مدرسة الاحتمالاتVila Nova v São Bernardo
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Vila Nova (المضيف)
التنبؤ 47.73%2.10السعر العادل
EV -5.50%
الأفضلية -2.78%
Kelly -5.61%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.98
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
46.07%47.80%47.72%50.22%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.801.931.951.9855.56%51.79%51.28%50.51%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
São Bernardo (الضيف)
التنبؤ 23.21%4.31السعر العادل
EV +2.59%
الأفضلية +0.585%
Kelly +0.757%
النمو +0.020%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.42
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.52%23.17%23.26%24.95%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.603.933.904.4227.78%25.48%25.64%22.62%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
تعادل
التنبؤ 29.06%3.44السعر العادل
EV -4.10%
الأفضلية -1.24%
Kelly -1.78%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.30
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.90%29.03%29.02%30.23%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.163.153.3033.33%31.68%31.75%30.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (39 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف ▼ | تعادل | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -5.50%E -2.78%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.76%EV +2.59%E +0.585%K +0.757%G +0.020% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.68%EV -5.84%E -1.80%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-06 21:35 |
| SportsBet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.09%EV -8.84%E -4.63%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -1.36%E -0.320%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-06 21:30 |
| FanDuel | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -8.84%E -4.63%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -2.52%E -0.600%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-06 21:30 |
| Bovada | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.16%EV -8.36%E -4.35%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -2.52%E -0.600%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-06 21:53 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -14.09%E -7.83%K -17.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -2.52%E -0.600%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-06 21:35 |
| DraftKings | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.18%EV -6.93%E -3.55%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -4.84%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.91%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-06 21:44 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.61%EV -6.45%E -3.29%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -4.84%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -8.46%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-06 21:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.61%EV -6.45%E -3.29%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -4.84%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -8.46%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-06 21:50 |
| BetUS | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.61%EV -6.45%E -3.29%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -4.84%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -8.46%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-06 21:50 |
| 1xBet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.41%EV -7.88%E -4.08%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.01%EV -5.77%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 28.57%EV -4.97%E -1.52%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-06 21:49 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -6.93%E -3.55%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-06 17:35 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.25%EV -8.36%E -4.35%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.59%EV -5.84%E -1.80%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-06 21:30 |
| Paddy Power | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.29%EV -10.75%E -5.75%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-06 21:30 |
| Betsson | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.33%EV -6.93%E -3.55%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -8.32%E -2.11%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -8.46%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-06 17:40 |
| NordicBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.33%EV -6.93%E -3.55%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -8.32%E -2.11%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -8.46%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-06 17:34 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.24%EV -7.41%E -3.82%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV -8.32%E -2.11%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-06 17:35 |
| LeoVegas | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.72%EV -8.36%E -4.35%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV -8.32%E -2.11%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -8.46%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-06 21:54 |
| Unibet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.36%EV -5.97%E -3.03%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -9.48%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-06 21:34 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.49%EV -6.45%E -3.29%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -9.48%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-06 21:35 |
| Casumo | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.49%EV -6.45%E -3.29%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -9.48%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-06 21:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.49%EV -6.45%E -3.29%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -9.48%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-06 21:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.49%EV -6.45%E -3.29%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -9.48%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-06 21:35 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.49%EV -6.45%E -3.29%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -9.48%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-06 21:35 |
| betPARX | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.49%EV -6.45%E -3.29%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -9.48%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-06 21:35 |
| William Hill | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -6.93%E -3.55%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -9.48%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -12.82%E -4.27%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-06 21:55 |
| 888sport | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -6.93%E -3.55%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -9.48%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -12.82%E -4.27%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-06 21:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -6.93%E -3.55%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -9.48%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -12.82%E -4.27%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-06 21:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -6.93%E -3.55%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -9.48%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -12.82%E -4.27%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-06 21:55 |
| PlayUp | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.21%EV -8.36%E -4.35%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.55%EV -10.64%E -2.76%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-06 21:55 |
| BoyleSports | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.73%EV -10.75%E -5.75%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -11.80%E -3.11%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.79%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-06 17:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -6.93%E -3.55%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -12.96%E -3.46%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-06 15:40 |
| BetRivers | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.01%EV -7.88%E -4.08%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -12.96%E -3.46%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -8.46%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-06 21:35 |
| theScore Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -6.93%E -3.55%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -14.12%E -3.82%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -4.10%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-04 10:55 |
| Grosvenor | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -8.84%E -4.63%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -14.12%E -3.82%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-06 21:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.00%EV -9.79%E -5.18%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.34%EV -15.28%E -4.19%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-07-06 21:34 |
| TABtouch | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.92%EV -10.27%E -5.46%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.17%EV -15.28%E -4.19%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.92%EV -11.36%E -3.73%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-07-06 21:35 |
| betfred_uk | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -6.93%E -3.55%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -16.44%E -4.57%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-01 14:19 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 46.89%EV -10.75%E -5.75%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.36%EV -16.44%E -4.57%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.75%EV -11.36%E -3.73%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-06 21:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 46.89%EV -10.75%E -5.75%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.36%EV -16.44%E -4.57%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.75%EV -11.36%E -3.73%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-06 21:34 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (5)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.64% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.58% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78% | 0.7% | 2026-07-06 21:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.64% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.58% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78% | 0.7% | 2026-07-06 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.64% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.58% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78% | 0.7% | 2026-07-06 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.64% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.58% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78% | 0.7% | 2026-07-06 21:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.40% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.96% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64% | 1.2% | 2026-07-06 21:55 |