Die Schule der Quoten

Sport Recife v Ceará

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-03 21:00 UTC

Endstand: Sport Recife 2–0 Ceará

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

43 Wettanbieter (17 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Sport Recife (Heim)

Prognose 42.08%2.38faire Quote
EV -3.64%
Vorteil -1.59%
Kelly -2.82%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.29

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
40.76%42.14%42.19%45.11%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.002.202.202.2950.00%45.46%45.45%43.67%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Ceará (Auswärts)

Prognose 27.78%3.60faire Quote
EV -2.50%
Vorteil -0.712%
Kelly -0.995%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.51

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
25.78%27.76%27.60%29.25%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.103.273.253.5132.26%30.57%30.77%28.49%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 30.14%3.32faire Quote
EV -2.64%
Vorteil -0.817%
Kelly -1.18%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.23

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
28.93%30.10%30.21%31.28%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.803.083.103.2335.71%32.47%32.26%30.96%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (43 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsUnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -3.64%E -1.59%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.42%EV -2.50%E -0.712%K -0.995%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.55%EV -5.05%E -1.60%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-03 20:45
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 41.05%EV -4.06%E -1.78%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -5.05%E -1.60%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 20:40
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 42.05%EV -5.32%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -4.17%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-03 17:55
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.32%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 20:55
Unibet (NL)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.32%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 20:55
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.32%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 20:55
Casumo2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.32%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 20:55
betPARX2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.32%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 20:55
ATG (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.32%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 20:55
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.32%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 20:55
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -5.32%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 20:51
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -5.32%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 20:51
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -5.32%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 20:50
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -5.32%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 20:51
LowVig.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 41.90%EV -5.74%E -2.56%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -2.78%E -0.793%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 20:20
BetOnline.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 41.90%EV -5.74%E -2.56%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -2.78%E -0.793%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 20:20
Marathon Bet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.75%EV -6.59%E -2.97%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.75%EV -7.22%E -2.16%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.49%EV -8.37%E -2.75%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-03 20:40
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 12:40
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -2.78%E -0.793%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-03 20:55
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 20:20
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 18:00
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 20:37
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 20:40
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -12.50%E -3.97%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -5.05%E -1.60%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 20:55
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 18:40
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 18:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.53%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -12.50%E -3.97%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-03 20:55
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -12.50%E -3.97%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-03 20:35
1xBet2.19I 45.66%NM 42.67%EV -7.85%E -3.58%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.40%EV -8.61%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.93%EV -2.64%E -0.817%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 20:51
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.27%EV -8.27%E -3.79%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -8.06%E -2.64%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 18:00
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.27%EV -8.27%E -3.79%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -8.06%E -2.64%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 18:00
TABtouch2.18I 45.87%NM 41.75%EV -8.27%E -3.79%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -12.50%E -3.97%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-03 20:50
Codere (IT)2.16I 46.30%NM 42.50%EV -9.11%E -4.22%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -8.06%E -2.64%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 18:00
LiveScore Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 41.58%EV -9.11%E -4.22%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -13.89%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.45%EV -8.06%E -2.64%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-03 20:55
LeoVegas2.16I 46.30%NM 41.58%EV -9.11%E -4.22%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -13.89%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.45%EV -8.06%E -2.64%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-03 20:55
Virgin Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 41.58%EV -9.11%E -4.22%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -13.89%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.45%EV -8.06%E -2.64%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-03 20:55
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -9.53%E -4.43%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 20:50
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 41.97%EV -9.53%E -4.43%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.92%EV -13.33%E -4.27%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-03 20:35
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.53%E -4.43%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.89%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-03 20:20
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -11.63%E -5.54%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -8.33%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-03 20:51
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -11.63%E -5.54%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -12.59%E -4.34%K -6.62%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-03 11:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.20%EV -11.63%E -5.54%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -13.89%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.90%EV -15.60%E -5.57%K -8.67%G +0.000%15.6%2026-05-03 20:35
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -15.84%E -7.92%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -2.78%E -0.793%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-03 20:25
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.13%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%0.8%2026-05-03 20:55
Matchbook2.32I 43.10%NM 42.67%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.40%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93%1.0%2026-05-03 20:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.67%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.40%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93%1.0%2026-05-03 20:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.67%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.40%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93%1.0%2026-05-03 20:55
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 42.37%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.70%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.94%2.6%2026-05-03 20:55