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Sport Recife v Ceará
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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Sport Recife (Casa)
Previsione 42.08%2.38quota equa
EV -3.64%
Vantaggio -1.59%
Kelly -2.82%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.29
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.76%42.14%42.19%45.11%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.202.202.2950.00%45.46%45.45%43.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Ceará (Trasferta)
Previsione 27.78%3.60quota equa
EV -2.50%
Vantaggio -0.712%
Kelly -0.995%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.51
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.78%27.76%27.60%29.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.273.253.5132.26%30.57%30.77%28.49%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 30.14%3.32quota equa
EV -2.64%
Vantaggio -0.817%
Kelly -1.18%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.23
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.93%30.10%30.21%31.28%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.083.103.2335.71%32.47%32.26%30.96%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (43 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -3.64%E -1.59%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.42%EV -2.50%E -0.712%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.55%EV -5.05%E -1.60%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-03 20:45 |
| BetRivers | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.05%EV -4.06%E -1.78%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -5.05%E -1.60%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-03 20:40 |
| DraftKings | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.05%EV -5.32%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -4.17%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-03 17:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.32%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 20:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.32%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 20:55 |
| Unibet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.32%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 20:55 |
| Casumo | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.32%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 20:55 |
| betPARX | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.32%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 20:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.32%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 20:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.32%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 20:55 |
| 888sport | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -5.32%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-03 20:51 |
| William Hill | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -5.32%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-03 20:51 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -5.32%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-03 20:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -5.32%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-03 20:51 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.90%EV -5.74%E -2.56%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -2.78%E -0.793%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 20:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.90%EV -5.74%E -2.56%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -2.78%E -0.793%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 20:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.75%EV -6.59%E -2.97%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.75%EV -7.22%E -2.16%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.49%EV -8.37%E -2.75%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-03 20:40 |
| Betway | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-03 12:40 |
| FanDuel | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -2.78%E -0.793%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-03 20:55 |
| Coolbet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-03 20:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-03 18:00 |
| Bovada | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-03 20:37 |
| BetUS | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-03 20:40 |
| Grosvenor | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -12.50%E -3.97%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -5.05%E -1.60%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-03 20:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-03 18:40 |
| theScore Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-03 18:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.53%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -12.50%E -3.97%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-03 20:55 |
| PlayUp | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -12.50%E -3.97%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-03 20:35 |
| 1xBet | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.67%EV -7.85%E -3.58%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.40%EV -8.61%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.93%EV -2.64%E -0.817%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-03 20:51 |
| Betsson | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.27%EV -8.27%E -3.79%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -8.06%E -2.64%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 18:00 |
| NordicBet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.27%EV -8.27%E -3.79%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -8.06%E -2.64%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 18:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.75%EV -8.27%E -3.79%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -12.50%E -3.97%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-03 20:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.50%EV -9.11%E -4.22%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -8.06%E -2.64%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-03 18:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.58%EV -9.11%E -4.22%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -13.89%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.45%EV -8.06%E -2.64%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-03 20:55 |
| LeoVegas | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.58%EV -9.11%E -4.22%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -13.89%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.45%EV -8.06%E -2.64%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-03 20:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.58%EV -9.11%E -4.22%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -13.89%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.45%EV -8.06%E -2.64%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-03 20:55 |
| SportsBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -9.53%E -4.43%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-03 20:50 |
| Bet Victor | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.97%EV -9.53%E -4.43%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.92%EV -13.33%E -4.27%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-03 20:35 |
| betfred_uk | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.53%E -4.43%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.89%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-03 20:20 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -11.63%E -5.54%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -8.33%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-03 20:51 |
| BoyleSports | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -11.63%E -5.54%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -12.59%E -4.34%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-03 11:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.20%EV -11.63%E -5.54%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -13.89%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.90%EV -15.60%E -5.57%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-05-03 20:35 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -15.84%E -7.92%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -2.78%E -0.793%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -6.56%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-03 20:25 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.13% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06% | 0.8% | 2026-05-03 20:55 |
| Matchbook | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.67% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.40% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93% | 1.0% | 2026-05-03 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.67% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.40% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93% | 1.0% | 2026-05-03 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.67% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.40% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93% | 1.0% | 2026-05-03 20:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.37% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.70% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.94% | 2.6% | 2026-05-03 20:55 |