L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Sport Recife v Ceará
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Sport Recife (Local)
Prévision 42.08%2.38cote équitable
EV -3.64%
Avantage -1.59%
Kelly -2.82%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.29
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.76%42.14%42.19%45.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.202.202.2950.00%45.46%45.45%43.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Ceará (Visiteur)
Prévision 27.78%3.60cote équitable
EV -2.50%
Avantage -0.712%
Kelly -0.995%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.51
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.78%27.76%27.60%29.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.273.253.5132.26%30.57%30.77%28.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 30.14%3.32cote équitable
EV -2.64%
Avantage -0.817%
Kelly -1.18%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.23
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.93%30.10%30.21%31.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.083.103.2335.71%32.47%32.26%30.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -3.64%E -1.59%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.42%EV -2.50%E -0.712%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.55%EV -5.05%E -1.60%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-03 20:45 |
| BetRivers | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.05%EV -4.06%E -1.78%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -5.05%E -1.60%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-03 20:40 |
| DraftKings | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.05%EV -5.32%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -4.17%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-03 17:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.32%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 20:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.32%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 20:55 |
| Unibet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.32%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 20:55 |
| Casumo | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.32%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 20:55 |
| betPARX | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.32%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 20:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.32%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 20:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.32%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 20:55 |
| 888sport | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -5.32%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-03 20:51 |
| William Hill | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -5.32%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-03 20:51 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -5.32%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-03 20:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -5.32%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-03 20:51 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.90%EV -5.74%E -2.56%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -2.78%E -0.793%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 20:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.90%EV -5.74%E -2.56%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -2.78%E -0.793%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 20:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.75%EV -6.59%E -2.97%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.75%EV -7.22%E -2.16%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.49%EV -8.37%E -2.75%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-03 20:40 |
| Betway | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-03 12:40 |
| FanDuel | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -2.78%E -0.793%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-03 20:55 |
| Coolbet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-03 20:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-03 18:00 |
| Bovada | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-03 20:37 |
| BetUS | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-03 20:40 |
| Grosvenor | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -12.50%E -3.97%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -5.05%E -1.60%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-03 20:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-03 18:40 |
| theScore Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-03 18:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.53%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -12.50%E -3.97%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-03 20:55 |
| PlayUp | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -12.50%E -3.97%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-03 20:35 |
| 1xBet | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.67%EV -7.85%E -3.58%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.40%EV -8.61%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.93%EV -2.64%E -0.817%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-03 20:51 |
| Betsson | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.27%EV -8.27%E -3.79%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -8.06%E -2.64%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 18:00 |
| NordicBet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.27%EV -8.27%E -3.79%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -8.06%E -2.64%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 18:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.75%EV -8.27%E -3.79%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -12.50%E -3.97%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-03 20:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.50%EV -9.11%E -4.22%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -8.06%E -2.64%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-03 18:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.58%EV -9.11%E -4.22%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -13.89%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.45%EV -8.06%E -2.64%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-03 20:55 |
| LeoVegas | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.58%EV -9.11%E -4.22%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -13.89%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.45%EV -8.06%E -2.64%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-03 20:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.58%EV -9.11%E -4.22%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -13.89%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.45%EV -8.06%E -2.64%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-03 20:55 |
| SportsBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -9.53%E -4.43%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-03 20:50 |
| Bet Victor | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.97%EV -9.53%E -4.43%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.92%EV -13.33%E -4.27%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-03 20:35 |
| betfred_uk | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.53%E -4.43%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.89%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-03 20:20 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -11.63%E -5.54%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -8.33%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-03 20:51 |
| BoyleSports | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -11.63%E -5.54%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -12.59%E -4.34%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-03 11:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.20%EV -11.63%E -5.54%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -13.89%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.90%EV -15.60%E -5.57%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-05-03 20:35 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -15.84%E -7.92%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -2.78%E -0.793%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-03 20:25 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.13% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06% | 0.8% | 2026-05-03 20:55 |
| Matchbook | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.67% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.40% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93% | 1.0% | 2026-05-03 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.67% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.40% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93% | 1.0% | 2026-05-03 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.67% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.40% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93% | 1.0% | 2026-05-03 20:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.37% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.70% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.94% | 2.6% | 2026-05-03 20:55 |