Szkoła KursówJęzyk:Polski
Vila Nova v Athletic Club (MG)
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Vila Nova (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 47.83%2.09kurs godziwy
EV -4.35%
Przewaga -2.17%
Kelly -4.35%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 2.00
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
46.37%48.11%47.62%50.91%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.771.891.912.0056.50%52.79%52.36%50.00%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Athletic Club (MG) (Goście)
Prognoza 22.48%4.45kurs godziwy
EV +5.64%
Przewaga +1.20%
Kelly +1.52%
Wzrost +0.086%
przy maksymalnym kursie 4.70
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
19.95%22.25%22.71%23.90%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.754.234.204.7026.67%23.64%23.81%21.28%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Remis
Prognoza 29.70%3.37kurs godziwy
EV -4.97%
Przewaga -1.55%
Kelly -2.26%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 3.20
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
28.60%29.64%29.67%30.27%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.883.093.103.2034.72%32.37%32.26%31.25%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Kursy bukmacherskie (45 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście ▼ | Remis | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casumo | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21%EV -10.56%E -5.65%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV +5.64%E +1.20%K +1.52%G +0.086% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-04 21:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21%EV -10.56%E -5.65%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV +5.64%E +1.20%K +1.52%G +0.086% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-04 21:54 |
| Unibet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21%EV -10.56%E -5.65%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV +5.64%E +1.20%K +1.52%G +0.086% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-04 21:54 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21%EV -10.56%E -5.65%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV +5.64%E +1.20%K +1.52%G +0.086% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-04 21:54 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21%EV -10.56%E -5.65%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV +5.64%E +1.20%K +1.52%G +0.086% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-04 21:55 |
| betPARX | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21%EV -10.56%E -5.65%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV +5.64%E +1.20%K +1.52%G +0.086% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-04 21:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21%EV -10.56%E -5.65%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV +5.64%E +1.20%K +1.52%G +0.086% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-04 21:55 |
| BetRivers | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -11.52%E -6.23%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV +3.39%E +0.737%K +0.941%G +0.032% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -4.97%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-04 21:45 |
| Grosvenor | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.30%EV -12.48%E -6.82%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV +3.39%E +0.737%K +0.941%G +0.032% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-04 21:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.44%EV -12.96%E -7.12%K -15.80%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV +3.39%E +0.737%K +0.941%G +0.032% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-04 21:54 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.88%EV -8.17%E -4.26%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV +1.14%E +0.254%K +0.326%G +0.004% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-04 21:54 |
| FanDuel | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.01%EV -8.65%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV +1.14%E +0.254%K +0.326%G +0.004% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.19%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-04 21:48 |
| SportsBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.14%EV -9.13%E -4.80%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV +1.14%E +0.254%K +0.326%G +0.004% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-04 21:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.11%EV -13.43%E -7.42%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV +1.14%E +0.254%K +0.326%G +0.004% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -9.42%E -3.09%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-04 21:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.39%EV -14.39%E -8.04%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV +1.14%E +0.254%K +0.326%G +0.004% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.57%EV -9.42%E -3.09%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-04 21:54 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.39%EV -14.39%E -8.04%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV +1.14%E +0.254%K +0.326%G +0.004% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.57%EV -9.42%E -3.09%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-04 21:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.39%EV -14.39%E -8.04%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV +1.14%E +0.254%K +0.326%G +0.004% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.57%EV -9.42%E -3.09%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-04 21:54 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.91%EV -15.35%E -8.67%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV +1.14%E +0.254%K +0.326%G +0.004% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-04 21:10 |
| Pinnacle | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.11%EV -4.35%E -2.17%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.62%EV +0.017%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.26%EV -5.56%E -1.75%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-04 21:45 |
| Paddy Power | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.93%EV -11.52%E -6.23%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.90%EV -2.68%E -0.619%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.17%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-04 21:49 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.64%EV -8.17%E -4.26%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -3.35%E -0.780%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-04 21:52 |
| 1xBet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.92%EV -8.65%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 21.88%EV -4.03%E -0.943%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -4.97%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-04 21:49 |
| DraftKings | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.35%E -2.17%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -5.60%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-04 21:24 |
| Bovada | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -7.69%E -3.99%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.17%EV -6.73%E -1.62%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -9.42%E -3.09%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-04 21:52 |
| BetUS | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.01%EV -10.56%E -5.65%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -7.85%E -1.91%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -4.97%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-04 21:55 |
| NordicBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.38%EV -6.74%E -3.46%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.81%EV -8.97%E -2.22%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-04 21:14 |
| Betsson | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.38%EV -6.74%E -3.46%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.81%EV -8.97%E -2.22%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-04 21:15 |
| Betway | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -6.74%E -3.46%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -10.10%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -4.97%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-04 21:24 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -6.74%E -3.46%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -10.10%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-04 21:14 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -8.65%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -10.10%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -4.97%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-04 21:19 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.15%EV -7.22%E -3.72%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87%EV -10.10%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99%EV -9.42%E -3.09%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-04 21:14 |
| BoyleSports | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.83%EV -10.56%E -5.65%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -10.10%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.81%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-04 21:55 |
| BetMGM | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -6.74%E -3.46%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -12.34%E -3.17%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-04 21:55 |
| theScore Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -8.65%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -12.34%E -3.17%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -4.97%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-04 20:10 |
| 888sport | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -6.74%E -3.46%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -12.34%E -3.17%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-04 21:50 |
| William Hill | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -6.74%E -3.46%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -12.34%E -3.17%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-04 21:49 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -6.74%E -3.46%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -12.34%E -3.17%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-04 21:49 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -6.74%E -3.46%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -12.34%E -3.17%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-04 21:50 |
| PlayUp | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.37%EV -6.74%E -3.46%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.49%EV -13.47%E -3.50%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.14%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-04 21:10 |
| betfred_uk | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.18%EV -9.13%E -4.80%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -15.72%E -4.19%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-04 21:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -8.65%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -15.72%E -4.19%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-04 21:54 |
| Neds | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -8.65%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -15.72%E -4.19%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-04 21:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -8.65%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -15.72%E -4.19%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-04 21:54 |
| Coral | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -8.65%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -15.72%E -4.19%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-04 21:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.09%EV -12.48%E -6.82%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.98%EV -15.72%E -4.19%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.92%EV -14.47%E -5.02%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-05-04 21:49 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (5)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Remis | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.19% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.11% | 0.6% | 2026-05-04 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.19% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.11% | 0.6% | 2026-05-04 21:55 |
| Matchbook | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.19% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.11% | 0.6% | 2026-05-04 21:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.17% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.27% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 0.7% | 2026-05-04 21:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.41% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.61% | 2.1% | 2026-05-04 21:55 |