Oddsskolan

Vila Nova v Athletic Club (MG)

Matchstart: 2026-05-04 22:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Vila Nova 1–1 Athletic Club (MG)

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

45 spelbolag (15 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Vila Nova (Hemma)

Prognos 47.83%2.09rättvist odds
EV -4.35%
Fördel -2.17%
Kelly -4.35%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
46.37%48.11%47.62%50.91%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.771.891.912.0056.50%52.79%52.36%50.00%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Athletic Club (MG) (Borta)

Prognos 22.48%4.45rättvist odds
EV +5.64%
Fördel +1.20%
Kelly +1.52%
Tillväxt +0.086%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.70

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
19.95%22.25%22.71%23.90%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
3.754.234.204.7026.67%23.64%23.81%21.28%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Oavgjort

Prognos 29.70%3.37rättvist odds
EV -4.97%
Fördel -1.55%
Kelly -2.26%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.20

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
28.60%29.64%29.67%30.27%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
2.883.093.103.2034.72%32.37%32.26%31.25%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (45 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Casumo1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21%EV -10.56%E -5.65%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV +5.64%E +1.20%K +1.52%G +0.086%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-04 21:55
Unibet (NL)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21%EV -10.56%E -5.65%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV +5.64%E +1.20%K +1.52%G +0.086%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-04 21:54
Unibet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21%EV -10.56%E -5.65%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV +5.64%E +1.20%K +1.52%G +0.086%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-04 21:54
Unibet (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21%EV -10.56%E -5.65%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV +5.64%E +1.20%K +1.52%G +0.086%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-04 21:54
Svenska Spel1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21%EV -10.56%E -5.65%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV +5.64%E +1.20%K +1.52%G +0.086%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-04 21:55
betPARX1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21%EV -10.56%E -5.65%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV +5.64%E +1.20%K +1.52%G +0.086%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-04 21:55
ATG (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21%EV -10.56%E -5.65%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV +5.64%E +1.20%K +1.52%G +0.086%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-04 21:55
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -11.52%E -6.23%K -13.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV +3.39%E +0.737%K +0.941%G +0.032%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -4.97%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-04 21:45
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 50.30%EV -12.48%E -6.82%K -15.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV +3.39%E +0.737%K +0.941%G +0.032%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-04 21:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.44%EV -12.96%E -7.12%K -15.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV +3.39%E +0.737%K +0.941%G +0.032%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-04 21:54
BetOnline.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 48.88%EV -8.17%E -4.26%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV +1.14%E +0.254%K +0.326%G +0.004%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-04 21:54
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 49.01%EV -8.65%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV +1.14%E +0.254%K +0.326%G +0.004%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.19%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-04 21:48
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.14%EV -9.13%E -4.80%K -10.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV +1.14%E +0.254%K +0.326%G +0.004%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-04 21:50
TABtouch1.81I 55.25%NM 50.11%EV -13.43%E -7.42%K -16.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV +1.14%E +0.254%K +0.326%G +0.004%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -9.42%E -3.09%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-04 21:55
LeoVegas1.79I 55.87%NM 50.39%EV -14.39%E -8.04%K -18.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV +1.14%E +0.254%K +0.326%G +0.004%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.57%EV -9.42%E -3.09%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-04 21:54
LiveScore Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 50.39%EV -14.39%E -8.04%K -18.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV +1.14%E +0.254%K +0.326%G +0.004%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.57%EV -9.42%E -3.09%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-04 21:55
Virgin Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 50.39%EV -14.39%E -8.04%K -18.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV +1.14%E +0.254%K +0.326%G +0.004%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.57%EV -9.42%E -3.09%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-04 21:54
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 50.91%EV -15.35%E -8.67%K -19.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV +1.14%E +0.254%K +0.326%G +0.004%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-04 21:10
Pinnacle2.00I 50.00%NM 48.11%EV -4.35%E -2.17%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.62%EV +0.017%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.26%EV -5.56%E -1.75%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-04 21:45
Paddy Power1.85I 54.05%NM 48.93%EV -11.52%E -6.23%K -13.55%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.90%EV -2.68%E -0.619%K -0.805%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.17%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-04 21:49
LowVig.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 48.64%EV -8.17%E -4.26%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -3.35%E -0.780%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-04 21:52
1xBet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.92%EV -8.65%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 21.88%EV -4.03%E -0.943%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -4.97%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-04 21:49
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.35%E -2.17%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -5.60%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-04 21:24
Bovada1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -7.69%E -3.99%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.17%EV -6.73%E -1.62%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -9.42%E -3.09%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 21:52
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 49.01%EV -10.56%E -5.65%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -7.85%E -1.91%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -4.97%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-04 21:55
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.38%EV -6.74%E -3.46%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.81%EV -8.97%E -2.22%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-04 21:14
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 47.38%EV -6.74%E -3.46%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.81%EV -8.97%E -2.22%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-04 21:15
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -6.74%E -3.46%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -10.10%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -4.97%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-04 21:24
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -6.74%E -3.46%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -10.10%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-04 21:14
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -8.65%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -10.10%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -4.97%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-04 21:19
Codere (IT)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.15%EV -7.22%E -3.72%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87%EV -10.10%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99%EV -9.42%E -3.09%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-04 21:14
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 47.83%EV -10.56%E -5.65%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -10.10%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.81%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-04 21:55
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -6.74%E -3.46%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -12.34%E -3.17%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-04 21:55
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -8.65%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -12.34%E -3.17%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -4.97%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-04 20:10
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -6.74%E -3.46%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -12.34%E -3.17%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-04 21:50
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -6.74%E -3.46%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -12.34%E -3.17%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-04 21:49
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -6.74%E -3.46%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -12.34%E -3.17%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-04 21:49
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -6.74%E -3.46%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -12.34%E -3.17%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-04 21:50
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 46.37%EV -6.74%E -3.46%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.49%EV -13.47%E -3.50%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.14%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-04 21:10
betfred_uk1.90I 52.63%NM 47.18%EV -9.13%E -4.80%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -15.72%E -4.19%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-04 21:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -8.65%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -15.72%E -4.19%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-04 21:54
Neds1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -8.65%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -15.72%E -4.19%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-04 21:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -8.65%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -15.72%E -4.19%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-04 21:54
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -8.65%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -15.72%E -4.19%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-04 21:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 47.09%EV -12.48%E -6.82%K -15.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.98%EV -15.72%E -4.19%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.92%EV -14.47%E -5.02%K -7.70%G +0.000%16.0%2026-05-04 21:49
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.19%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.11%0.6%2026-05-04 21:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.19%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.11%0.6%2026-05-04 21:55
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 49.19%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.11%0.6%2026-05-04 21:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.17%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.27%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-05-04 21:55
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.41%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.61%2.1%2026-05-04 21:55