La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Vila Nova v Avai
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Vila Nova (Local)
Predicción 43.42%2.30momio equitativo
EV -4.48%
Ventaja -2.03%
Kelly -3.73%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.23%43.62%43.40%46.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.952.092.082.2051.28%47.95%48.08%45.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Avai (Visitante)
Predicción 27.44%3.64momio equitativo
EV +1.51%
Ventaja +0.409%
Kelly +0.560%
Crecimiento +0.008%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.22%27.31%27.44%28.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.443.403.7032.26%29.09%29.41%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 29.14%3.43momio equitativo
EV -3.82%
Ventaja -1.16%
Kelly -1.66%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.30%29.06%29.17%30.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.133.153.3035.71%31.92%31.75%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.44%EV -10.55%E -5.12%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV +1.51%E +0.409%K +0.560%G +0.008% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-17 20:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.44%EV -10.55%E -5.12%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV +1.51%E +0.409%K +0.560%G +0.008% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-17 20:25 |
| Unibet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.44%EV -10.55%E -5.12%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV +1.51%E +0.409%K +0.560%G +0.008% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-17 20:25 |
| Casumo | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.44%EV -10.55%E -5.12%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV +1.51%E +0.409%K +0.560%G +0.008% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-17 20:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.44%EV -10.55%E -5.12%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV +1.51%E +0.409%K +0.560%G +0.008% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-17 20:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.44%EV -10.55%E -5.12%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV +1.51%E +0.409%K +0.560%G +0.008% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-17 20:25 |
| betPARX | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.44%EV -10.55%E -5.12%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV +1.51%E +0.409%K +0.560%G +0.008% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-17 20:25 |
| BetRivers | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -10.99%E -5.36%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV +1.51%E +0.409%K +0.560%G +0.008% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-17 20:25 |
| Pinnacle | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.54%EV -6.21%E -2.88%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.22%EV +0.689%E +0.188%K +0.258%G +0.002% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.24%EV -4.12%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-17 20:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.56%EV -12.29%E -6.08%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV +0.140%E +0.038%K +0.053%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-17 20:25 |
| Grosvenor | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.56%EV -12.29%E -6.08%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV +0.140%E +0.038%K +0.053%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-17 20:25 |
| TABtouch | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -13.16%E -6.58%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -1.23%E -0.342%K -0.474%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-17 20:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.53%EV -14.03%E -7.09%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -2.60%E -0.733%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-17 20:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.53%EV -14.03%E -7.09%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -2.60%E -0.733%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-17 20:25 |
| LeoVegas | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.65%EV -14.46%E -7.34%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.33%EV -2.60%E -0.733%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-17 20:25 |
| 1xBet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.12%EV -7.95%E -3.75%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 26.65%EV -3.70%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-17 20:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.16%EV -8.82%E -4.20%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.50%EV -3.97%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.35%EV -7.90%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-17 20:30 |
| Bovada | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.35%EV -9.69%E -4.66%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -3.97%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-17 20:34 |
| BetUS | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.35%EV -9.69%E -4.66%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -3.97%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-17 20:35 |
| DraftKings | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.48%E -2.03%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -5.35%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.57%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-17 20:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -4.48%E -2.03%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -5.35%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-17 20:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -4.48%E -2.03%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -5.35%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-17 20:35 |
| Betway | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -6.65%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.72%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -5.28%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-17 20:30 |
| SportsBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -8.82%E -4.20%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -6.72%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-17 20:45 |
| FanDuel | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -8.82%E -4.20%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -6.72%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-17 20:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -15.33%E -7.86%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -6.72%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -3.82%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-17 20:50 |
| NordicBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.02%EV -6.65%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -8.09%E -2.41%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-17 20:40 |
| Betsson | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.02%EV -6.65%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -8.09%E -2.41%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-17 20:39 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.02%EV -6.65%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -8.09%E -2.41%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-17 20:40 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.25%EV -7.52%E -3.53%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -8.09%E -2.41%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-17 20:40 |
| Coolbet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.65%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -3.82%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-17 20:40 |
| theScore Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.82%E -4.20%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-17 18:30 |
| 888sport | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -6.65%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-17 20:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -6.65%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-17 20:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -6.65%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-17 20:35 |
| William Hill | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -6.65%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-17 20:35 |
| PlayUp | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.82%E -4.20%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-17 20:35 |
| Bet Victor | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.89%EV -10.99%E -5.36%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.84%EV -9.07%E -2.91%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-17 20:35 |
| Paddy Power | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -10.99%E -5.36%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-17 20:45 |
| Coral | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -10.99%E -5.36%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-17 20:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -10.99%E -5.36%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-17 20:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -10.99%E -5.36%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-17 20:55 |
| Neds | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -10.99%E -5.36%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-17 20:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.82%E -4.20%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -10.83%E -3.33%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -5.28%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-17 20:40 |
| BetMGM | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -6.65%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -12.21%E -3.81%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-17 17:55 |
| betfred_uk | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -8.82%E -4.20%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -12.21%E -3.81%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-17 18:30 |
| BoyleSports | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -10.99%E -5.36%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -12.21%E -3.81%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-17 17:26 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.38%EV -13.16%E -6.58%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.34%EV -14.95%E -4.82%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.27%EV -18.40%E -6.57%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 18.0% | 2026-05-17 17:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.32% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20% | 0.7% | 2026-05-17 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.19% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69% | 1.0% | 2026-05-17 20:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.17% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10% | 1.1% | 2026-05-17 20:55 |
| Matchbook | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.13% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51% | 1.2% | 2026-05-17 20:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.62% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.77% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.61% | 2.3% | 2026-05-17 20:55 |