01 16:30 UTC

最终结果: Cobresal 4–0 Union La Calera

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

51 家博彩公司 (19 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Cobresal (主队)

预测 41.54%2.41公平赔率
EV -3.21%
优势 -1.38%
Kelly -2.41%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.33

博彩公司预测分布
39.60%41.58%41.48%44.21%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.052.222.202.3348.78%45.11%45.45%42.92%最小值均值中位数最大值

Union La Calera (客队)

预测 30.13%3.32公平赔率
EV -2.39%
优势 -0.737%
Kelly -1.07%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.24

博彩公司预测分布
28.32%30.11%30.18%31.68%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.853.023.003.2435.09%33.16%33.33%30.86%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 28.33%3.53公平赔率
EV -3.11%
优势 -0.909%
Kelly -1.28%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.42

博彩公司预测分布
27.46%28.31%28.35%29.13%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.103.213.203.4232.26%31.16%31.25%29.24%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Cobresal (主队):41.54%;Union La Calera (客队):30.13%;平局:28.33%。 对于“Union La Calera (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.32。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为3.24,期望值为-2.39%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (51 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.71%EV -3.21%E -1.38%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -11.12%E -3.77%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-01 14:30
Unibet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.71%EV -3.21%E -1.38%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -11.12%E -3.77%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-01 14:30
Grosvenor🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.71%EV -3.21%E -1.38%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -11.12%E -3.77%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-01 14:30
TABtouch🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.71%EV -3.21%E -1.38%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -11.12%E -3.77%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-01 14:29
Unibet (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.71%EV -3.21%E -1.38%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -11.12%E -3.77%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-01 14:30
1xBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.36%EV -3.62%E -1.56%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.99%EV -3.59%E -1.12%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.65%EV -5.09%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-01 16:19
BetRivers🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.60%EV -3.62%E -1.56%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.68%EV -12.63%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-01 14:30
Pinnacle🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.67%EV -4.04%E -1.75%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.18%EV -3.89%E -1.22%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.15%EV -3.11%E -0.909%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-01 16:10
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.38%EV -4.45%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -5.10%E -1.62%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.41%EV -5.09%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 16:14
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.45%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.09%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 16:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -4.45%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -12.63%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -10.76%E -3.42%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-01 14:29
NordicBet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -5.28%E -2.32%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -8.11%E -2.66%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 16:04
Betsson🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -5.28%E -2.32%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -8.11%E -2.66%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 16:04
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.53%E -2.90%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 16:05
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.43%EV -6.53%E -2.90%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.88%EV -6.00%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-01 16:14
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.43%EV -6.53%E -2.90%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.88%EV -6.00%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-01 16:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.53%E -2.90%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -9.62%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-01 12:34
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -6.53%E -2.90%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.11%E -2.66%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -10.76%E -3.42%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-01 16:18
Virgin Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -6.53%E -2.90%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.39%EV -14.14%E -4.96%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.86%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-01 14:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.35%EV -6.95%E -3.10%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.77%EV -8.78%E -2.73%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-01 16:13
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -8.61%E -3.91%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -3.59%E -1.12%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-01 16:03
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -8.61%E -3.91%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-01 15:44
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -8.61%E -3.91%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-01 08:49
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -8.61%E -3.91%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-01 16:04
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -8.61%E -3.91%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -8.11%E -2.66%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-01 16:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.21%EV -8.61%E -3.91%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.73%EV -11.12%E -3.77%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.07%EV -8.49%E -2.63%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-30 16:44
LowVig.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.21%EV -8.61%E -3.91%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.73%EV -11.12%E -3.77%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.07%EV -8.49%E -2.63%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-30 16:39
BetUS🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.21%EV -8.61%E -3.91%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.73%EV -11.12%E -3.77%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.07%EV -8.49%E -2.63%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-30 16:39
BetAnything🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.21%EV -8.61%E -3.91%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.73%EV -11.12%E -3.77%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.07%EV -8.49%E -2.63%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-31 22:54
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -8.61%E -3.91%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -9.62%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -10.76%E -3.42%K -5.00%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-01 16:05
Everygame🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -8.61%E -3.91%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -11.12%E -3.77%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-01 16:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -8.61%E -3.91%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -11.12%E -3.77%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-01 12:34
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -8.61%E -3.91%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -13.23%E -4.59%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-01 12:34
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -8.61%E -3.91%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -12.63%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-01 16:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -8.61%E -3.91%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -12.63%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-01 16:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -8.61%E -3.91%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -12.63%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-01 16:04
Codere (IT)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -9.44%E -4.33%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-01 16:10
GTbets🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -9.85%E -4.54%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.83%EV -2.39%E -0.737%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.13%EV -5.94%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 06:34
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.44%EV -10.68%E -4.97%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.91%EV -8.11%E -2.66%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-01 16:05
LeoVegas🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -10.68%E -4.97%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.62%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-01 16:10
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -10.68%E -4.97%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.62%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-01 15:39
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -10.68%E -4.97%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.62%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-01 15:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -10.68%E -4.97%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.62%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-01 15:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -10.68%E -4.97%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.62%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-01 15:44
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -10.68%E -4.97%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.62%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-01 16:04
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -10.68%E -4.97%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -12.63%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-01 16:24
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -10.68%E -4.97%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -12.63%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-01 16:04
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -12.76%E -6.08%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -9.62%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-01 16:05
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.27%EV -12.76%E -6.08%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.10%EV -8.11%E -2.66%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.63%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-01 16:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.64%EV -12.76%E -6.08%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.15%EV -12.63%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.21%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-01 16:15
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -14.84%E -7.24%K -14.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -3.59%E -1.12%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-01 16:09
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎2.33I 42.92%NM 42.95%3.45I 28.99%NM 29.01%3.57I 28.01%NM 28.03%-0.1%2026-08-01 13:45
Matchbook◎2.36I 42.37%NM 42.02%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.93%0.8%2026-08-01 16:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.82%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.37%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.80%1.3%2026-08-01 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.82%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.37%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.80%1.3%2026-08-01 16:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.66%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.25%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.09%1.7%2026-08-01 16:25
Smarkets◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.49%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.13%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.38%2.1%2026-08-01 16:20