La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Vila Nova v São Bernardo
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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Vila Nova (Casa)
Previsione 47.73%2.10quota equa
EV -5.50%
Vantaggio -2.78%
Kelly -5.61%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.98
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
46.07%47.80%47.72%50.22%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.801.931.951.9855.56%51.79%51.28%50.51%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
São Bernardo (Trasferta)
Previsione 23.21%4.31quota equa
EV +2.59%
Vantaggio +0.585%
Kelly +0.757%
Crescita +0.020%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.42
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.52%23.17%23.26%24.95%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.603.933.904.4227.78%25.48%25.64%22.62%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 29.06%3.44quota equa
EV -4.10%
Vantaggio -1.24%
Kelly -1.78%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.30
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.90%29.03%29.02%30.23%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.163.153.3033.33%31.68%31.75%30.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (39 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -5.50%E -2.78%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.76%EV +2.59%E +0.585%K +0.757%G +0.020% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.68%EV -5.84%E -1.80%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-06 21:35 |
| SportsBet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.09%EV -8.84%E -4.63%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -1.36%E -0.320%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-06 21:30 |
| FanDuel | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -8.84%E -4.63%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -2.52%E -0.600%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-06 21:30 |
| Bovada | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.16%EV -8.36%E -4.35%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -2.52%E -0.600%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-06 21:53 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -14.09%E -7.83%K -17.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -2.52%E -0.600%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-06 21:35 |
| DraftKings | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.18%EV -6.93%E -3.55%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -4.84%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.91%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-06 21:44 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.61%EV -6.45%E -3.29%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -4.84%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -8.46%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-06 21:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.61%EV -6.45%E -3.29%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -4.84%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -8.46%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-06 21:50 |
| BetUS | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.61%EV -6.45%E -3.29%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -4.84%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -8.46%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-06 21:50 |
| 1xBet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.41%EV -7.88%E -4.08%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.01%EV -5.77%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 28.57%EV -4.97%E -1.52%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-06 21:49 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -6.93%E -3.55%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-06 17:35 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.25%EV -8.36%E -4.35%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.59%EV -5.84%E -1.80%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-06 21:30 |
| Paddy Power | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.29%EV -10.75%E -5.75%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-06 21:30 |
| Betsson | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.33%EV -6.93%E -3.55%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -8.32%E -2.11%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -8.46%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-06 17:40 |
| NordicBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.33%EV -6.93%E -3.55%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -8.32%E -2.11%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -8.46%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-06 17:34 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.24%EV -7.41%E -3.82%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV -8.32%E -2.11%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-06 17:35 |
| LeoVegas | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.72%EV -8.36%E -4.35%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV -8.32%E -2.11%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -8.46%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-06 21:54 |
| Unibet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.36%EV -5.97%E -3.03%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -9.48%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-06 21:34 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.49%EV -6.45%E -3.29%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -9.48%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-06 21:35 |
| Casumo | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.49%EV -6.45%E -3.29%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -9.48%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-06 21:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.49%EV -6.45%E -3.29%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -9.48%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-06 21:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.49%EV -6.45%E -3.29%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -9.48%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-06 21:35 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.49%EV -6.45%E -3.29%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -9.48%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-06 21:35 |
| betPARX | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.49%EV -6.45%E -3.29%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -9.48%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -5.55%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-06 21:35 |
| William Hill | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -6.93%E -3.55%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -9.48%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -12.82%E -4.27%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-06 21:55 |
| 888sport | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -6.93%E -3.55%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -9.48%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -12.82%E -4.27%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-06 21:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -6.93%E -3.55%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -9.48%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -12.82%E -4.27%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-06 21:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -6.93%E -3.55%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -9.48%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -12.82%E -4.27%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-06 21:55 |
| PlayUp | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.21%EV -8.36%E -4.35%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.55%EV -10.64%E -2.76%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-06 21:55 |
| BoyleSports | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.73%EV -10.75%E -5.75%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -11.80%E -3.11%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.79%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-06 17:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -6.93%E -3.55%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -12.96%E -3.46%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.00%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-06 15:40 |
| BetRivers | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.01%EV -7.88%E -4.08%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -12.96%E -3.46%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -8.46%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-06 21:35 |
| theScore Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -6.93%E -3.55%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -14.12%E -3.82%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -4.10%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-04 10:55 |
| Grosvenor | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -8.84%E -4.63%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -14.12%E -3.82%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-06 21:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.00%EV -9.79%E -5.18%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.34%EV -15.28%E -4.19%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-07-06 21:34 |
| TABtouch | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.92%EV -10.27%E -5.46%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.17%EV -15.28%E -4.19%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.92%EV -11.36%E -3.73%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-07-06 21:35 |
| betfred_uk | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -6.93%E -3.55%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -16.44%E -4.57%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.91%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-01 14:19 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 46.89%EV -10.75%E -5.75%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.36%EV -16.44%E -4.57%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.75%EV -11.36%E -3.73%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-06 21:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 46.89%EV -10.75%E -5.75%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.36%EV -16.44%E -4.57%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.75%EV -11.36%E -3.73%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-06 21:34 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.64% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.58% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78% | 0.7% | 2026-07-06 21:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.64% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.58% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78% | 0.7% | 2026-07-06 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.64% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.58% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78% | 0.7% | 2026-07-06 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.64% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.58% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78% | 0.7% | 2026-07-06 21:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.40% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.96% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64% | 1.2% | 2026-07-06 21:55 |