赔率学院

Vila Nova v Athletic Club (MG)

开赛时间: 2026-05-04 22:00 UTC

最终结果: Vila Nova 1–1 Athletic Club (MG)

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

45 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:IQM

Vila Nova (主队)

预测 47.83%2.09公平赔率
EV -4.35%
优势 -2.17%
Kelly -4.35%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.00

博彩公司预测分布
46.37%48.11%47.62%50.91%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.771.891.912.0056.50%52.79%52.36%50.00%MIN均值中位数MAX

Athletic Club (MG) (客队)

预测 22.48%4.45公平赔率
EV +5.64%
优势 +1.20%
Kelly +1.52%
增长率 +0.086%

假设最高赔率为 4.70

博彩公司预测分布
19.95%22.25%22.71%23.90%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
3.754.234.204.7026.67%23.64%23.81%21.28%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 29.70%3.37公平赔率
EV -4.97%
优势 -1.55%
Kelly -2.26%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.20

博彩公司预测分布
28.60%29.64%29.67%30.27%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.883.093.103.2034.72%32.37%32.26%31.25%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (45 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Casumo1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21%EV -10.56%E -5.65%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV +5.64%E +1.20%K +1.52%G +0.086%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-04 21:55
Unibet (NL)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21%EV -10.56%E -5.65%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV +5.64%E +1.20%K +1.52%G +0.086%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-04 21:54
Unibet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21%EV -10.56%E -5.65%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV +5.64%E +1.20%K +1.52%G +0.086%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-04 21:54
Unibet (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21%EV -10.56%E -5.65%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV +5.64%E +1.20%K +1.52%G +0.086%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-04 21:54
Svenska Spel1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21%EV -10.56%E -5.65%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV +5.64%E +1.20%K +1.52%G +0.086%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-04 21:55
betPARX1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21%EV -10.56%E -5.65%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV +5.64%E +1.20%K +1.52%G +0.086%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-04 21:55
ATG (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21%EV -10.56%E -5.65%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV +5.64%E +1.20%K +1.52%G +0.086%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-04 21:55
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -11.52%E -6.23%K -13.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV +3.39%E +0.737%K +0.941%G +0.032%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -4.97%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-04 21:45
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 50.30%EV -12.48%E -6.82%K -15.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV +3.39%E +0.737%K +0.941%G +0.032%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-04 21:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.44%EV -12.96%E -7.12%K -15.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV +3.39%E +0.737%K +0.941%G +0.032%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-04 21:54
BetOnline.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 48.88%EV -8.17%E -4.26%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV +1.14%E +0.254%K +0.326%G +0.004%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-04 21:54
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 49.01%EV -8.65%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV +1.14%E +0.254%K +0.326%G +0.004%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.19%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-04 21:48
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.14%EV -9.13%E -4.80%K -10.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV +1.14%E +0.254%K +0.326%G +0.004%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-04 21:50
TABtouch1.81I 55.25%NM 50.11%EV -13.43%E -7.42%K -16.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV +1.14%E +0.254%K +0.326%G +0.004%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -9.42%E -3.09%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-04 21:55
LeoVegas1.79I 55.87%NM 50.39%EV -14.39%E -8.04%K -18.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV +1.14%E +0.254%K +0.326%G +0.004%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.57%EV -9.42%E -3.09%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-04 21:54
LiveScore Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 50.39%EV -14.39%E -8.04%K -18.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV +1.14%E +0.254%K +0.326%G +0.004%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.57%EV -9.42%E -3.09%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-04 21:55
Virgin Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 50.39%EV -14.39%E -8.04%K -18.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV +1.14%E +0.254%K +0.326%G +0.004%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.57%EV -9.42%E -3.09%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-04 21:54
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 50.91%EV -15.35%E -8.67%K -19.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV +1.14%E +0.254%K +0.326%G +0.004%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-04 21:10
Pinnacle2.00I 50.00%NM 48.11%EV -4.35%E -2.17%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.62%EV +0.017%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.26%EV -5.56%E -1.75%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-04 21:45
Paddy Power1.85I 54.05%NM 48.93%EV -11.52%E -6.23%K -13.55%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.90%EV -2.68%E -0.619%K -0.805%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.17%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-04 21:49
LowVig.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 48.64%EV -8.17%E -4.26%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -3.35%E -0.780%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-04 21:52
1xBet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.92%EV -8.65%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 21.88%EV -4.03%E -0.943%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -4.97%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-04 21:49
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.35%E -2.17%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -5.60%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-04 21:24
Bovada1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -7.69%E -3.99%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.17%EV -6.73%E -1.62%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -9.42%E -3.09%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 21:52
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 49.01%EV -10.56%E -5.65%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -7.85%E -1.91%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -4.97%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-04 21:55
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.38%EV -6.74%E -3.46%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.81%EV -8.97%E -2.22%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-04 21:14
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 47.38%EV -6.74%E -3.46%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.81%EV -8.97%E -2.22%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-04 21:15
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -6.74%E -3.46%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -10.10%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -4.97%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-04 21:24
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -6.74%E -3.46%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -10.10%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-04 21:14
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -8.65%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -10.10%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -4.97%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-04 21:19
Codere (IT)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.15%EV -7.22%E -3.72%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87%EV -10.10%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99%EV -9.42%E -3.09%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-04 21:14
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 47.83%EV -10.56%E -5.65%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -10.10%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.81%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-04 21:55
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -6.74%E -3.46%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -12.34%E -3.17%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-04 21:55
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -8.65%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -12.34%E -3.17%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -4.97%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-04 20:10
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -6.74%E -3.46%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -12.34%E -3.17%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-04 21:50
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -6.74%E -3.46%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -12.34%E -3.17%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-04 21:49
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -6.74%E -3.46%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -12.34%E -3.17%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-04 21:49
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -6.74%E -3.46%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -12.34%E -3.17%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-04 21:50
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 46.37%EV -6.74%E -3.46%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.49%EV -13.47%E -3.50%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.14%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-04 21:10
betfred_uk1.90I 52.63%NM 47.18%EV -9.13%E -4.80%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -15.72%E -4.19%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-04 21:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -8.65%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -15.72%E -4.19%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-04 21:54
Neds1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -8.65%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -15.72%E -4.19%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-04 21:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -8.65%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -15.72%E -4.19%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-04 21:54
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -8.65%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -15.72%E -4.19%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-04 21:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 47.09%EV -12.48%E -6.82%K -15.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.98%EV -15.72%E -4.19%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.92%EV -14.47%E -5.02%K -7.70%G +0.000%16.0%2026-05-04 21:49
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.19%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.11%0.6%2026-05-04 21:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.19%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.11%0.6%2026-05-04 21:55
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 49.19%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.11%0.6%2026-05-04 21:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.17%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.27%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-05-04 21:55
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.41%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.61%2.1%2026-05-04 21:55