La scuola delle quoteItaliano
Vila Nova v Avai
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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Vila Nova (Casa)
Previsione 43.42%2.30quota equa
EV -4.48%
Vantaggio -2.03%
Kelly -3.73%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.20
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.23%43.62%43.40%46.20%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.952.092.082.2051.28%47.95%48.08%45.45%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Avai (Trasferta)
Previsione 27.44%3.64quota equa
EV +1.51%
Vantaggio +0.409%
Kelly +0.560%
Crescita +0.008%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.70
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.22%27.31%27.44%28.40%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.443.403.7032.26%29.09%29.41%27.03%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 29.14%3.43quota equa
EV -3.82%
Vantaggio -1.16%
Kelly -1.66%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.30
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.30%29.06%29.17%30.27%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.133.153.3035.71%31.92%31.75%30.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (48 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.44%EV -10.55%E -5.12%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV +1.51%E +0.409%K +0.560%G +0.008% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-17 20:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.44%EV -10.55%E -5.12%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV +1.51%E +0.409%K +0.560%G +0.008% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-17 20:25 |
| Unibet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.44%EV -10.55%E -5.12%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV +1.51%E +0.409%K +0.560%G +0.008% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-17 20:25 |
| Casumo | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.44%EV -10.55%E -5.12%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV +1.51%E +0.409%K +0.560%G +0.008% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-17 20:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.44%EV -10.55%E -5.12%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV +1.51%E +0.409%K +0.560%G +0.008% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-17 20:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.44%EV -10.55%E -5.12%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV +1.51%E +0.409%K +0.560%G +0.008% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-17 20:25 |
| betPARX | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.44%EV -10.55%E -5.12%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV +1.51%E +0.409%K +0.560%G +0.008% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-17 20:25 |
| BetRivers | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -10.99%E -5.36%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV +1.51%E +0.409%K +0.560%G +0.008% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-17 20:25 |
| Pinnacle | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.54%EV -6.21%E -2.88%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.22%EV +0.689%E +0.188%K +0.258%G +0.002% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.24%EV -4.12%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-17 20:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.56%EV -12.29%E -6.08%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV +0.140%E +0.038%K +0.053%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-17 20:25 |
| Grosvenor | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.56%EV -12.29%E -6.08%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV +0.140%E +0.038%K +0.053%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-17 20:25 |
| TABtouch | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -13.16%E -6.58%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -1.23%E -0.342%K -0.474%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-17 20:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.53%EV -14.03%E -7.09%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -2.60%E -0.733%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-17 20:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.53%EV -14.03%E -7.09%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -2.60%E -0.733%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-17 20:25 |
| LeoVegas | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.65%EV -14.46%E -7.34%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.33%EV -2.60%E -0.733%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-17 20:25 |
| 1xBet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.12%EV -7.95%E -3.75%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 26.65%EV -3.70%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-17 20:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.16%EV -8.82%E -4.20%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.50%EV -3.97%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.35%EV -7.90%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-17 20:30 |
| Bovada | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.35%EV -9.69%E -4.66%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -3.97%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-17 20:34 |
| BetUS | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.35%EV -9.69%E -4.66%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -3.97%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-17 20:35 |
| DraftKings | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.48%E -2.03%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -5.35%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.57%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-17 20:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -4.48%E -2.03%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -5.35%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-17 20:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -4.48%E -2.03%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -5.35%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-17 20:35 |
| Betway | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -6.65%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.72%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -5.28%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-17 20:30 |
| SportsBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -8.82%E -4.20%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -6.72%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-17 20:45 |
| FanDuel | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -8.82%E -4.20%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -6.72%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-17 20:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -15.33%E -7.86%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -6.72%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -3.82%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-17 20:50 |
| NordicBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.02%EV -6.65%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -8.09%E -2.41%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-17 20:40 |
| Betsson | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.02%EV -6.65%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -8.09%E -2.41%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-17 20:39 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.02%EV -6.65%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -8.09%E -2.41%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-17 20:40 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.25%EV -7.52%E -3.53%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -8.09%E -2.41%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-17 20:40 |
| Coolbet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.65%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -3.82%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-17 20:40 |
| theScore Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.82%E -4.20%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-17 18:30 |
| 888sport | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -6.65%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-17 20:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -6.65%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-17 20:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -6.65%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-17 20:35 |
| William Hill | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -6.65%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-17 20:35 |
| PlayUp | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.82%E -4.20%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-17 20:35 |
| Bet Victor | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.89%EV -10.99%E -5.36%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.84%EV -9.07%E -2.91%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-17 20:35 |
| Paddy Power | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -10.99%E -5.36%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-17 20:45 |
| Coral | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -10.99%E -5.36%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-17 20:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -10.99%E -5.36%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-17 20:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -10.99%E -5.36%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-17 20:55 |
| Neds | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -10.99%E -5.36%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-17 20:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.82%E -4.20%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -10.83%E -3.33%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -5.28%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-17 20:40 |
| BetMGM | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -6.65%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -12.21%E -3.81%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-17 17:55 |
| betfred_uk | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -8.82%E -4.20%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -12.21%E -3.81%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-17 18:30 |
| BoyleSports | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -10.99%E -5.36%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -12.21%E -3.81%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-17 17:26 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.38%EV -13.16%E -6.58%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.34%EV -14.95%E -4.82%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.27%EV -18.40%E -6.57%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 18.0% | 2026-05-17 17:25 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.32% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20% | 0.7% | 2026-05-17 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.19% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69% | 1.0% | 2026-05-17 20:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.17% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10% | 1.1% | 2026-05-17 20:55 |
| Matchbook | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.13% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51% | 1.2% | 2026-05-17 20:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.62% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.77% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.61% | 2.3% | 2026-05-17 20:55 |