Idioma:Español
Cobresal v Union La Calera
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Cobresal (Local)
Predicción 41.54%2.41momio equitativo
EV -3.21%
Ventaja -1.38%
Kelly -2.41%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.33
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.60%41.58%41.48%44.21%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.052.222.202.3348.78%45.11%45.45%42.92%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Union La Calera (Visitante)
Predicción 30.13%3.32momio equitativo
EV -2.39%
Ventaja -0.737%
Kelly -1.07%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.24
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.32%30.11%30.18%31.68%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.853.023.003.2435.09%33.16%33.33%30.86%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 28.33%3.53momio equitativo
EV -3.11%
Ventaja -0.909%
Kelly -1.28%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.42
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.46%28.31%28.35%29.13%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.103.213.203.4232.26%31.16%31.25%29.24%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Cobresal (Local): 41.54%; Union La Calera (Visitante): 30.13%; Empate: 28.33%. Para Union La Calera (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.32. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.24, con un valor esperado de -2.39%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.71%EV -3.21%E -1.38%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -11.12%E -3.77%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-01 14:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.71%EV -3.21%E -1.38%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -11.12%E -3.77%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-01 14:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.71%EV -3.21%E -1.38%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -11.12%E -3.77%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-01 14:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.71%EV -3.21%E -1.38%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -11.12%E -3.77%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-01 14:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.71%EV -3.21%E -1.38%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -11.12%E -3.77%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-01 14:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.36%EV -3.62%E -1.56%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.99%EV -3.59%E -1.12%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.65%EV -5.09%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-01 16:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.60%EV -3.62%E -1.56%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.68%EV -12.63%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-01 14:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.67%EV -4.04%E -1.75%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.18%EV -3.89%E -1.22%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.15%EV -3.11%E -0.909%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-01 16:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.38%EV -4.45%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -5.10%E -1.62%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.41%EV -5.09%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-01 16:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.45%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.09%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-01 16:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -4.45%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -12.63%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -10.76%E -3.42%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-01 14:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -5.28%E -2.32%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -8.11%E -2.66%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-01 16:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -5.28%E -2.32%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -8.11%E -2.66%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-01 16:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.53%E -2.90%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-01 16:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.43%EV -6.53%E -2.90%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.88%EV -6.00%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-01 16:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.43%EV -6.53%E -2.90%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.88%EV -6.00%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-01 16:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.53%E -2.90%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -9.62%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-01 12:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -6.53%E -2.90%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.11%E -2.66%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -10.76%E -3.42%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-01 16:18 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -6.53%E -2.90%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.39%EV -14.14%E -4.96%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.86%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-01 14:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.35%EV -6.95%E -3.10%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.77%EV -8.78%E -2.73%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-01 16:13 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -8.61%E -3.91%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -3.59%E -1.12%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-01 16:03 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -8.61%E -3.91%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-01 15:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -8.61%E -3.91%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-01 08:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -8.61%E -3.91%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-01 16:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -8.61%E -3.91%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -8.11%E -2.66%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-01 16:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.21%EV -8.61%E -3.91%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.73%EV -11.12%E -3.77%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.07%EV -8.49%E -2.63%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-30 16:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.21%EV -8.61%E -3.91%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.73%EV -11.12%E -3.77%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.07%EV -8.49%E -2.63%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-30 16:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.21%EV -8.61%E -3.91%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.73%EV -11.12%E -3.77%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.07%EV -8.49%E -2.63%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-30 16:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.21%EV -8.61%E -3.91%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.73%EV -11.12%E -3.77%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.07%EV -8.49%E -2.63%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-31 22:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -8.61%E -3.91%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -9.62%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -10.76%E -3.42%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-01 16:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -8.61%E -3.91%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -11.12%E -3.77%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-01 16:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -8.61%E -3.91%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -11.12%E -3.77%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-01 12:34 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -8.61%E -3.91%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -13.23%E -4.59%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-01 12:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -8.61%E -3.91%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -12.63%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-01 16:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -8.61%E -3.91%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -12.63%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-01 16:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -8.61%E -3.91%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -12.63%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-01 16:04 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -9.44%E -4.33%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-01 16:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -9.85%E -4.54%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.83%EV -2.39%E -0.737%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.13%EV -5.94%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-01 06:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.44%EV -10.68%E -4.97%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.91%EV -8.11%E -2.66%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-01 16:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -10.68%E -4.97%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.62%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-01 16:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -10.68%E -4.97%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.62%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-01 15:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -10.68%E -4.97%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.62%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-01 15:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -10.68%E -4.97%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.62%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-01 15:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -10.68%E -4.97%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.62%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-01 15:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -10.68%E -4.97%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.62%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-01 16:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -10.68%E -4.97%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -12.63%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-01 16:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -10.68%E -4.97%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -12.63%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-01 16:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -12.76%E -6.08%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -9.62%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-01 16:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.27%EV -12.76%E -6.08%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.10%EV -8.11%E -2.66%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.63%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-01 16:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.64%EV -12.76%E -6.08%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.15%EV -12.63%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.21%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-01 16:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -14.84%E -7.24%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -3.59%E -1.12%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-01 16:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.95% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 29.01% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 28.03% | -0.1% | 2026-08-01 13:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.02% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.93% | 0.8% | 2026-08-01 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.82% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.37% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.80% | 1.3% | 2026-08-01 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.82% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.37% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.80% | 1.3% | 2026-08-01 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.66% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.25% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.09% | 1.7% | 2026-08-01 16:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.49% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.13% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.38% | 2.1% | 2026-08-01 16:20 |