Szkoła Kursów

Sport Recife v Ceará

Początek: 2026-05-03 21:00 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Sport Recife 2–0 Ceará

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

43 bukmacherów (17 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Sport Recife (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 42.08%2.38kurs godziwy
EV -3.64%
Przewaga -1.59%
Kelly -2.82%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.29

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
40.76%42.14%42.19%45.11%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.002.202.202.2950.00%45.46%45.45%43.67%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Ceará (Goście)

Prognoza 27.78%3.60kurs godziwy
EV -2.50%
Przewaga -0.712%
Kelly -0.995%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.51

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
25.78%27.76%27.60%29.25%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.103.273.253.5132.26%30.57%30.77%28.49%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 30.14%3.32kurs godziwy
EV -2.64%
Przewaga -0.817%
Kelly -1.18%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.23

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
28.93%30.10%30.21%31.28%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.803.083.103.2335.71%32.47%32.26%30.96%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (43 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeRemisMarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -3.64%E -1.59%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.42%EV -2.50%E -0.712%K -0.995%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.55%EV -5.05%E -1.60%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-03 20:45
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 41.05%EV -4.06%E -1.78%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -5.05%E -1.60%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 20:40
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 42.05%EV -5.32%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -4.17%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-03 17:55
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.32%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 20:55
Unibet (NL)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.32%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 20:55
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.32%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 20:55
Casumo2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.32%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 20:55
betPARX2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.32%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 20:55
ATG (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.32%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 20:55
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.32%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 20:55
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -5.32%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 20:51
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -5.32%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 20:51
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -5.32%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 20:50
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -5.32%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 20:51
LowVig.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 41.90%EV -5.74%E -2.56%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -2.78%E -0.793%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 20:20
BetOnline.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 41.90%EV -5.74%E -2.56%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -2.78%E -0.793%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 20:20
Marathon Bet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.75%EV -6.59%E -2.97%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.75%EV -7.22%E -2.16%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.49%EV -8.37%E -2.75%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-03 20:40
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 12:40
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -2.78%E -0.793%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-03 20:55
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 20:20
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 18:00
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 20:37
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 20:40
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -12.50%E -3.97%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -5.05%E -1.60%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 20:55
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 18:40
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 18:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.53%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -12.50%E -3.97%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-03 20:55
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -12.50%E -3.97%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-03 20:35
1xBet2.19I 45.66%NM 42.67%EV -7.85%E -3.58%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.40%EV -8.61%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.93%EV -2.64%E -0.817%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 20:51
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.27%EV -8.27%E -3.79%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -8.06%E -2.64%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 18:00
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.27%EV -8.27%E -3.79%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -8.06%E -2.64%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 18:00
TABtouch2.18I 45.87%NM 41.75%EV -8.27%E -3.79%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -12.50%E -3.97%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-03 20:50
Codere (IT)2.16I 46.30%NM 42.50%EV -9.11%E -4.22%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -8.06%E -2.64%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 18:00
LiveScore Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 41.58%EV -9.11%E -4.22%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -13.89%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.45%EV -8.06%E -2.64%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-03 20:55
LeoVegas2.16I 46.30%NM 41.58%EV -9.11%E -4.22%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -13.89%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.45%EV -8.06%E -2.64%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-03 20:55
Virgin Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 41.58%EV -9.11%E -4.22%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -13.89%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.45%EV -8.06%E -2.64%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-03 20:55
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -9.53%E -4.43%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 20:50
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 41.97%EV -9.53%E -4.43%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.92%EV -13.33%E -4.27%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-03 20:35
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.53%E -4.43%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.89%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-03 20:20
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -11.63%E -5.54%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -8.33%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-03 20:51
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -11.63%E -5.54%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -12.59%E -4.34%K -6.62%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-03 11:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.20%EV -11.63%E -5.54%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -13.89%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.90%EV -15.60%E -5.57%K -8.67%G +0.000%15.6%2026-05-03 20:35
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -15.84%E -7.92%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -2.78%E -0.793%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-03 20:25
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (5)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.13%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%0.8%2026-05-03 20:55
Matchbook2.32I 43.10%NM 42.67%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.40%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93%1.0%2026-05-03 20:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.67%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.40%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93%1.0%2026-05-03 20:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.67%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.40%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93%1.0%2026-05-03 20:55
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 42.37%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.70%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.94%2.6%2026-05-03 20:55