Szkoła Kursów

Vila Nova v São Bernardo

Początek: 2026-07-06 22:00 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Vila Nova 2–1 São Bernardo

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

39 bukmacherów (14 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Vila Nova (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 47.73%2.10kurs godziwy
EV -5.50%
Przewaga -2.78%
Kelly -5.61%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.98

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
46.07%47.80%47.72%50.22%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.801.931.951.9855.56%51.79%51.28%50.51%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

São Bernardo (Goście)

Prognoza 23.21%4.31kurs godziwy
EV +2.59%
Przewaga +0.585%
Kelly +0.757%
Wzrost +0.020%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.42

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
21.52%23.17%23.26%24.95%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.603.933.904.4227.78%25.48%25.64%22.62%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 29.06%3.44kurs godziwy
EV -4.10%
Przewaga -1.24%
Kelly -1.78%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.30

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
27.90%29.03%29.02%30.23%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.003.163.153.3033.33%31.68%31.75%30.30%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (39 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -5.50%E -2.78%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.76%EV +2.59%E +0.585%K +0.757%G +0.020%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.68%EV -5.84%E -1.80%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-06 21:35
SportsBet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.09%EV -8.84%E -4.63%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -1.36%E -0.320%K -0.418%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-06 21:30
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -8.84%E -4.63%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -2.52%E -0.600%K -0.787%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-06 21:30
Bovada1.92I 52.08%NM 48.16%EV -8.36%E -4.35%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -2.52%E -0.600%K -0.787%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-06 21:53
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -14.09%E -7.83%K -17.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -2.52%E -0.600%K -0.787%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-06 21:35
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.18%EV -6.93%E -3.55%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -4.84%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.91%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-06 21:44
LowVig.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 47.61%EV -6.45%E -3.29%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -4.84%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -8.46%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-06 21:50
BetOnline.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 47.61%EV -6.45%E -3.29%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -4.84%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -8.46%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-06 21:50
BetUS1.96I 51.02%NM 47.61%EV -6.45%E -3.29%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -4.84%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -8.46%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-06 21:50
1xBet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.41%EV -7.88%E -4.08%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.01%EV -5.77%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 28.57%EV -4.97%E -1.52%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-06 21:49
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -6.93%E -3.55%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-06 17:35
Marathon Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.25%EV -8.36%E -4.35%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.59%EV -5.84%E -1.80%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-06 21:30
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 48.29%EV -10.75%E -5.75%K -12.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-06 21:30
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 47.33%EV -6.93%E -3.55%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -8.32%E -2.11%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -8.46%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-06 17:40
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.33%EV -6.93%E -3.55%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -8.32%E -2.11%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -8.46%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-06 17:34
Codere (IT)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.24%EV -7.41%E -3.82%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV -8.32%E -2.11%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-06 17:35
LeoVegas1.92I 52.08%NM 47.72%EV -8.36%E -4.35%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV -8.32%E -2.11%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -8.46%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-06 21:54
Unibet1.97I 50.76%NM 47.36%EV -5.97%E -3.03%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -9.48%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-06 21:34
Unibet (NL)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.49%EV -6.45%E -3.29%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -9.48%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-06 21:35
Casumo1.96I 51.02%NM 47.49%EV -6.45%E -3.29%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -9.48%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-06 21:35
Unibet (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.49%EV -6.45%E -3.29%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -9.48%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-06 21:35
Svenska Spel1.96I 51.02%NM 47.49%EV -6.45%E -3.29%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -9.48%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-06 21:35
ATG (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.49%EV -6.45%E -3.29%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -9.48%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-06 21:35
betPARX1.96I 51.02%NM 47.49%EV -6.45%E -3.29%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -9.48%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-06 21:35
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -6.93%E -3.55%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -9.48%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -12.82%E -4.27%K -6.41%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-06 21:55
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -6.93%E -3.55%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -9.48%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -12.82%E -4.27%K -6.41%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-06 21:55
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -6.93%E -3.55%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -9.48%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -12.82%E -4.27%K -6.41%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-06 21:55
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -6.93%E -3.55%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -9.48%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -12.82%E -4.27%K -6.41%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-06 21:55
PlayUp1.92I 52.08%NM 47.21%EV -8.36%E -4.35%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.55%EV -10.64%E -2.76%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-06 21:55
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 47.73%EV -10.75%E -5.75%K -12.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -11.80%E -3.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.79%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-06 17:05
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -6.93%E -3.55%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -12.96%E -3.46%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-06 15:40
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 47.01%EV -7.88%E -4.08%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -12.96%E -3.46%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -8.46%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-06 21:35
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -6.93%E -3.55%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -14.12%E -3.82%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -4.10%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-04 10:55
Grosvenor1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -8.84%E -4.63%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -14.12%E -3.82%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-06 21:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 47.00%EV -9.79%E -5.18%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.34%EV -15.28%E -4.19%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-06 21:34
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 46.92%EV -10.27%E -5.46%K -11.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.17%EV -15.28%E -4.19%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.92%EV -11.36%E -3.73%K -5.54%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-06 21:35
betfred_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -6.93%E -3.55%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -16.44%E -4.57%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-01 14:19
Virgin Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 46.89%EV -10.75%E -5.75%K -12.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.36%EV -16.44%E -4.57%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.75%EV -11.36%E -3.73%K -5.54%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-06 21:35
LiveScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 46.89%EV -10.75%E -5.75%K -12.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.36%EV -16.44%E -4.57%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.75%EV -11.36%E -3.73%K -5.54%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-06 21:34
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (5)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 49.64%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.58%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-07-06 21:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.64%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.58%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-07-06 21:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.64%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.58%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-07-06 21:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.64%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.58%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-07-06 21:55
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 49.40%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.96%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%1.2%2026-07-06 21:55