La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Vila Nova v Athletic Club (MG)
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Vila Nova (Casa)
Previsione 47.83%2.09quota equa
EV -4.35%
Vantaggio -2.17%
Kelly -4.35%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.00
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
46.37%48.11%47.62%50.91%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.771.891.912.0056.50%52.79%52.36%50.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Athletic Club (MG) (Trasferta)
Previsione 22.48%4.45quota equa
EV +5.64%
Vantaggio +1.20%
Kelly +1.52%
Crescita +0.086%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.70
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.95%22.25%22.71%23.90%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.754.234.204.7026.67%23.64%23.81%21.28%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 29.70%3.37quota equa
EV -4.97%
Vantaggio -1.55%
Kelly -2.26%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.20
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.60%29.64%29.67%30.27%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.093.103.2034.72%32.37%32.26%31.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (45 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casumo | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21%EV -10.56%E -5.65%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV +5.64%E +1.20%K +1.52%G +0.086% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-04 21:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21%EV -10.56%E -5.65%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV +5.64%E +1.20%K +1.52%G +0.086% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-04 21:54 |
| Unibet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21%EV -10.56%E -5.65%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV +5.64%E +1.20%K +1.52%G +0.086% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-04 21:54 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21%EV -10.56%E -5.65%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV +5.64%E +1.20%K +1.52%G +0.086% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-04 21:54 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21%EV -10.56%E -5.65%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV +5.64%E +1.20%K +1.52%G +0.086% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-04 21:55 |
| betPARX | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21%EV -10.56%E -5.65%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV +5.64%E +1.20%K +1.52%G +0.086% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-04 21:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21%EV -10.56%E -5.65%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV +5.64%E +1.20%K +1.52%G +0.086% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-04 21:55 |
| BetRivers | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -11.52%E -6.23%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV +3.39%E +0.737%K +0.941%G +0.032% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -4.97%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-04 21:45 |
| Grosvenor | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.30%EV -12.48%E -6.82%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV +3.39%E +0.737%K +0.941%G +0.032% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-04 21:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.44%EV -12.96%E -7.12%K -15.80%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV +3.39%E +0.737%K +0.941%G +0.032% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-04 21:54 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.88%EV -8.17%E -4.26%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV +1.14%E +0.254%K +0.326%G +0.004% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-04 21:54 |
| FanDuel | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.01%EV -8.65%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV +1.14%E +0.254%K +0.326%G +0.004% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.19%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-04 21:48 |
| SportsBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.14%EV -9.13%E -4.80%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV +1.14%E +0.254%K +0.326%G +0.004% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-04 21:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.11%EV -13.43%E -7.42%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV +1.14%E +0.254%K +0.326%G +0.004% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -9.42%E -3.09%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-04 21:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.39%EV -14.39%E -8.04%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV +1.14%E +0.254%K +0.326%G +0.004% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.57%EV -9.42%E -3.09%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-04 21:54 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.39%EV -14.39%E -8.04%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV +1.14%E +0.254%K +0.326%G +0.004% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.57%EV -9.42%E -3.09%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-04 21:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.39%EV -14.39%E -8.04%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV +1.14%E +0.254%K +0.326%G +0.004% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.57%EV -9.42%E -3.09%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-04 21:54 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.91%EV -15.35%E -8.67%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV +1.14%E +0.254%K +0.326%G +0.004% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-04 21:10 |
| Pinnacle | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.11%EV -4.35%E -2.17%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.62%EV +0.017%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.26%EV -5.56%E -1.75%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-04 21:45 |
| Paddy Power | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.93%EV -11.52%E -6.23%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.90%EV -2.68%E -0.619%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.17%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-04 21:49 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.64%EV -8.17%E -4.26%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -3.35%E -0.780%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-04 21:52 |
| 1xBet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.92%EV -8.65%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 21.88%EV -4.03%E -0.943%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -4.97%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-04 21:49 |
| DraftKings | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.35%E -2.17%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -5.60%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -6.45%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-04 21:24 |
| Bovada | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -7.69%E -3.99%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.17%EV -6.73%E -1.62%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -9.42%E -3.09%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-04 21:52 |
| BetUS | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.01%EV -10.56%E -5.65%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -7.85%E -1.91%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -4.97%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-04 21:55 |
| NordicBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.38%EV -6.74%E -3.46%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.81%EV -8.97%E -2.22%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-04 21:14 |
| Betsson | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.38%EV -6.74%E -3.46%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.81%EV -8.97%E -2.22%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-04 21:15 |
| Betway | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -6.74%E -3.46%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -10.10%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -4.97%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-04 21:24 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -6.74%E -3.46%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -10.10%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-04 21:14 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -8.65%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -10.10%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -4.97%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-04 21:19 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.15%EV -7.22%E -3.72%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87%EV -10.10%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99%EV -9.42%E -3.09%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-04 21:14 |
| BoyleSports | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.83%EV -10.56%E -5.65%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -10.10%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.81%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-04 21:55 |
| BetMGM | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -6.74%E -3.46%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -12.34%E -3.17%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-04 21:55 |
| theScore Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -8.65%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -12.34%E -3.17%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -4.97%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-04 20:10 |
| 888sport | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -6.74%E -3.46%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -12.34%E -3.17%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-04 21:50 |
| William Hill | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -6.74%E -3.46%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -12.34%E -3.17%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-04 21:49 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -6.74%E -3.46%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -12.34%E -3.17%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-04 21:49 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -6.74%E -3.46%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -12.34%E -3.17%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-04 21:50 |
| PlayUp | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.37%EV -6.74%E -3.46%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.49%EV -13.47%E -3.50%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.14%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-04 21:10 |
| betfred_uk | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.18%EV -9.13%E -4.80%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -15.72%E -4.19%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-04 21:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -8.65%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -15.72%E -4.19%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-04 21:54 |
| Neds | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -8.65%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -15.72%E -4.19%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-04 21:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -8.65%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -15.72%E -4.19%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-04 21:54 |
| Coral | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -8.65%E -4.53%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -15.72%E -4.19%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-04 21:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.09%EV -12.48%E -6.82%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.98%EV -15.72%E -4.19%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.92%EV -14.47%E -5.02%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-05-04 21:49 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.19% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.11% | 0.6% | 2026-05-04 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.19% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.11% | 0.6% | 2026-05-04 21:55 |
| Matchbook | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.19% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.11% | 0.6% | 2026-05-04 21:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.17% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.27% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 0.7% | 2026-05-04 21:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.41% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.61% | 2.1% | 2026-05-04 21:55 |