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Vila Nova v Avai
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Vila Nova (Хозяева)
Прогноз 43.42%2.30справедливый коэффициент
EV -4.48%
Преимущество -2.03%
Kelly -3.73%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.20
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
42.23%43.62%43.40%46.20%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.952.092.082.2051.28%47.95%48.08%45.45%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Avai (Гости)
Прогноз 27.44%3.64справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.51%
Преимущество +0.409%
Kelly +0.560%
Рост +0.008%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.70
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
25.22%27.31%27.44%28.40%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.103.443.403.7032.26%29.09%29.41%27.03%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 29.14%3.43справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.82%
Преимущество -1.16%
Kelly -1.66%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.30
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
27.30%29.06%29.17%30.27%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.803.133.153.3035.71%31.92%31.75%30.30%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Vila Nova (Хозяева): 43.42%; Avai (Гости): 27.44%; Ничья: 29.14%. Для исхода «Avai (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.64. 11 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 3.70, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +1.51%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (48 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.44%EV -10.55%E -5.12%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV +1.51%E +0.409%K +0.560%G +0.008% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-17 20:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.44%EV -10.55%E -5.12%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV +1.51%E +0.409%K +0.560%G +0.008% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-17 20:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.44%EV -10.55%E -5.12%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV +1.51%E +0.409%K +0.560%G +0.008% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-17 20:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.44%EV -10.55%E -5.12%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV +1.51%E +0.409%K +0.560%G +0.008% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-17 20:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.44%EV -10.55%E -5.12%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV +1.51%E +0.409%K +0.560%G +0.008% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-17 20:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.44%EV -10.55%E -5.12%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV +1.51%E +0.409%K +0.560%G +0.008% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-17 20:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.44%EV -10.55%E -5.12%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV +1.51%E +0.409%K +0.560%G +0.008% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-17 20:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -10.99%E -5.36%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV +1.51%E +0.409%K +0.560%G +0.008% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-17 20:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.54%EV -6.21%E -2.88%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.22%EV +0.689%E +0.188%K +0.258%G +0.002% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.24%EV -4.12%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-17 20:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.56%EV -12.29%E -6.08%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV +0.140%E +0.038%K +0.053%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-17 20:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.56%EV -12.29%E -6.08%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV +0.140%E +0.038%K +0.053%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-17 20:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -13.16%E -6.58%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -1.23%E -0.342%K -0.474%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-17 20:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.53%EV -14.03%E -7.09%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -2.60%E -0.733%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-17 20:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.53%EV -14.03%E -7.09%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -2.60%E -0.733%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-17 20:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.65%EV -14.46%E -7.34%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.33%EV -2.60%E -0.733%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-17 20:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.12%EV -7.95%E -3.75%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 26.65%EV -3.70%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-17 20:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.16%EV -8.82%E -4.20%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.50%EV -3.97%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.35%EV -7.90%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-17 20:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.35%EV -9.69%E -4.66%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -3.97%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-17 20:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.35%EV -9.69%E -4.66%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -3.97%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-17 20:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.48%E -2.03%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -5.35%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.57%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-17 20:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -4.48%E -2.03%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -5.35%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-17 20:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -4.48%E -2.03%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -5.35%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-17 20:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -6.65%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.72%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -5.28%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-17 20:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -8.82%E -4.20%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -6.72%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-17 20:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -8.82%E -4.20%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -6.72%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-17 20:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -15.33%E -7.86%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -6.72%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -3.82%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-17 20:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.02%EV -6.65%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -8.09%E -2.41%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-17 20:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.02%EV -6.65%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -8.09%E -2.41%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-17 20:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.02%EV -6.65%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -8.09%E -2.41%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-17 20:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.25%EV -7.52%E -3.53%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -8.09%E -2.41%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-17 20:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.65%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -3.82%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-17 20:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.82%E -4.20%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-17 18:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -6.65%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-17 20:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -6.65%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-17 20:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -6.65%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-17 20:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -6.65%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-17 20:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.82%E -4.20%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-17 20:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.89%EV -10.99%E -5.36%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.84%EV -9.07%E -2.91%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-17 20:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -10.99%E -5.36%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-17 20:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -10.99%E -5.36%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-17 20:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -10.99%E -5.36%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-17 20:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -10.99%E -5.36%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-17 20:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -10.99%E -5.36%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-17 20:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.82%E -4.20%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -10.83%E -3.33%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -5.28%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-17 20:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -6.65%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -12.21%E -3.81%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-17 17:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -8.82%E -4.20%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -12.21%E -3.81%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-17 18:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -10.99%E -5.36%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -12.21%E -3.81%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-17 17:26 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.38%EV -13.16%E -6.58%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.34%EV -14.95%E -4.82%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.27%EV -18.40%E -6.57%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 18.0% | 2026-05-17 17:25 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (5)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.32% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20% | 0.7% | 2026-05-17 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.19% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69% | 1.0% | 2026-05-17 20:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.17% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10% | 1.1% | 2026-05-17 20:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.13% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51% | 1.2% | 2026-05-17 20:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.62% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.77% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.61% | 2.3% | 2026-05-17 20:55 |