赔率学院

Sport Recife v Ceará

开赛时间： 2026-05-03 21:00 UTC

最终结果： Sport Recife 2–0 Ceará

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

43 家博彩公司 (17 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：IQM

Sport Recife (主队)

预测 42.08%2.38公平赔率
EV -3.64%
优势 -1.59%
Kelly -2.82%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.29

博彩公司预测分布
40.76%42.14%42.19%45.11%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.002.202.202.2950.00%45.46%45.45%43.67%MIN均值中位数MAX

Ceará (客队)

预测 27.78%3.60公平赔率
EV -2.50%
优势 -0.712%
Kelly -0.995%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.51

博彩公司预测分布
25.78%27.76%27.60%29.25%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
3.103.273.253.5132.26%30.57%30.77%28.49%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 30.14%3.32公平赔率
EV -2.64%
优势 -0.817%
Kelly -1.18%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.23

博彩公司预测分布
28.93%30.10%30.21%31.28%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.803.083.103.2335.71%32.47%32.26%30.96%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (43 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Pinnacle2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -3.64%E -1.59%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.42%EV -2.50%E -0.712%K -0.995%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.55%EV -5.05%E -1.60%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-03 20:45
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 41.05%EV -4.06%E -1.78%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -5.05%E -1.60%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 20:40
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 42.05%EV -5.32%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -4.17%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-03 17:55
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.32%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 20:55
Unibet (NL)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.32%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 20:55
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.32%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 20:55
Casumo2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.32%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 20:55
betPARX2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.32%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 20:55
ATG (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.32%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 20:55
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.32%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 20:55
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -5.32%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 20:51
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -5.32%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 20:51
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -5.32%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 20:50
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -5.32%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 20:51
LowVig.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 41.90%EV -5.74%E -2.56%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -2.78%E -0.793%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 20:20
BetOnline.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 41.90%EV -5.74%E -2.56%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -2.78%E -0.793%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 20:20
Marathon Bet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.75%EV -6.59%E -2.97%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.75%EV -7.22%E -2.16%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.49%EV -8.37%E -2.75%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-03 20:40
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 12:40
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -2.78%E -0.793%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-03 20:55
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 20:20
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 18:00
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 20:37
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 20:40
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -12.50%E -3.97%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -5.05%E -1.60%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 20:55
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 18:40
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 18:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.53%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -12.50%E -3.97%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-03 20:55
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -12.50%E -3.97%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-03 20:35
1xBet2.19I 45.66%NM 42.67%EV -7.85%E -3.58%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.40%EV -8.61%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.93%EV -2.64%E -0.817%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 20:51
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.27%EV -8.27%E -3.79%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -8.06%E -2.64%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 18:00
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.27%EV -8.27%E -3.79%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -8.06%E -2.64%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 18:00
TABtouch2.18I 45.87%NM 41.75%EV -8.27%E -3.79%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -12.50%E -3.97%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-03 20:50
Codere (IT)2.16I 46.30%NM 42.50%EV -9.11%E -4.22%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -8.06%E -2.64%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 18:00
LiveScore Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 41.58%EV -9.11%E -4.22%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -13.89%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.45%EV -8.06%E -2.64%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-03 20:55
LeoVegas2.16I 46.30%NM 41.58%EV -9.11%E -4.22%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -13.89%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.45%EV -8.06%E -2.64%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-03 20:55
Virgin Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 41.58%EV -9.11%E -4.22%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -13.89%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.45%EV -8.06%E -2.64%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-03 20:55
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -9.53%E -4.43%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 20:50
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 41.97%EV -9.53%E -4.43%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.92%EV -13.33%E -4.27%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-03 20:35
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.53%E -4.43%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.89%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-03 20:20
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -11.63%E -5.54%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -8.33%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-03 20:51
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -11.63%E -5.54%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -12.59%E -4.34%K -6.62%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-03 11:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.20%EV -11.63%E -5.54%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -13.89%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.90%EV -15.60%E -5.57%K -8.67%G +0.000%15.6%2026-05-03 20:35
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -15.84%E -7.92%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -2.78%E -0.793%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-03 20:25
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.13%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%0.8%2026-05-03 20:55
Matchbook2.32I 43.10%NM 42.67%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.40%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93%1.0%2026-05-03 20:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.67%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.40%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93%1.0%2026-05-03 20:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.67%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.40%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93%1.0%2026-05-03 20:55
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 42.37%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.70%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.94%2.6%2026-05-03 20:55