Szkoła Kursów

Vila Nova v Avai

Początek: 2026-05-17 21:00 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Vila Nova 2–0 Avai

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

48 bukmacherów (18 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Vila Nova (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 43.42%2.30kurs godziwy
EV -4.48%
Przewaga -2.03%
Kelly -3.73%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.20

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
42.23%43.62%43.40%46.20%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.952.092.082.2051.28%47.95%48.08%45.45%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Avai (Goście)

Prognoza 27.44%3.64kurs godziwy
EV +1.51%
Przewaga +0.409%
Kelly +0.560%
Wzrost +0.008%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.70

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
25.22%27.31%27.44%28.40%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.103.443.403.7032.26%29.09%29.41%27.03%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 29.14%3.43kurs godziwy
EV -3.82%
Przewaga -1.16%
Kelly -1.66%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.30

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
27.30%29.06%29.17%30.27%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.803.133.153.3035.71%31.92%31.75%30.30%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (48 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
Unibet (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.44%EV -10.55%E -5.12%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV +1.51%E +0.409%K +0.560%G +0.008%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 20:25
Unibet (NL)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.44%EV -10.55%E -5.12%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV +1.51%E +0.409%K +0.560%G +0.008%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 20:25
Unibet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.44%EV -10.55%E -5.12%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV +1.51%E +0.409%K +0.560%G +0.008%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 20:25
Casumo2.06I 48.54%NM 45.44%EV -10.55%E -5.12%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV +1.51%E +0.409%K +0.560%G +0.008%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 20:25
ATG (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.44%EV -10.55%E -5.12%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV +1.51%E +0.409%K +0.560%G +0.008%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 20:25
Svenska Spel2.06I 48.54%NM 45.44%EV -10.55%E -5.12%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV +1.51%E +0.409%K +0.560%G +0.008%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 20:25
betPARX2.06I 48.54%NM 45.44%EV -10.55%E -5.12%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV +1.51%E +0.409%K +0.560%G +0.008%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 20:25
BetRivers2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -10.99%E -5.36%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV +1.51%E +0.409%K +0.560%G +0.008%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 20:25
Pinnacle2.16I 46.30%NM 44.54%EV -6.21%E -2.88%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.22%EV +0.689%E +0.188%K +0.258%G +0.002%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.24%EV -4.12%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-17 20:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.56%EV -12.29%E -6.08%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV +0.140%E +0.038%K +0.053%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-17 20:25
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 45.56%EV -12.29%E -6.08%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV +0.140%E +0.038%K +0.053%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-17 20:25
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -13.16%E -6.58%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -1.23%E -0.342%K -0.474%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-17 20:50
Virgin Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 45.53%EV -14.03%E -7.09%K -14.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -2.60%E -0.733%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-17 20:25
LiveScore Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 45.53%EV -14.03%E -7.09%K -14.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -2.60%E -0.733%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-17 20:25
LeoVegas1.97I 50.76%NM 45.65%EV -14.46%E -7.34%K -14.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.33%EV -2.60%E -0.733%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-17 20:25
1xBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.12%EV -7.95%E -3.75%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 26.65%EV -3.70%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 20:50
Marathon Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.16%EV -8.82%E -4.20%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.50%EV -3.97%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.35%EV -7.90%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 20:30
Bovada2.08I 48.08%NM 44.35%EV -9.69%E -4.66%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -3.97%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 20:34
BetUS2.08I 48.08%NM 44.35%EV -9.69%E -4.66%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -3.97%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 20:35
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.48%E -2.03%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -5.35%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.57%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 20:35
BetOnline.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -4.48%E -2.03%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -5.35%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 20:35
LowVig.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -4.48%E -2.03%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -5.35%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 20:35
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -6.65%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.72%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -5.28%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 20:30
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -8.82%E -4.20%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -6.72%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 20:45
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -8.82%E -4.20%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -6.72%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 20:45
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -15.33%E -7.86%K -16.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -6.72%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -3.82%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-17 20:50
NordicBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.02%EV -6.65%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -8.09%E -2.41%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-17 20:40
Betsson2.15I 46.51%NM 43.02%EV -6.65%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -8.09%E -2.41%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-17 20:39
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.02%EV -6.65%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -8.09%E -2.41%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-17 20:40
Codere (IT)2.13I 46.95%NM 43.25%EV -7.52%E -3.53%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -8.09%E -2.41%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 20:40
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.65%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -3.82%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 20:40
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.82%E -4.20%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-17 18:30
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -6.65%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-17 20:35
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -6.65%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-17 20:35
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -6.65%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-17 20:35
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -6.65%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-17 20:35
PlayUp2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.82%E -4.20%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-17 20:35
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 43.89%EV -10.99%E -5.36%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.84%EV -9.07%E -2.91%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 20:35
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -10.99%E -5.36%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-17 20:45
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -10.99%E -5.36%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-17 20:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -10.99%E -5.36%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-17 20:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -10.99%E -5.36%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-17 20:55
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -10.99%E -5.36%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-17 20:55
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.82%E -4.20%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -10.83%E -3.33%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -5.28%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-17 20:40
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -6.65%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -12.21%E -3.81%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-17 17:55
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -8.82%E -4.20%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -12.21%E -3.81%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 18:30
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -10.99%E -5.36%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -12.21%E -3.81%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-17 17:26
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.38%EV -13.16%E -6.58%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.34%EV -14.95%E -4.82%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.27%EV -18.40%E -6.57%K -10.22%G +0.000%18.0%2026-05-17 17:25
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (5)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.32%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20%0.7%2026-05-17 20:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.19%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%1.0%2026-05-17 20:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.17%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10%1.1%2026-05-17 20:55
Matchbook2.24I 44.64%NM 44.13%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51%1.2%2026-05-17 20:55
Smarkets2.24I 44.64%NM 43.62%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.77%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.61%2.3%2026-05-17 20:55