مدرسة الاحتمالاتالعربية
Vila Nova v Athletic Club (MG)
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Vila Nova (المضيف)
التنبؤ 47.83%2.09السعر العادل
EV -4.35%
الأفضلية -2.17%
Kelly -4.35%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.00
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
46.37%48.11%47.62%50.91%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.771.891.912.0056.50%52.79%52.36%50.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Athletic Club (MG) (الضيف)
التنبؤ 22.48%4.45السعر العادل
EV +5.64%
الأفضلية +1.20%
Kelly +1.52%
النمو +0.086%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.70
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
19.95%22.25%22.71%23.90%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.754.234.204.7026.67%23.64%23.81%21.28%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
تعادل
التنبؤ 29.70%3.37السعر العادل
EV -4.97%
الأفضلية -1.55%
Kelly -2.26%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.20
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.60%29.64%29.67%30.27%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.093.103.2034.72%32.37%32.26%31.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (45 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف ▼ | تعادل | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casumo | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21%EV -10.56%E -5.65%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV +5.64%E +1.20%K +1.52%G +0.086% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-04 21:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21%EV -10.56%E -5.65%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV +5.64%E +1.20%K +1.52%G +0.086% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-04 21:54 |
| Unibet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21%EV -10.56%E -5.65%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV +5.64%E +1.20%K +1.52%G +0.086% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-04 21:54 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21%EV -10.56%E -5.65%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV +5.64%E +1.20%K +1.52%G +0.086% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-04 21:54 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21%EV -10.56%E -5.65%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV +5.64%E +1.20%K +1.52%G +0.086% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-04 21:55 |
| betPARX | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21%EV -10.56%E -5.65%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV +5.64%E +1.20%K +1.52%G +0.086% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-04 21:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21%EV -10.56%E -5.65%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV +5.64%E +1.20%K +1.52%G +0.086% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-04 21:55 |
| BetRivers | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -11.52%E -6.23%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV +3.39%E +0.737%K +0.941%G +0.032% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -4.97%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-04 21:45 |
| Grosvenor | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.30%EV -12.48%E -6.82%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV +3.39%E +0.737%K +0.941%G +0.032% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-04 21:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.44%EV -12.96%E -7.12%K -15.80%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV +3.39%E +0.737%K +0.941%G +0.032% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-04 21:54 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.88%EV -8.17%E -4.26%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV +1.14%E +0.254%K +0.326%G +0.004% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-04 21:54 |
| FanDuel | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.01%EV -8.65%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV +1.14%E +0.254%K +0.326%G +0.004% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.19%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-04 21:48 |
| SportsBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.14%EV -9.13%E -4.80%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV +1.14%E +0.254%K +0.326%G +0.004% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-04 21:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.11%EV -13.43%E -7.42%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV +1.14%E +0.254%K +0.326%G +0.004% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -9.42%E -3.09%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-04 21:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.39%EV -14.39%E -8.04%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV +1.14%E +0.254%K +0.326%G +0.004% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.57%EV -9.42%E -3.09%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-04 21:54 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.39%EV -14.39%E -8.04%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV +1.14%E +0.254%K +0.326%G +0.004% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.57%EV -9.42%E -3.09%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-04 21:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.39%EV -14.39%E -8.04%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV +1.14%E +0.254%K +0.326%G +0.004% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.57%EV -9.42%E -3.09%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-04 21:54 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.91%EV -15.35%E -8.67%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV +1.14%E +0.254%K +0.326%G +0.004% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-04 21:10 |
| Pinnacle | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.11%EV -4.35%E -2.17%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.62%EV +0.017%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.26%EV -5.56%E -1.75%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-04 21:45 |
| Paddy Power | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.93%EV -11.52%E -6.23%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.90%EV -2.68%E -0.619%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.17%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-04 21:49 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.64%EV -8.17%E -4.26%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -3.35%E -0.780%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-04 21:52 |
| 1xBet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.92%EV -8.65%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 21.88%EV -4.03%E -0.943%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -4.97%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-04 21:49 |
| DraftKings | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.35%E -2.17%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -5.60%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-04 21:24 |
| Bovada | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -7.69%E -3.99%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.17%EV -6.73%E -1.62%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -9.42%E -3.09%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-04 21:52 |
| BetUS | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.01%EV -10.56%E -5.65%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -7.85%E -1.91%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -4.97%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-04 21:55 |
| NordicBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.38%EV -6.74%E -3.46%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.81%EV -8.97%E -2.22%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-04 21:14 |
| Betsson | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.38%EV -6.74%E -3.46%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.81%EV -8.97%E -2.22%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-04 21:15 |
| Betway | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -6.74%E -3.46%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -10.10%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -4.97%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-04 21:24 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -6.74%E -3.46%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -10.10%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-04 21:14 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -8.65%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -10.10%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -4.97%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-04 21:19 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.15%EV -7.22%E -3.72%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87%EV -10.10%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99%EV -9.42%E -3.09%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-04 21:14 |
| BoyleSports | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.83%EV -10.56%E -5.65%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -10.10%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.81%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-04 21:55 |
| BetMGM | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -6.74%E -3.46%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -12.34%E -3.17%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-04 21:55 |
| theScore Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -8.65%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -12.34%E -3.17%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -4.97%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-04 20:10 |
| 888sport | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -6.74%E -3.46%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -12.34%E -3.17%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-04 21:50 |
| William Hill | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -6.74%E -3.46%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -12.34%E -3.17%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-04 21:49 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -6.74%E -3.46%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -12.34%E -3.17%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-04 21:49 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -6.74%E -3.46%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -12.34%E -3.17%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-04 21:50 |
| PlayUp | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.37%EV -6.74%E -3.46%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.49%EV -13.47%E -3.50%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.14%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-04 21:10 |
| betfred_uk | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.18%EV -9.13%E -4.80%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -15.72%E -4.19%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-04 21:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -8.65%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -15.72%E -4.19%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-04 21:54 |
| Neds | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -8.65%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -15.72%E -4.19%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-04 21:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -8.65%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -15.72%E -4.19%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-04 21:54 |
| Coral | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -8.65%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -15.72%E -4.19%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-04 21:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.09%EV -12.48%E -6.82%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.98%EV -15.72%E -4.19%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.92%EV -14.47%E -5.02%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-05-04 21:49 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (5)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.19% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.11% | 0.6% | 2026-05-04 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.19% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.11% | 0.6% | 2026-05-04 21:55 |
| Matchbook | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.19% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.11% | 0.6% | 2026-05-04 21:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.17% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.27% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 0.7% | 2026-05-04 21:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.41% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.61% | 2.1% | 2026-05-04 21:55 |