L’École des cotesFrançais
Vila Nova v Avai
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Vila Nova (Local)
Prévision 43.42%2.30cote équitable
EV -4.48%
Avantage -2.03%
Kelly -3.73%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.23%43.62%43.40%46.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.952.092.082.2051.28%47.95%48.08%45.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Avai (Visiteur)
Prévision 27.44%3.64cote équitable
EV +1.51%
Avantage +0.409%
Kelly +0.560%
Croissance +0.008%
avec la cote maximale 3.70
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.22%27.31%27.44%28.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.443.403.7032.26%29.09%29.41%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 29.14%3.43cote équitable
EV -3.82%
Avantage -1.16%
Kelly -1.66%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.30
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.30%29.06%29.17%30.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.133.153.3035.71%31.92%31.75%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.44%EV -10.55%E -5.12%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV +1.51%E +0.409%K +0.560%G +0.008% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-17 20:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.44%EV -10.55%E -5.12%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV +1.51%E +0.409%K +0.560%G +0.008% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-17 20:25 |
| Unibet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.44%EV -10.55%E -5.12%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV +1.51%E +0.409%K +0.560%G +0.008% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-17 20:25 |
| Casumo | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.44%EV -10.55%E -5.12%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV +1.51%E +0.409%K +0.560%G +0.008% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-17 20:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.44%EV -10.55%E -5.12%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV +1.51%E +0.409%K +0.560%G +0.008% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-17 20:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.44%EV -10.55%E -5.12%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV +1.51%E +0.409%K +0.560%G +0.008% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-17 20:25 |
| betPARX | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.44%EV -10.55%E -5.12%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV +1.51%E +0.409%K +0.560%G +0.008% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-17 20:25 |
| BetRivers | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -10.99%E -5.36%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV +1.51%E +0.409%K +0.560%G +0.008% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-17 20:25 |
| Pinnacle | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.54%EV -6.21%E -2.88%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.22%EV +0.689%E +0.188%K +0.258%G +0.002% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.24%EV -4.12%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-17 20:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.56%EV -12.29%E -6.08%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV +0.140%E +0.038%K +0.053%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-17 20:25 |
| Grosvenor | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.56%EV -12.29%E -6.08%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV +0.140%E +0.038%K +0.053%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-17 20:25 |
| TABtouch | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -13.16%E -6.58%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -1.23%E -0.342%K -0.474%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-17 20:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.53%EV -14.03%E -7.09%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -2.60%E -0.733%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-17 20:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.53%EV -14.03%E -7.09%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -2.60%E -0.733%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-17 20:25 |
| LeoVegas | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.65%EV -14.46%E -7.34%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.33%EV -2.60%E -0.733%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-17 20:25 |
| 1xBet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.12%EV -7.95%E -3.75%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 26.65%EV -3.70%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-17 20:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.16%EV -8.82%E -4.20%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.50%EV -3.97%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.35%EV -7.90%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-17 20:30 |
| Bovada | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.35%EV -9.69%E -4.66%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -3.97%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-17 20:34 |
| BetUS | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.35%EV -9.69%E -4.66%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -3.97%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-17 20:35 |
| DraftKings | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.48%E -2.03%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -5.35%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.57%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-17 20:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -4.48%E -2.03%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -5.35%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-17 20:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -4.48%E -2.03%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -5.35%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-17 20:35 |
| Betway | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -6.65%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.72%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -5.28%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-17 20:30 |
| SportsBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -8.82%E -4.20%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -6.72%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-17 20:45 |
| FanDuel | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -8.82%E -4.20%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -6.72%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-17 20:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -15.33%E -7.86%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -6.72%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -3.82%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-17 20:50 |
| NordicBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.02%EV -6.65%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -8.09%E -2.41%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-17 20:40 |
| Betsson | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.02%EV -6.65%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -8.09%E -2.41%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-17 20:39 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.02%EV -6.65%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -8.09%E -2.41%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-17 20:40 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.25%EV -7.52%E -3.53%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -8.09%E -2.41%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-17 20:40 |
| Coolbet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.65%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -3.82%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-17 20:40 |
| theScore Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.82%E -4.20%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-17 18:30 |
| 888sport | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -6.65%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-17 20:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -6.65%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-17 20:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -6.65%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-17 20:35 |
| William Hill | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -6.65%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-17 20:35 |
| PlayUp | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.82%E -4.20%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-17 20:35 |
| Bet Victor | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.89%EV -10.99%E -5.36%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.84%EV -9.07%E -2.91%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-17 20:35 |
| Paddy Power | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -10.99%E -5.36%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-17 20:45 |
| Coral | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -10.99%E -5.36%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-17 20:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -10.99%E -5.36%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-17 20:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -10.99%E -5.36%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-17 20:55 |
| Neds | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -10.99%E -5.36%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-17 20:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.82%E -4.20%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -10.83%E -3.33%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -5.28%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-17 20:40 |
| BetMGM | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -6.65%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -12.21%E -3.81%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-17 17:55 |
| betfred_uk | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -8.82%E -4.20%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -12.21%E -3.81%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-17 18:30 |
| BoyleSports | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -10.99%E -5.36%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -12.21%E -3.81%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-17 17:26 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.38%EV -13.16%E -6.58%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.34%EV -14.95%E -4.82%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.27%EV -18.40%E -6.57%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 18.0% | 2026-05-17 17:25 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.32% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20% | 0.7% | 2026-05-17 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.19% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69% | 1.0% | 2026-05-17 20:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.17% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10% | 1.1% | 2026-05-17 20:55 |
| Matchbook | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.13% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51% | 1.2% | 2026-05-17 20:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.62% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.77% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.61% | 2.3% | 2026-05-17 20:55 |