Die Schule der Quoten

Vila Nova v Athletic Club (MG)

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-04 22:00 UTC

Endstand: Vila Nova 1–1 Athletic Club (MG)

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

45 Wettanbieter (15 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Vila Nova (Heim)

Prognose 47.83%2.09faire Quote
EV -4.35%
Vorteil -2.17%
Kelly -4.35%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
46.37%48.11%47.62%50.91%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.771.891.912.0056.50%52.79%52.36%50.00%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Athletic Club (MG) (Auswärts)

Prognose 22.48%4.45faire Quote
EV +5.64%
Vorteil +1.20%
Kelly +1.52%
Wachstum +0.086%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.70

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
19.95%22.25%22.71%23.90%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.754.234.204.7026.67%23.64%23.81%21.28%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 29.70%3.37faire Quote
EV -4.97%
Vorteil -1.55%
Kelly -2.26%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.20

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
28.60%29.64%29.67%30.27%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.883.093.103.2034.72%32.37%32.26%31.25%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (45 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Casumo1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21%EV -10.56%E -5.65%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV +5.64%E +1.20%K +1.52%G +0.086%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-04 21:55
Unibet (NL)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21%EV -10.56%E -5.65%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV +5.64%E +1.20%K +1.52%G +0.086%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-04 21:54
Unibet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21%EV -10.56%E -5.65%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV +5.64%E +1.20%K +1.52%G +0.086%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-04 21:54
Unibet (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21%EV -10.56%E -5.65%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV +5.64%E +1.20%K +1.52%G +0.086%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-04 21:54
Svenska Spel1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21%EV -10.56%E -5.65%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV +5.64%E +1.20%K +1.52%G +0.086%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-04 21:55
betPARX1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21%EV -10.56%E -5.65%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV +5.64%E +1.20%K +1.52%G +0.086%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-04 21:55
ATG (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21%EV -10.56%E -5.65%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV +5.64%E +1.20%K +1.52%G +0.086%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-04 21:55
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -11.52%E -6.23%K -13.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV +3.39%E +0.737%K +0.941%G +0.032%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -4.97%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-04 21:45
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 50.30%EV -12.48%E -6.82%K -15.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV +3.39%E +0.737%K +0.941%G +0.032%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-04 21:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.44%EV -12.96%E -7.12%K -15.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV +3.39%E +0.737%K +0.941%G +0.032%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-04 21:54
BetOnline.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 48.88%EV -8.17%E -4.26%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV +1.14%E +0.254%K +0.326%G +0.004%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-04 21:54
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 49.01%EV -8.65%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV +1.14%E +0.254%K +0.326%G +0.004%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.19%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-04 21:48
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.14%EV -9.13%E -4.80%K -10.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV +1.14%E +0.254%K +0.326%G +0.004%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-04 21:50
TABtouch1.81I 55.25%NM 50.11%EV -13.43%E -7.42%K -16.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV +1.14%E +0.254%K +0.326%G +0.004%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -9.42%E -3.09%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-04 21:55
LeoVegas1.79I 55.87%NM 50.39%EV -14.39%E -8.04%K -18.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV +1.14%E +0.254%K +0.326%G +0.004%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.57%EV -9.42%E -3.09%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-04 21:54
LiveScore Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 50.39%EV -14.39%E -8.04%K -18.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV +1.14%E +0.254%K +0.326%G +0.004%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.57%EV -9.42%E -3.09%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-04 21:55
Virgin Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 50.39%EV -14.39%E -8.04%K -18.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV +1.14%E +0.254%K +0.326%G +0.004%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.57%EV -9.42%E -3.09%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-04 21:54
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 50.91%EV -15.35%E -8.67%K -19.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV +1.14%E +0.254%K +0.326%G +0.004%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-04 21:10
Pinnacle2.00I 50.00%NM 48.11%EV -4.35%E -2.17%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.62%EV +0.017%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.26%EV -5.56%E -1.75%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-04 21:45
Paddy Power1.85I 54.05%NM 48.93%EV -11.52%E -6.23%K -13.55%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.90%EV -2.68%E -0.619%K -0.805%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.17%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-04 21:49
LowVig.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 48.64%EV -8.17%E -4.26%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -3.35%E -0.780%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-04 21:52
1xBet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.92%EV -8.65%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 21.88%EV -4.03%E -0.943%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -4.97%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-04 21:49
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.35%E -2.17%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -5.60%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-04 21:24
Bovada1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -7.69%E -3.99%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.17%EV -6.73%E -1.62%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -9.42%E -3.09%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 21:52
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 49.01%EV -10.56%E -5.65%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -7.85%E -1.91%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -4.97%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-04 21:55
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.38%EV -6.74%E -3.46%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.81%EV -8.97%E -2.22%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-04 21:14
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 47.38%EV -6.74%E -3.46%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.81%EV -8.97%E -2.22%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-04 21:15
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -6.74%E -3.46%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -10.10%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -4.97%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-04 21:24
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -6.74%E -3.46%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -10.10%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-04 21:14
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -8.65%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -10.10%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -4.97%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-04 21:19
Codere (IT)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.15%EV -7.22%E -3.72%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87%EV -10.10%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99%EV -9.42%E -3.09%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-04 21:14
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 47.83%EV -10.56%E -5.65%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -10.10%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.81%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-04 21:55
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -6.74%E -3.46%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -12.34%E -3.17%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-04 21:55
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -8.65%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -12.34%E -3.17%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -4.97%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-04 20:10
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -6.74%E -3.46%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -12.34%E -3.17%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-04 21:50
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -6.74%E -3.46%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -12.34%E -3.17%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-04 21:49
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -6.74%E -3.46%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -12.34%E -3.17%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-04 21:49
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -6.74%E -3.46%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -12.34%E -3.17%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-04 21:50
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 46.37%EV -6.74%E -3.46%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.49%EV -13.47%E -3.50%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.14%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-04 21:10
betfred_uk1.90I 52.63%NM 47.18%EV -9.13%E -4.80%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -15.72%E -4.19%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-04 21:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -8.65%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -15.72%E -4.19%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-04 21:54
Neds1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -8.65%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -15.72%E -4.19%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-04 21:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -8.65%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -15.72%E -4.19%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-04 21:54
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -8.65%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -15.72%E -4.19%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-04 21:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 47.09%EV -12.48%E -6.82%K -15.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.98%EV -15.72%E -4.19%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.92%EV -14.47%E -5.02%K -7.70%G +0.000%16.0%2026-05-04 21:49
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.19%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.11%0.6%2026-05-04 21:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.19%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.11%0.6%2026-05-04 21:55
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 49.19%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.11%0.6%2026-05-04 21:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.17%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.27%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-05-04 21:55
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.41%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.61%2.1%2026-05-04 21:55