Школа коэффициентов

Vila Nova v Athletic Club (MG)

Начало: 2026-05-04 22:00 UTC

Итог: Vila Nova 1–1 Athletic Club (MG)

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

45 букмекерских контор (15 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Vila Nova (Хозяева)

Прогноз 47.83%2.09справедливый коэффициент
EV -4.35%
Преимущество -2.17%
Kelly -4.35%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.00

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
46.37%48.11%47.62%50.91%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.771.891.912.0056.50%52.79%52.36%50.00%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Athletic Club (MG) (Гости)

Прогноз 22.48%4.45справедливый коэффициент
EV +5.64%
Преимущество +1.20%
Kelly +1.52%
Рост +0.086%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.70

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
19.95%22.25%22.71%23.90%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.754.234.204.7026.67%23.64%23.81%21.28%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 29.70%3.37справедливый коэффициент
EV -4.97%
Преимущество -1.55%
Kelly -2.26%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.20

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
28.60%29.64%29.67%30.27%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.883.093.103.2034.72%32.37%32.26%31.25%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (45 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
Casumo1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21%EV -10.56%E -5.65%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV +5.64%E +1.20%K +1.52%G +0.086%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-04 21:55
Unibet (NL)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21%EV -10.56%E -5.65%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV +5.64%E +1.20%K +1.52%G +0.086%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-04 21:54
Unibet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21%EV -10.56%E -5.65%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV +5.64%E +1.20%K +1.52%G +0.086%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-04 21:54
Unibet (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21%EV -10.56%E -5.65%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV +5.64%E +1.20%K +1.52%G +0.086%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-04 21:54
Svenska Spel1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21%EV -10.56%E -5.65%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV +5.64%E +1.20%K +1.52%G +0.086%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-04 21:55
betPARX1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21%EV -10.56%E -5.65%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV +5.64%E +1.20%K +1.52%G +0.086%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-04 21:55
ATG (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21%EV -10.56%E -5.65%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV +5.64%E +1.20%K +1.52%G +0.086%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-04 21:55
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -11.52%E -6.23%K -13.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV +3.39%E +0.737%K +0.941%G +0.032%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -4.97%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-04 21:45
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 50.30%EV -12.48%E -6.82%K -15.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV +3.39%E +0.737%K +0.941%G +0.032%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-04 21:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.44%EV -12.96%E -7.12%K -15.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV +3.39%E +0.737%K +0.941%G +0.032%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-04 21:54
BetOnline.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 48.88%EV -8.17%E -4.26%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV +1.14%E +0.254%K +0.326%G +0.004%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-04 21:54
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 49.01%EV -8.65%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV +1.14%E +0.254%K +0.326%G +0.004%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.19%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-04 21:48
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.14%EV -9.13%E -4.80%K -10.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV +1.14%E +0.254%K +0.326%G +0.004%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-04 21:50
TABtouch1.81I 55.25%NM 50.11%EV -13.43%E -7.42%K -16.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV +1.14%E +0.254%K +0.326%G +0.004%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -9.42%E -3.09%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-04 21:55
LeoVegas1.79I 55.87%NM 50.39%EV -14.39%E -8.04%K -18.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV +1.14%E +0.254%K +0.326%G +0.004%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.57%EV -9.42%E -3.09%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-04 21:54
LiveScore Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 50.39%EV -14.39%E -8.04%K -18.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV +1.14%E +0.254%K +0.326%G +0.004%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.57%EV -9.42%E -3.09%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-04 21:55
Virgin Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 50.39%EV -14.39%E -8.04%K -18.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV +1.14%E +0.254%K +0.326%G +0.004%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.57%EV -9.42%E -3.09%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-04 21:54
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 50.91%EV -15.35%E -8.67%K -19.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV +1.14%E +0.254%K +0.326%G +0.004%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-04 21:10
Pinnacle2.00I 50.00%NM 48.11%EV -4.35%E -2.17%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.62%EV +0.017%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.26%EV -5.56%E -1.75%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-04 21:45
Paddy Power1.85I 54.05%NM 48.93%EV -11.52%E -6.23%K -13.55%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.90%EV -2.68%E -0.619%K -0.805%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.17%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-04 21:49
LowVig.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 48.64%EV -8.17%E -4.26%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -3.35%E -0.780%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-04 21:52
1xBet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.92%EV -8.65%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 21.88%EV -4.03%E -0.943%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -4.97%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-04 21:49
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.35%E -2.17%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -5.60%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-04 21:24
Bovada1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -7.69%E -3.99%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.17%EV -6.73%E -1.62%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -9.42%E -3.09%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 21:52
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 49.01%EV -10.56%E -5.65%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -7.85%E -1.91%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -4.97%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-04 21:55
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.38%EV -6.74%E -3.46%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.81%EV -8.97%E -2.22%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-04 21:14
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 47.38%EV -6.74%E -3.46%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.81%EV -8.97%E -2.22%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-04 21:15
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -6.74%E -3.46%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -10.10%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -4.97%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-04 21:24
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -6.74%E -3.46%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -10.10%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-04 21:14
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -8.65%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -10.10%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -4.97%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-04 21:19
Codere (IT)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.15%EV -7.22%E -3.72%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87%EV -10.10%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99%EV -9.42%E -3.09%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-04 21:14
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 47.83%EV -10.56%E -5.65%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -10.10%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.81%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-04 21:55
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -6.74%E -3.46%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -12.34%E -3.17%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-04 21:55
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -8.65%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -12.34%E -3.17%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -4.97%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-04 20:10
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -6.74%E -3.46%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -12.34%E -3.17%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-04 21:50
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -6.74%E -3.46%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -12.34%E -3.17%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-04 21:49
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -6.74%E -3.46%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -12.34%E -3.17%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-04 21:49
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -6.74%E -3.46%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -12.34%E -3.17%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-04 21:50
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 46.37%EV -6.74%E -3.46%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.49%EV -13.47%E -3.50%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.14%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-04 21:10
betfred_uk1.90I 52.63%NM 47.18%EV -9.13%E -4.80%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -15.72%E -4.19%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-04 21:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -8.65%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -15.72%E -4.19%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-04 21:54
Neds1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -8.65%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -15.72%E -4.19%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-04 21:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -8.65%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -15.72%E -4.19%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-04 21:54
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -8.65%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -15.72%E -4.19%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-04 21:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 47.09%EV -12.48%E -6.82%K -15.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.98%EV -15.72%E -4.19%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.92%EV -14.47%E -5.02%K -7.70%G +0.000%16.0%2026-05-04 21:49
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.19%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.11%0.6%2026-05-04 21:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.19%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.11%0.6%2026-05-04 21:55
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 49.19%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.11%0.6%2026-05-04 21:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.17%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.27%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-05-04 21:55
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.41%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.61%2.1%2026-05-04 21:55