赔率学院

Vila Nova v São Bernardo

开赛时间: 2026-07-06 22:00 UTC

最终结果: Vila Nova 2–1 São Bernardo

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

39 家博彩公司 (14 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:IQM

Vila Nova (主队)

预测 47.73%2.10公平赔率
EV -5.50%
优势 -2.78%
Kelly -5.61%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.98

博彩公司预测分布
46.07%47.80%47.72%50.22%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.801.931.951.9855.56%51.79%51.28%50.51%MIN均值中位数MAX

São Bernardo (客队)

预测 23.21%4.31公平赔率
EV +2.59%
优势 +0.585%
Kelly +0.757%
增长率 +0.020%

假设最高赔率为 4.42

博彩公司预测分布
21.52%23.17%23.26%24.95%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
3.603.933.904.4227.78%25.48%25.64%22.62%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 29.06%3.44公平赔率
EV -4.10%
优势 -1.24%
Kelly -1.78%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.30

博彩公司预测分布
27.90%29.03%29.02%30.23%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
3.003.163.153.3033.33%31.68%31.75%30.30%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (39 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Pinnacle1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -5.50%E -2.78%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.76%EV +2.59%E +0.585%K +0.757%G +0.020%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.68%EV -5.84%E -1.80%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-06 21:35
SportsBet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.09%EV -8.84%E -4.63%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -1.36%E -0.320%K -0.418%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-06 21:30
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -8.84%E -4.63%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -2.52%E -0.600%K -0.787%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-06 21:30
Bovada1.92I 52.08%NM 48.16%EV -8.36%E -4.35%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -2.52%E -0.600%K -0.787%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-06 21:53
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -14.09%E -7.83%K -17.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -2.52%E -0.600%K -0.787%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-06 21:35
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.18%EV -6.93%E -3.55%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -4.84%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.91%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-06 21:44
LowVig.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 47.61%EV -6.45%E -3.29%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -4.84%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -8.46%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-06 21:50
BetOnline.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 47.61%EV -6.45%E -3.29%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -4.84%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -8.46%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-06 21:50
BetUS1.96I 51.02%NM 47.61%EV -6.45%E -3.29%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -4.84%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -8.46%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-06 21:50
1xBet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.41%EV -7.88%E -4.08%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.01%EV -5.77%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 28.57%EV -4.97%E -1.52%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-06 21:49
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -6.93%E -3.55%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-06 17:35
Marathon Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.25%EV -8.36%E -4.35%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.59%EV -5.84%E -1.80%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-06 21:30
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 48.29%EV -10.75%E -5.75%K -12.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-06 21:30
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 47.33%EV -6.93%E -3.55%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -8.32%E -2.11%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -8.46%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-06 17:40
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.33%EV -6.93%E -3.55%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -8.32%E -2.11%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -8.46%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-06 17:34
Codere (IT)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.24%EV -7.41%E -3.82%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV -8.32%E -2.11%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-06 17:35
LeoVegas1.92I 52.08%NM 47.72%EV -8.36%E -4.35%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV -8.32%E -2.11%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -8.46%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-06 21:54
Unibet1.97I 50.76%NM 47.36%EV -5.97%E -3.03%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -9.48%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-06 21:34
Unibet (NL)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.49%EV -6.45%E -3.29%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -9.48%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-06 21:35
Casumo1.96I 51.02%NM 47.49%EV -6.45%E -3.29%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -9.48%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-06 21:35
Unibet (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.49%EV -6.45%E -3.29%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -9.48%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-06 21:35
Svenska Spel1.96I 51.02%NM 47.49%EV -6.45%E -3.29%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -9.48%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-06 21:35
ATG (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.49%EV -6.45%E -3.29%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -9.48%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-06 21:35
betPARX1.96I 51.02%NM 47.49%EV -6.45%E -3.29%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -9.48%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-06 21:35
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -6.93%E -3.55%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -9.48%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -12.82%E -4.27%K -6.41%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-06 21:55
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -6.93%E -3.55%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -9.48%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -12.82%E -4.27%K -6.41%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-06 21:55
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -6.93%E -3.55%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -9.48%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -12.82%E -4.27%K -6.41%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-06 21:55
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -6.93%E -3.55%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -9.48%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -12.82%E -4.27%K -6.41%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-06 21:55
PlayUp1.92I 52.08%NM 47.21%EV -8.36%E -4.35%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.55%EV -10.64%E -2.76%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-06 21:55
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 47.73%EV -10.75%E -5.75%K -12.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -11.80%E -3.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.79%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-06 17:05
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -6.93%E -3.55%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -12.96%E -3.46%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-06 15:40
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 47.01%EV -7.88%E -4.08%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -12.96%E -3.46%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -8.46%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-06 21:35
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -6.93%E -3.55%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -14.12%E -3.82%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -4.10%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-04 10:55
Grosvenor1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -8.84%E -4.63%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -14.12%E -3.82%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-06 21:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 47.00%EV -9.79%E -5.18%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.34%EV -15.28%E -4.19%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-06 21:34
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 46.92%EV -10.27%E -5.46%K -11.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.17%EV -15.28%E -4.19%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.92%EV -11.36%E -3.73%K -5.54%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-06 21:35
betfred_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -6.93%E -3.55%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -16.44%E -4.57%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-01 14:19
Virgin Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 46.89%EV -10.75%E -5.75%K -12.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.36%EV -16.44%E -4.57%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.75%EV -11.36%E -3.73%K -5.54%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-06 21:35
LiveScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 46.89%EV -10.75%E -5.75%K -12.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.36%EV -16.44%E -4.57%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.75%EV -11.36%E -3.73%K -5.54%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-06 21:34
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 49.64%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.58%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-07-06 21:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.64%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.58%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-07-06 21:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.64%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.58%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-07-06 21:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.64%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.58%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-07-06 21:55
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 49.40%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.96%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%1.2%2026-07-06 21:55