Oddsskolan

Vila Nova v Avai

Matchstart: 2026-05-17 21:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Vila Nova 2–0 Avai

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

48 spelbolag (18 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Vila Nova (Hemma)

Prognos 43.42%2.30rättvist odds
EV -4.48%
Fördel -2.03%
Kelly -3.73%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.20

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
42.23%43.62%43.40%46.20%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.952.092.082.2051.28%47.95%48.08%45.45%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Avai (Borta)

Prognos 27.44%3.64rättvist odds
EV +1.51%
Fördel +0.409%
Kelly +0.560%
Tillväxt +0.008%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.70

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
25.22%27.31%27.44%28.40%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
3.103.443.403.7032.26%29.09%29.41%27.03%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Oavgjort

Prognos 29.14%3.43rättvist odds
EV -3.82%
Fördel -1.16%
Kelly -1.66%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.30

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
27.30%29.06%29.17%30.27%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
2.803.133.153.3035.71%31.92%31.75%30.30%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (48 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Unibet (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.44%EV -10.55%E -5.12%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV +1.51%E +0.409%K +0.560%G +0.008%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 20:25
Unibet (NL)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.44%EV -10.55%E -5.12%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV +1.51%E +0.409%K +0.560%G +0.008%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 20:25
Unibet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.44%EV -10.55%E -5.12%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV +1.51%E +0.409%K +0.560%G +0.008%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 20:25
Casumo2.06I 48.54%NM 45.44%EV -10.55%E -5.12%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV +1.51%E +0.409%K +0.560%G +0.008%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 20:25
ATG (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.44%EV -10.55%E -5.12%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV +1.51%E +0.409%K +0.560%G +0.008%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 20:25
Svenska Spel2.06I 48.54%NM 45.44%EV -10.55%E -5.12%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV +1.51%E +0.409%K +0.560%G +0.008%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 20:25
betPARX2.06I 48.54%NM 45.44%EV -10.55%E -5.12%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV +1.51%E +0.409%K +0.560%G +0.008%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 20:25
BetRivers2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -10.99%E -5.36%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV +1.51%E +0.409%K +0.560%G +0.008%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 20:25
Pinnacle2.16I 46.30%NM 44.54%EV -6.21%E -2.88%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.22%EV +0.689%E +0.188%K +0.258%G +0.002%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.24%EV -4.12%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-17 20:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.56%EV -12.29%E -6.08%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV +0.140%E +0.038%K +0.053%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-17 20:25
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 45.56%EV -12.29%E -6.08%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV +0.140%E +0.038%K +0.053%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-17 20:25
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -13.16%E -6.58%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -1.23%E -0.342%K -0.474%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-17 20:50
Virgin Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 45.53%EV -14.03%E -7.09%K -14.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -2.60%E -0.733%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-17 20:25
LiveScore Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 45.53%EV -14.03%E -7.09%K -14.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -2.60%E -0.733%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-17 20:25
LeoVegas1.97I 50.76%NM 45.65%EV -14.46%E -7.34%K -14.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.33%EV -2.60%E -0.733%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-17 20:25
1xBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.12%EV -7.95%E -3.75%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 26.65%EV -3.70%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 20:50
Marathon Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.16%EV -8.82%E -4.20%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.50%EV -3.97%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.35%EV -7.90%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 20:30
Bovada2.08I 48.08%NM 44.35%EV -9.69%E -4.66%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -3.97%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 20:34
BetUS2.08I 48.08%NM 44.35%EV -9.69%E -4.66%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -3.97%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 20:35
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.48%E -2.03%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -5.35%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.57%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 20:35
BetOnline.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -4.48%E -2.03%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -5.35%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 20:35
LowVig.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -4.48%E -2.03%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -5.35%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 20:35
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -6.65%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.72%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -5.28%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 20:30
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -8.82%E -4.20%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -6.72%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 20:45
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -8.82%E -4.20%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -6.72%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 20:45
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -15.33%E -7.86%K -16.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -6.72%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -3.82%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-17 20:50
NordicBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.02%EV -6.65%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -8.09%E -2.41%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-17 20:40
Betsson2.15I 46.51%NM 43.02%EV -6.65%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -8.09%E -2.41%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-17 20:39
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.02%EV -6.65%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -8.09%E -2.41%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-17 20:40
Codere (IT)2.13I 46.95%NM 43.25%EV -7.52%E -3.53%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -8.09%E -2.41%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 20:40
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.65%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -3.82%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 20:40
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.82%E -4.20%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-17 18:30
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -6.65%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-17 20:35
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -6.65%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-17 20:35
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -6.65%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-17 20:35
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -6.65%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-17 20:35
PlayUp2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.82%E -4.20%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-17 20:35
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 43.89%EV -10.99%E -5.36%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.84%EV -9.07%E -2.91%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 20:35
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -10.99%E -5.36%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-17 20:45
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -10.99%E -5.36%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-17 20:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -10.99%E -5.36%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-17 20:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -10.99%E -5.36%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-17 20:55
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -10.99%E -5.36%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-17 20:55
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.82%E -4.20%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -10.83%E -3.33%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -5.28%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-17 20:40
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -6.65%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -12.21%E -3.81%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-17 17:55
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -8.82%E -4.20%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -12.21%E -3.81%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 18:30
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -10.99%E -5.36%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -12.21%E -3.81%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-17 17:26
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.38%EV -13.16%E -6.58%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.34%EV -14.95%E -4.82%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.27%EV -18.40%E -6.57%K -10.22%G +0.000%18.0%2026-05-17 17:25
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.32%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20%0.7%2026-05-17 20:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.19%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%1.0%2026-05-17 20:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.17%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10%1.1%2026-05-17 20:55
Matchbook2.24I 44.64%NM 44.13%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51%1.2%2026-05-17 20:55
Smarkets2.24I 44.64%NM 43.62%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.77%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.61%2.3%2026-05-17 20:55